Had the same in accumulation. Back to moderate snow currently, temp 33. Super heavy snow, it was like shoveling water. Forecast has another 2-4” for today. Hopefully the winds don’t hit what’s forecasted. HRRR still showing another 2-7” in our area for today.
00z HRRR has been basically holding serv for the last few hours. We’ll see how things pan out tomorrow. I’m thinking on the low side of accumulations at my location with the elevation of 125’. Maybe 3-6. Up at higher elevations, it will be a different story.
Yes it’s possible. Elevation comes into play. For example, last nights event, I had 0.50” on grassy surfaces for the total accumulation. At 125’ in elevation on Storm King mountain, there was 3” at 1,100’.
Till the next run. It’s like throwing darts. We do know it’s a high probability of a strong storm. These slight shifts in model runs can go up to nowcast time.
Was in the town of Newburgh about 30 minutes ago it was mostly a mixed bag and 34 degrees. Here in New Windsor currently 35 degrees with ice pellets mixed in and 0.24” in the tipper.