WxWatcher007
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Everything posted by WxWatcher007
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It’s frustrating that the more frequent updates of models have disrupted apparent biases and consistency, but without question IMO they are still an enormously valuable and reliable tool. We wouldn’t be running to watch and do analysis of (some of) them every six hours if their skill was little more than a coin flip.
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This coming Monday. The panels posted are for Monday afternoon and evening. Like Will said though, this has bounced around so much on the guidance it’s really not worth doing anything other than analyzing the synoptic trend.
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That would be a fun Monday even down here.
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Impressed by the cold so far today. Still below freezing at 31.4° and WC is in the 20s across CT.
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I know you’ve posted before, but what’s the best annual snowfall climo map you’ve seen for SNE?
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Let’s get another storm like that this winter
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Seriously, it’s some of the greatest work I’ve ever done.
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Totally agree with that. I think that's why The Panic Room was such a hit. I think the analysis threads though have become unreadable (not just here) and it just makes me loathe winter tracking now. 'Twas a good time. Retired now. Had the best nap of my life after my Thanksgiving meal. Hope you and yours had a great Thanksgiving as well!
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Thanks for reminding me. I can't make it this Saturday but if there is a Boston one in December I'll try to make that. I don't think I ever voted in the poll.
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Winter is honest to God the most dumb time of year on AmWx. After trying for years to use humor to redirect conversation I just can’t take it anymore. The shared love of wx and nature, and the continued contributions of good people are the only things that keep me around.
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Yeah that’s it. I lived in DC proper and basically after January 1 it was uninterrupted winter. St. Paddy Day Magic was wonderful. Incredible stuff and obviously I personally haven’t come close to seeing a winter like that since—there or here.
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Was in DC and that’s my favorite winter. By far.
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100% Avoiding another torch month and being in the ballpark of normal is a big win IMO. I think an advisory snow event or two that gets me on the board by Christmas would be my benchmark for a good Dec, but really a decent wintry progression with the broader pattern and hope on NYD that mid-January will start winter in earnest is what I need to see.
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I’ve told my wife to put me in a home if that ever happens with me. I will always love the four seasons.
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In all seriousness I’m one of the most down individuals on winter around here, but meh doesn’t bother me in this instance. Near normal temps and no snow is fine in early December. Full on blowtorch through December would be hard to stomach, but to your point that’s not looking likely right now. My expectation remains that winter here begins in earnest after Jan 20, so anything close to normal in December is a win, as long as we’re not doing an epic torch Dec 23-26 lol.
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I am extremely cautiously optimistic for a near normal season. The look (and results in current pattern) so far has been ok.
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Globals did look like they agreed on a signal for a possible system next weekend yesterday when I looked but poof for now I guess.
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Somewhere in that lakes region may get smoked. They’ve had a hell of a run recently.
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Divorce law firms sprouting up overnight throughout SNE like old gold mining towns in California as wives give up on husbands that ruin the holidays by tossing Christmas trees and toys into wood chippers and unused snowblowers.
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After last season in SNE, the first storm that fails at short range will require governors to call in the national guard. We’ve had some very good second half/backloaded winters in the last decade, those two standing above the others. I still don’t really expect things to go here in earnest until after mid-January, but if we can get to near normal Jan 15-Mar 15 that’s a win.
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If it’s not a cat 3 running from New Haven to Quebec City expect audible yawns from the crowd here. Don't worry though we’ll write up 75 pages of breathless excitement, anxiety, and melts for a 1-3” clipper in early December.
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Good time to post this with the models showing some tropical/hybrid potential.
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Low of 20.4°. Lower than any point in January 2023.
