WxWatcher007

Congrats Albany

That’s how I feel doing yard work now lol

Life above the tree line is a beautiful thing

Might want to see a doctor about that?

CSU taking ‘em down a bit

I’ll admit, it’s pretty legit. I was one of those that laughed it off early, but I’ve heard people having some serious well trouble. Don’t need to be California level to be bad.

You think he’s inflating the size of his mound?

It’s always really interesting to me how hilly CT gets outside of the shoreline and valley. I’m in one of the highest spots in town now and my elevation is only 105 ft lol.

The only exception to that is if it’s a true monster and everyone gets smoked. If there’s a nuke and Will gets 40” while I’m at 20” it’s fine because 20” is high end here no matter the storm.

Don’t get me wrong, I’ve lived in a snow hole most of my life. DC, CT valley, SC. I don’t care about the jackpot, and if given a choice I’d love for everyone to snow. But less than half of the jack? No thanks. The blizzard was nice but it sucked getting a couple inches of powder while Steve was buried. Spread the love.

Absolutely not.

False start for now.

Finally some fantasy homebrew on the GFS!

I think it was 2001 for BDL and 2006 for HFD.

So close yet so far away here. Nice storm but nothing memorable here. I know you got the goods.

If we did hit 100 here in CT, it’d be the first time in about 15-20 years we had a 100 in August. That’s impressive to me.

100 or bust.

Idk about NOAA @weatherwiz, but I love CSU and I think they look much deeper than general ENSO. To me they’re an example of people that do it right. There are always areas where I can personally improve with regard to tropical forecasting and understanding, but I think having a more granular understanding of the structure of ENSO/how it evolves, and a greater sense of how things like wave breaking and the MJO are forecasted would be valuable. But I work virtually every day. Honestly there are times I wish I could do a wholesale career change and go all in studying tropical meteorology, but I guess I’m where I’m supposed to be..

Meanwhile, every rain shower turns into a named storm in the EPAC.

Nice!

That’s out of my depth. I’m just here for tropical lol.

ACE has been shown to have a connection to winter, so it’d be appropriate here too.

RIP, Mr. Russell

I could be wrong of course, but I just don’t see a 12/5/2 95 ACE season yet. If it were a Nino background, all in. If the MDR were -1.5-2C, all in. But we don’t have that. We have an absurdly stable late July/early Aug environment that can change, albeit slowly in the first 2/3 of August. Idk if I’d go well over average ACE to where CSU is, but probably solidly above given my MH forecast.