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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. I know I am down on winter to the point of annoyance, but there genuinely is nothing like a good winter storm where the posts and pictures are coming in fast and (mostly) everyone is happy. I do hope we get at least one of those this upcoming season. Happy autumn, everyone.
  2. 53/50. -RA. Temp shot up as the mix line went from Hoth to Will faster than I think I’ve ever seen. So much for the -.003 NAO holding the line. Not sure why anyone thought this “winter” would be better than the last. More Scooter streaks than a newborn ward this season. Congrats @tamarack.
  3. WxWatcher007 Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 13 (11) Hurricanes: 6 (5) Major Hurricanes: 3 (3) Emily, Franklin (MH), Gert, Harold, Idalia (MH), Jose, Katia, Lee (MH), Margot (H), Nigel (H), Ophelia
  4. Running out of time but lightning and radar velocities are increasing on the western “inner” part of the center.
  5. Watching that too. Want to see if it can fully wrap upshear. If so, that could lead to another convective burst to push it over the top. Even if it doesn’t, the frictional convergence nearing landfall could allow the center to contract and become more symmetrical. HAFS A & B show this right at landfall.
  6. Euro and GFS are night and day for something barely 12 hours out
  7. It was pretty special. Best sunset is still as Dorian was approaching NC. Never seen anything like it before or since. Edit: this is also from last week lol
  8. Tropics sunsets are the best. This is from Lee last week.
  9. Probably need hurricane watches maybe even warnings up for part of NC given the recon data.
  10. These are some fast extrapolated pressure falls. 984.6mb down from 986.8 at last pass.
  11. Really nice animation of the center starting to become covered by convection as it crosses the Gulf Stream. Definitely looking more tropical and likely continuing to intensify.
  12. That was at 925mb. The surface reading was at 58kt. The extrapolated pressure falls between passes is pretty good.
  13. AMEN Homebrew is homebrew for a reason. I think he is disappointed this could become a hurricane without an Ian like eyewall lol. Appreciate the updates as I’m mostly mobile right now.
  14. Recon is a little more impressive than I thought it’d be.
  15. I’d need to see a little more sampling, but this one does look close to hurricane strength per recon…
  16. I’m trying to hold off on using heat. At least until October.
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