Torchageddon

Not for me. 9 months of grey skies and cool to cold weather here where I have to wear slippers inside during those 9 - this is still fresh as a daisy.

Tor warning too. They likely issued it for the dangerous winds as I doubt there is notable rotation or any form for concern from the MCS. Now its caught up with another mcs moving slow over Baden. The blowoff from that immense MCS is causing a blob of light to mod rain that will reach me shortly as its darkening. This explosive convection is gnarly.

This is a 'red' warning for extreme stuff. That MCS is hauling, to give an idea how fast it was, it was near Bay City MI at 3pm now its near London ON just 2hr later!! I wish I was near Grand Bend to see that baddie come ashore, I'm sure the pics will be flowing shortly from there. I'm liking the EC radar now with its layers and detail, but its first wem (blemish) came to light just now when I had the radar and details loaded, but then the layer vanished and just gave me a message stating 'The radar layers are currently unavailable. We apologize for any inconvenience. Please try again later.' - Well I had them til you took them away; its stored in my RAM genius!

Huge meatball over Vaughan currently giving them likely large hail, some memories of Aug 20 too for some. The sups (if they are that mature yet) don't have the bean shape yet. I'm getting a few sunny breaks. More cells formed to my south but are petering out or will be the ignition for the further south stuff to erupt. There are values of SBCAPE of 5000 south of London! I think I'm around 2.5K, 1 STP, and 2 VTP lol.

Very high gusts in this watch. The latest cells formed just to my east so dodged the 3rd round at noon which WUN picked up on. A cell near Flesherton that is elongating is exploding with a likely hail core and major lightning in less than 15 mins! These cells are already intense!

Cells popped and raced to the east just north of me 90 mins ago, then some minor sun breaks but mostly grey. I blink and there are some more dark skies to my north. The atmo is wild today, TWN also had another first by putting out a hatched graphic showing just south of me greatest area for tornadoes. I would say it'd be a good day for a 'chase' but the storm motions will be hard to wrangle with.

Storm cells nearby racing at uncommon speeds this nox (overnight). Nice MCS hitting Barrie coming in from the SE. I'm at least 50 min drive from the nearest current cell and I can see tepid lightning already no thunder. This setup I can already tell is juiced as hell; 23C/22C DP that is seriously impressive for nox on Sept 2! EC put us under a svr watch for hail up to golf balls and 90 km/h winds. I've had basically zip for real storms all summer. They danced around me only giving thunder and heavy downpours. Its fun seeing how my main summer months now for years are absent of anything - its all in the shoulder months like March, April, and late summer like now.

I was surprised how hot I was out there even briefly walking, a blister. I suppose my body isn't used to it again as I haven't needed the AC for nearly 3 weeks! TWN hitting hard on the severe threat here in SON tomorrow, the most sig of the summer by far (of course, its now Sept). For the first I've seen they even put out a updraft helicity map from an unknown output: https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/news/weather/forecasts/damaging-winds-severe-storms-to-hit-southern-ontario-midweek

Some garden storms were heading my way a few hrs ago then fizzled as they neared. Yep, mid summer is the time for nada. This current pattern is flip flopping from 24C to 27C every 48.

Dolphin seems to like that Naha island as its attracted to it moving SSW not just scraping it, but radar shows landfall as it ruffles them down their spine. The eyewall looks to be intensifying as its doing this! This is a situ I don't think anyone ever expected, an unique & tilted landfall. For rarity this may be up there with Dorian's extreme pinhole hitting the Bahamas. Latest frames may have it doing a tricodical wobble and/or stall now. For the past 50 mins since 5z its been grinding on the same spot with the potent eyewall -- who is under that? I think its sub 930mb personally, the organization is markably better than when that obs was taken on that tiny island. Can't believe its still listed at 955mb . I think the obs from Naha will be telling a very different story.

If you watch the loop beyond that it looks like it got bounced from that island and dove south in an unnatural way, and the CDO/eye getting smashed down? I can't explain that one, this Dolphin has had so many bizarre convective haps - its one for the books!

I found out about 1911's insanity a number of years ago when I saw just like what you mentioned out of this world temps in late spring here, IIRC much of May that year was a torchageddon of intense heatwaves. There were multi-day values over 95F along the shoreline in ON and I have no clue how all that came together. We were nearly at 100F before the mid part of May. As for the rest of the season it was an inferno just endless heatwaves til mid-late Sept. I got pretty excited when on here the late Roger Smith mentioned 1911 as an analogue to summer 2012!

Its crazy inner dynamics of scything through its own eye at 10z to work out dry air I guess but that lobe got absorbed back into the eye anyways! Deep convection rebuilding around the careworn eye now and slightly larger.

I'm enjoying this Dolphin as the setup is fairly rum. If an eye size is nearing the top percentile I typically take the under but that means the same size remains or an awk transition to a smaller eye. I chuckle watching that wobbly lug of an eye saunter on for days. Those dry air slots are legendary like a whole moon crescent could fit in there

With how fast its CDO buzzsaw'ed and cooled this will present some of the crazier inner dynamics we've seen in some time. The eye temp just warmed from -5C to +20C in less than 2 hours.

I got 1mm from the system that gave a few flashes & thunder at 11pm. 8 out of 10 t-storms this year have been between the hours of 11pm-3am. I got just that one okay tstorm a few weeks ago to break the smoke but even that is garden tier nothing much; a solid tstorm in mid summer here is rare. Today is mainly cloudy but the cooler air felt good 22C/75F. Smoke in the high levels causing mod AQI 75.

Powerful cell heading SE towards Oshkosh WI, the start of something potentially big.

Had a great day here of 29C/84F started overcast here too then it broke at 130pm. No rain or storms as shown by some - I think smoke is moving in this eve that was a close call! I was forest bathing and breathing in deeply after that nightmare 2 weeks ago.

So tiny! Just like the Ashby MN 2020 vortex. Too bad she freaked and put the cam down temp, it was historic. I'll need the official link to the FB vid as a screen cap just won't do. Also, random lady gets some of the the best tor footage of 2026 sans the cam sag

I'd go with Jan 6, 2014 as a single instance. It was a lake effect blizzard here (never seen an low blizz), never seen anything close to that severity it was sheer chaos in-town. Various aspects I've never seen before were playing out; no returns on radar during intense rates of snow, all plows pulled off (not sure on other events), -40C windchills by the end. There were a few times the visibility was so low that a streetlight just 50 ft across the street was completely shrouded in a blanket of dark grey like we were being swallowed. I have a hard time imagining the scene now since it was so mind blowing (typically its the opposite). For a longer event it'd be mid Nov 2000 with historic LES. Around 100cm or 40 inches+ during that. That and Dec were the snowiest months on record in Hanover; the definition of a front-loaded winter.

Looking at another MCS rolling in during the next few hours, ugh!!! Every single storm is between 11pm and 8am (nearly all from 12am-3am) this year, just why? I haven't hit the pillow yet and soon my block will be off it again.

Here I can't see smoke as its blue skies finally with sun, everyone out there is saying hi because we're all so happy to get out of smoke jail. Aqi of about 60 so not really an woe current and let it stay. A bit cool early though it was 16C/61F til 9am.

I haven't yet seen anything concrete but that was the most well defined hook echo I've seen in the GTA. The QLCS has a few cells with spacing but its a tad crowded. The og sup is nearing Niagara on the Lake but may slip past. Kettle Point ON has a tight cell that is sus. Grab from Instant Weather:

I saw a notch or hook with a discrete cell there and zipped to find tor warn in a densely pop. spots!

Blew past even 50mm from the 3rd round, even more lightning nearly at 1K strikes now!! 50 in 3 hr is extreme in my climo.