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Santa Claus

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Everything posted by Santa Claus

  1. Santa Claus
    Plenty of trees at 35 feet.
  2. Santa Claus
    Probably not a great day for friends, family, and neighbors around here tomorrow. Bad trends.
  3. Santa Claus
    Better than they were this morning, at any rate.
  4. Santa Claus
    We REALLY lucked out this thing was hit so hard by shear and dry air.
  5. Santa Claus
    Yikes, murdered.
  6. Santa Claus
    lol guys I made a meme and i am sorry it's so bad
  7. Santa Claus
    He's not a troll though and I'm not a weenie, I'm trying to learn and contribute... was thinking it looked a fair bit stronger and more organized. I'll call a spade a spade, I said it was looking dishevled yesterday. I hate being wrong here, there's so many good meteorologists and it's so easy for an amateur like myself to make themselves look stupid. So if I said something stupid I want to learn from it. That's all.
  8. Santa Claus
    I'm just seriously tripped out by the idea I'm too stupid to find a naked swirl on GOES EAST. I mean people joke about being triggered but I just spent 10 minutes looking at screens trying to find what he's talking about, and because I can't find it I feel even dumber.
  9. Santa Claus
    Can you take a picture of something to show me? I swear I am looking at GOES EAST shots thinking this thing looks decent and your post is throwing me for a loop.
  10. Santa Claus
    The outflow looks nice and sharp especially to the northeast. It's a small storm with a nice compact CDO, there's some very robust convection happening. It looks pretty organized right now. I think this is a decent Category 1 tomorrow morning and might surprise us in its strengthening, a low-end Cat 2 is not out of the question if the shear can stay easy on it. These small storms can be so unpredictable. I wonder about the rainfall totals up here this week. Even with baroclinic effects broadening the storm, this thing really is small. I don't expect big rainfall totals too far from the center, that's for sure. Quietly, this is becoming a massive tropical season. August, September, could be a real adventure for the United States.
  11. Santa Claus
    i'd like to congratulate everyone experiencing their 20th heat advisory or excessive heat warning of the summer, you can trade in your punchcard for a free large soup at any participating Panera Bread.
  12. Santa Claus
    you're a f'n treasure @wdrag
  13. Santa Claus
    Don't write it too far off as shear forecasts were a bit more generous this weekend into early next week and again, there's hurricane soup in front of it. But man it looks bad. Might just get picked up as a big warm front by Monday.
  14. Santa Claus
    The robust southwest convection might favor center relocation there and a more likely FL hit. Central dense overcast seems to be developing. Or not, I don't know anything, I just post what I feel until someone tells me why I'm wrong. I'm trying though.
  15. Santa Claus
    Looking pretty spicy now... oooh. Nice concentrated center to the southwest. Undeniable organization and strengthening happening.
  16. Santa Claus
    I'm thinking a path kinda like Matthew until it gets picked up in the current between the trough and ridge. SC landfall. Looking a little better organized. Tonight could get really interesting with all the bathwater it's sitting on. If it can stay organized enough to exclude all the dry low-level air in front of it, anyway.
  17. Santa Claus
    I think it'll hug near the coast and stay offshore. We've seen that kind of behavior before. The convection fires up over the ocean, so the center gets pulled to it, at least that's my interpretation of what happens.
  18. Santa Claus
    The shear has relaxed a bit in front of it and the forecasts look favorable for muted upper-level shear where it's likely to be this weekend. Shear further relaxes Monday.
  19. Santa Claus
    Pretty trashy-looking system tbh.
  20. Santa Claus
    It's a carwash outside.
  21. Santa Claus
    Absolutely pissing rain. Total FF stuff. The entire sky is condensing on my head.
  22. Santa Claus
    CTC each and every second. I hate to look at my phone unless I miss something. WOW!
  23. Santa Claus
    I forgot about the thread here. Lots of lightning looking westward, getting ready for the 2 AM wakeup thunder.
  24. Santa Claus
    Lightning pouring out of the cells encroaching from Pennsylvania, flashes every few seconds here in Piscataway. Heavy echoes on radar. Hunterdon County getting a crush job and I have to think I'm getting a late night taste.
  25. Santa Claus
    Just tons of time left for any number of solutions. I haven't seen a lot of talk about potential future interaction with the trough over the eastern U.S. A few models did have some kind of capture and a crash into the Carolinas.
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