WxWatcher007

Easily the best wind of the night right now.

Yep. Wish this had a daytime peak because the ocean has to be going wild right now even without a true E wind. First proper one since July. Back at work tomorrow lol.

Pressure down to ~987mb. Wind is roaring out of the NNE.

Probably a little south of the best stuff here along the coast in East (?) Orleans, but we’re ripping pretty solid now in the last hour. Good wave action earlier.

I know this isn’t tropical, but this is WxWatcher007 reporting live from Orleans, MA for my first proper chase since July. It feels good to be back in the game. While this picture is from an hour ago, the Atlantic is becoming full of whitecaps as a nor’easter continues to rapidly deepen off the east coast. I’m here because there’s a High Wind Warning in effect for gusts near hurricane force tonight, and guidance that suggests hurricane force winds are in reach. I’ve got a great view of the ocean, an excellent wind measurement location, and a work meeting in 45 minutes…

I'm not really tracking for a (sub)tropical designation because it doesn't change the overall forecast, but watch convection near the center. A little is firing right now and if that expands and/or stays consistent it makes it a little more interesting in the designation department. Congrats PF

The low has been designated Invest 94L.

It might almost be November, but we have an orange off the East Coast.

Low analyzed at 1002mb off the NC coast. NHC giving it 20% 2-day and 50% 5-day odds of subtropical development. Wouldn't be the tropical guy if I didn't mention that lol.

I wish. Everything is lined up perfectly to go east…except a local meeting I can’t miss… Not sure traveling to the cape tomorrow night is a good idea

Nantucket gets smoked. Wish we were there.

55 with misery mist at HFD. Feels like November lol

Rain wrapped spouts ftw Even if there’s an apparent fix—I need to see it work in reality. Other guidance is robust along the coast as you said though. Should be fun for someone.

Last night I went max gusts to 35-45 inland/45-55 shore with highest gusts in eastern/SE CT, 3-6” of rain (would probably go 2-5 now given recent guidance), scattered outages and an overall moderate impact event for CT. Decent event here but the good stuff is in LI, SE MA, and the Cape IMO.

I mean this is nuts out there.

I might have to head over there to see that…wow.

Just bookmarked. Thanks for sharing.

Sucker hole over my house. We toss.

18z Euro 12z Euro

EPS through 90

It’s got some work to do to earn my trust even at short range, though I know this isn’t tropical season where it’s really at its worst..

It's a pretty evolution.

Low of 38.9 here. First sub 40 low since April.

I’m really just jumping into tracking this, but it looks like low placement is still one of the wildcards. It keeps jumping around from cycle to cycle. Also have to say I’m pretty surprised at those phase charts. The NHC lemon doesn’t really excite me, but a warm core-ish system would certainly increase confidence in a higher end rainfall potential IMO.

I was surprised to see this morning on the phase chart that this low might actually be warm core at some point. NHC giving 20% odds of development now lol.