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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. I think that's what'll happen. Good call. Just not enough confidence in widespread 4-8. Good luck out there tomorrow.
  2. I think it's very very close. I'm absolutely torn between 3-6 and 4-8. I agree that there will be some surprises with the morning band. Just not sure how widespread that will be.
  3. Really bad in far E CT and SE CT. Congrats on your 4”.
  4. We are always here. Lurking and waiting for the inevitable.
  5. I don't think anybody is spiking. There will be drama all the way to the end.
  6. Yeah. I mean that would be a winter canceler after the high we've been on today.
  7. Glad it's snowing nicely there. The vibes for all should be much improved this time tomorrow.
  8. Haha if we had 6.5" reported here it would've required some extreme slantsticking.
  9. Got lazy with my measuring. 1.5 but just cleared to cover this second batch.
  10. High of 34.3 here. Down to 33.1 now with the snow picking back up. I think we're probably fine in CT tomorrow with temps. May be a bit more dicey to our east at least for a bit.
  11. Nice. Had that spot in the 2-5. May very well top that. Had you in the 1-3 so overperformer there. Let's do it again tomorrow...
  12. The profile is marginal so I don't disagree with anything you say here. I just think the excitement is rooted in the possibility that a last minute trend for a thread the needle event seems to be pointing toward a win for the region. A widespread 3-5" would be the biggest event of the season for many, as sad as that is. More than that? Even better.
  13. Really only get one shot at this given how close we are to onset. Folks won’t pay attention to numerous evolving maps imo. Makes sense to take the time to get it right.
  14. Meanwhile the AI has been more consistent (GFS AI also starting at 18z yesterday)
  15. A pretty remarkable trend in the last really 12 hours. Loop starts at 18z yesterday.
  16. They'd need high confidence in 6+ for warnings. I don't see that. Even if we're amping to game time given the fits this one has given forecasters how could you have high enough confidence that we don't get a messenger shuffle (boo, I know) at the very last second?
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