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bristolri_wx

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Everything posted by bristolri_wx

  1. bristolri_wx
    I dunno, not sure what the problem is. We are still going to be getting impactful weather from a powerful storm during the timeframe mentioned. Just not a big snow storm for most. This thread served a purpose, discussion of one developing storm.
  2. bristolri_wx
    OEM tires are usually garbage. Treadlife is usually 45k to get them through a three year lease. I highly recommend these: https://www.michelinman.com/auto/tires/michelin-defender-ltx-m-s Have these on my CR-V and RAV4. Good all season tire especially for winter and long tread life as long as you rotate regularly.
  3. bristolri_wx
    Yeah that could blow at some point. More likely at high speeds or in warmer weather. You should replace that tire ASAP IMO for you and your vehicles safety.
  4. bristolri_wx
    Sorry, call me an optimist but this is all I can think in my head after reading this forum the last few days: Maybe Winter 22-23 will turn out to be a turd, but we have had several good to great winters that started with shitty Decembers and grinch storms right before Christmas. Can’t give up on things less than a third of the way through.
  5. bristolri_wx
  6. bristolri_wx
    It’s a volatile pattern for the model accuracy in the medium to long range. Things don’t look good but I wouldn’t give up for another 48 hours or so if your hope is for a colder snowier outcomes.
  7. bristolri_wx
    Down in the coastal plain It was always forecasted as rain So there was no pain When the snow Did not show.
  8. bristolri_wx
  9. bristolri_wx
    Personally I look at it on TT and Pivotal, but I don’t think it has a lot of weight on its own. I believe the biggest use case for many of the WRF based models are being part of the SREF and HREF ensemble forecast packages. I’m sure there are mets here who have more facts to back that up than I do.
  10. bristolri_wx
    https://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/docs/NCEP_PDD_MAG.pdf
  11. bristolri_wx
    Are people still pissed about the recent GFS upgrade?
  12. bristolri_wx
    Bing Crosby has entered that chat.
  13. bristolri_wx
    I weenied you for that post only because I can’t weenie myself for being excited about that map lol!
  14. bristolri_wx
    You end up a meteorologist? This is why support systems are in place, to keep our world safe from this result.
  15. bristolri_wx
    Wowza. Aren’t those wunderground forecasts generated from the Amiga model?
  16. bristolri_wx
    Last years Winter Panic thread was started on 12/1/21, so we're two weeks late this year. Time to induce!
  17. bristolri_wx
    Interesting information... taken with a grain of salt. https://www.washington.edu/news/2022/10/03/study-suggests-la-nina-winters-could-keep-on-coming/
  18. bristolri_wx
    Juicy band overhead. Making up for the snow hole earlier lol…
  19. bristolri_wx
    Snow hole… 33… holding steady at 1/2”
  20. bristolri_wx
    Pleasantly surprised with the 1/2” on the grass here. Not much sticking to pavement. We’ve had a few more lulls here than others (as usual). Definitely feels festive out there.
  21. bristolri_wx
    We are going to be going through a pattern transition. The operational surface maps are going to be hot garbage outside of five days while this is taking place. I wouldn't take anything verbatim outside of five days at the moment. Stick with ensembles days 6+...
  22. bristolri_wx
  23. bristolri_wx
    https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf2/scn22-104_gfs.v16.3.0.pdf
  24. bristolri_wx
  25. bristolri_wx
    This can't be stressed enough! Regardless of the outcome, there's definitely more chances for wintery weather coming up based on the pattern forecasted compared to the December 2021 pattern which was terrible for us.
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