WxWatcher007

I do think that changes next week…the signal is there as we’ve all said for a good overrunning event…maybe late next week.

Haha I’m in CT through early next week so I’m angry over the brown grass outside too. I won’t belabor it anymore but I was bullish on the snowfalls we had in December and still think we can produce nicely in the last 1/3 of January so I’m not turning into TBlizz, but I’ve never liked the thread the needle nature of this setup. I was hopeful a compromise or moderate event was on the table but we couldn’t even keep that trend for a full day.

I don’t like definitive statements generally but this one almost certainly looks gone. It’s not that the ops “lost”, but the ensembles have moved en masse in the wrong direction as we close in and we’re relying on unproven AI to pull an epic short(ish) range coup.

How much longer until this is the more active thread?

Good luck man. Hope you find something awesome. Have you seen the Euro? lol the Euro and GFS have reached second base and are sprinting toward third. We need Skynet. Desperately at this point.

Scooter breaking down after getting called in the office after losing it on a junior employee?

Yeah, he had a good one this morning. But it’s rough out here. Nothing comes easy.

Boy this place is teetering. I’m with Will. Trends—not great. Skepticism—totally warranted. But a full on punt isn’t quite necessary yet, spoken from someone that was never in on this threat to begin with.

I’m still extremely skeptical of this one. There’s still a reasonable scenario where this scrapes rather than hits most of interior NE.

Yes, but I think we’d all take a warning level event at the very start of this return to a wintry pattern.

Still want to see the Euro and skynet at 00z.

I would post a picture from SLK, but I’m worried that would jinx that location the rest of the winter Heading back up next week.

We can't have that.

I think that was pure rage, not anything planned lol

Agree. Would like to see the 18z Euro and especially EPS step in the right direction.

Old bones don’t hold up as well in this cold and dry regime. Need snow.

Retired already? I’m getting old.

Love this

I’m not buying much stock yet, but I really do like the AI being on board for something. Agree that in a world where the op GFS/Euro are the goalposts, a compromise would work out well.

That sounds about right, Will. Would be pretty funny to go from gloom and doom to a snowy Saturday as the warm up act for a significant snow Sunday/Monday. With Arctic cold lurking next week. That would be quite the reversal.

Amazing how quickly the vibes can change around here.

I was rightfully bullish on the December stuff, but this one still looks a touch tenuous right now imo. But the trend has been our friend, setting aside that gfs nuclear detonation.

Snow from Georgia to Maine. We love to see it. Euro will have cirrus, but I’ll take the dopamine hit right now. In all seriousness…starting to bite a bit…

Yeah I’ve seen the very light snow happen too. The tell there is temperatures aren’t nearly as cold as they need to be. I’ve seen light snow with literal surface moisture with mostly sunny skies above. Pretty wild coming from a place like CT. The time I saw DD it might have been -15 or so on the car thermometer, but it was like driving through a brief fog. Then I think I saw it on my property once but I’m less sure about that now given the temperature (around -10 for that). Haven’t seen any of that locally. That would be cool.

I saw diamond dust for the first time a few weeks ago and it was so cool.