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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. HRRR and GFS at 18z Sunday. Maybe a little better in the preceding hours with better lift but man the lower levels are marginal verbatim.
  2. I need to see that tomorrow to take em up. It all just seems so marginal to me. If we had a colder 925 & surface profile I’d be on board. Euro weird banding has me a little concerned too.
  3. Currently thinking C-2 coastal CT, 1-3 interior southern CT (mostly 2-3), 2-4 low elevation northern CT (mostly 3-4), and 3-6 (mostly 5-6) for Kev land and the NW hills.
  4. I tried to tell you this last year lol I’m just not feeling it down there. Maybe I’m biased based on the disaster earlier this month in southern CT but it’s too many red flags for me.
  5. Euro used to be box office. You’d schedule life around it. Now it’s barely better than Home Shopping Network. Every few hours it’s selling something new.
  6. Fresh from the still Southern CT looks cooked. Even the good runs are awful there. BDR is at about 39% of normal DJ snowfall and 179% of normal DJ precipitation.
  7. Despite the clown maps, I didn’t really like that run. Surface looked a little torched here and Sunday afternoon 925s were at or just above freezing in much of CT before cooling.
  8. It’s hard to believe after a multi-year ratter that a thread the needle event could go our way, but as I was told last year persistence works until it doesn’t.
  9. Yeah I think the shoreline is in trouble. Interior CT still looks solid for plowable but again, a 3-4” deal there isn’t gonna cut there it if we want to keep a realistic pace of reaching seasonal climo. We can’t and shouldn’t assume a big dog is gonna run through the door of multi-season futility and save us.
  10. I’ve been one of the more optimistic folks this season, but I think we’ve reached the juncture where it’s warning level or bust in interior CT. Obviously with lower climo at the coast a 4” deal can work still. We need meaningful production to come from our opportunities if we’re going to be anywhere close to climo in CT.
  11. I know we don’t really care out here but I came across how much this riled wx Twitter up. I can think of a few folks that would write like this.
  12. I don’t think that’s walking through the door this season. We stat pad and hope we get enough cold to keep February wintry.
  13. 8 years ago. The Great Blizzard of 2016.
  14. Low of 8.9°. Seven full days below freezing.
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