WxWatcher007

Both the Euro and GFS have an increasingly legitimate signal for TC genesis in this the Gulf and/or SW Atlantic next week.

Euro develops that area we were discussing a while back in the EPAC and drives it north into the Gulf as a trough scoops it up. GFS is wild this time of year lol

Unsurprisingly, the NOAA hurricane season forecast still calls for another above active season. https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-predicts-above-normal-2022-atlantic-hurricane-season We will have our first quiet May since 2014 but I do think we’ll have a window in early June for our first named storm.

What a beast in Texas right now.

You can’t let me have one cat two cane with a tractor tire eye that rolls over some sparsely populated, but chaseable land?

Not a bad look on radar, but it’s heading onshore now.

First lemon of the year. Well defined circulation as it comes onshore tonight. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun May 22 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. North Central Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure is located over the north-central Gulf of Mexico about 150 miles south of Pensacola, Florida. This system is producing disorganized thunderstorms and gusty winds across portions of the Florida Panhandle, southern Alabama, and over the central and northern Gulf of Mexico. Surface pressures remain high, and strong upper-level winds should prevent significant development before this system moves inland over the central Gulf Coast later tonight or on Monday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall and gusty winds are expected to continue across portions of the central Gulf Coast and will spread across the southeast U.S. during the next day or so. Additional information on the rainfall and flooding potential can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office and Excessive Rainfall Outlooks issued by the Weather Prediction Center. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. Forecaster Cangialosi

Good stuff today. That cell that blew up south of Springfield was nice for a while. This was looking north from East Hartford as it was starting to build southwest.

Anything good?

91.8 for a high

Bewilderingly boring. That cell looks quite nice.

Holding at 88 here.

Severe thunderstorm watch likely through the slight risk area.

86° at 10am here. Good launching pad for big heat today.

I’m already sitting at 83°

Looks like the slight risk was warranted up there. Report of 1.5” and 2” hail in northern NH along with multiple wind reports.

Those are some nasty cells near the border. Looks like at least one has rotation.

Saw a report of a 55mph gust just SE of Burlington. edit: severe hail too near the border

A friend just saw a tornado in Ohio and there’s a tornado warning north of Montreal. Meanwhile, big heat fail and totally capped here.

DCA: can’t get snow in January, can’t get big heat in July.

Water and lightning: two very serious forces I have no interest in testing too much. And earthquakes. The west can have that lol.

3k NAM is pretty robust up in NNE this evening.