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Santa Claus

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Everything posted by Santa Claus

  1. Santa Claus
    If I laid odds I'd give another NE tropical system direct hit 50%.
  2. Santa Claus
    That's my jam. But I have enjoyed this summer as well. The amateur enthusiast can find a port in any storm (or lack thereof).
  3. Santa Claus
    This'll end up a top year for summer storms, including two direct hit tropical systems. Wild.
  4. Santa Claus
    FSU's phase space diagram of the GFS indicates Isaias was still hanging onto its tropical characteristics as a very marginally warm core storm at 1:00 PM. Impressive at such a latitude.
  5. Santa Claus
    It's a TreeMW lol
  6. Santa Claus
    Sting jet is here I guess. Just lost power for the first time.
  7. Santa Claus
    That slug of moisture which I assume is the former eyewall is going to be a real problem for flash flooding in WCNJ.
  8. Santa Claus
    Radar's finally filling in towards us at least. The axis of heavy rains looks a good 50 miles west of where it was predicted a few days ago.
  9. Santa Claus
    Plenty of trees at 35 feet.
  10. Santa Claus
    Probably not a great day for friends, family, and neighbors around here tomorrow. Bad trends.
  11. Santa Claus
    Better than they were this morning, at any rate.
  12. Santa Claus
    We REALLY lucked out this thing was hit so hard by shear and dry air.
  13. Santa Claus
    Yikes, murdered.
  14. Santa Claus
    lol guys I made a meme and i am sorry it's so bad
  15. Santa Claus
    He's not a troll though and I'm not a weenie, I'm trying to learn and contribute... was thinking it looked a fair bit stronger and more organized. I'll call a spade a spade, I said it was looking dishevled yesterday. I hate being wrong here, there's so many good meteorologists and it's so easy for an amateur like myself to make themselves look stupid. So if I said something stupid I want to learn from it. That's all.
  16. Santa Claus
    I'm just seriously tripped out by the idea I'm too stupid to find a naked swirl on GOES EAST. I mean people joke about being triggered but I just spent 10 minutes looking at screens trying to find what he's talking about, and because I can't find it I feel even dumber.
  17. Santa Claus
    Can you take a picture of something to show me? I swear I am looking at GOES EAST shots thinking this thing looks decent and your post is throwing me for a loop.
  18. Santa Claus
    The outflow looks nice and sharp especially to the northeast. It's a small storm with a nice compact CDO, there's some very robust convection happening. It looks pretty organized right now. I think this is a decent Category 1 tomorrow morning and might surprise us in its strengthening, a low-end Cat 2 is not out of the question if the shear can stay easy on it. These small storms can be so unpredictable. I wonder about the rainfall totals up here this week. Even with baroclinic effects broadening the storm, this thing really is small. I don't expect big rainfall totals too far from the center, that's for sure. Quietly, this is becoming a massive tropical season. August, September, could be a real adventure for the United States.
  19. Santa Claus
    i'd like to congratulate everyone experiencing their 20th heat advisory or excessive heat warning of the summer, you can trade in your punchcard for a free large soup at any participating Panera Bread.
  20. Santa Claus
    you're a f'n treasure @wdrag
  21. Santa Claus
    Don't write it too far off as shear forecasts were a bit more generous this weekend into early next week and again, there's hurricane soup in front of it. But man it looks bad. Might just get picked up as a big warm front by Monday.
  22. Santa Claus
    The robust southwest convection might favor center relocation there and a more likely FL hit. Central dense overcast seems to be developing. Or not, I don't know anything, I just post what I feel until someone tells me why I'm wrong. I'm trying though.
  23. Santa Claus
    Looking pretty spicy now... oooh. Nice concentrated center to the southwest. Undeniable organization and strengthening happening.
  24. Santa Claus
    I'm thinking a path kinda like Matthew until it gets picked up in the current between the trough and ridge. SC landfall. Looking a little better organized. Tonight could get really interesting with all the bathwater it's sitting on. If it can stay organized enough to exclude all the dry low-level air in front of it, anyway.
  25. Santa Claus
    I think it'll hug near the coast and stay offshore. We've seen that kind of behavior before. The convection fires up over the ocean, so the center gets pulled to it, at least that's my interpretation of what happens.
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