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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    Up to a 130mph Cat 4 as of 5PM ET.
  2. DDweatherman
    I actually think based on T estimates and that wrapped ring, 160mph may be conservative for what Jova is doing right now, might be a 175mph storm
  3. DDweatherman
    NHC actually has this getting to 175mph in the 12h forecast frame, incredible.
  4. DDweatherman
    Valdosta looks to be a test to see what these winds are like in a more concentrated population center.
  5. DDweatherman
    Link by chance to take a look?
  6. DDweatherman
    And they’re intense, 125-130mph it looks like. Valdosta looks to catch a piece of this NW eye wall on the current trajectory.
  7. DDweatherman
    Keaton Beach area looks to be near ground zero for the western eye wall.
  8. DDweatherman
    Radar imagery now is more textbook of a potent ring around the eye wall characteristic of the higher end majors. Should expect to see influence from the entrance region of the jet as it nears the coastline along with some frictional effects to tighten this small core even further
  9. DDweatherman
    Up in the big bend, shelf and water depths are relatively shallow compared to the rest of the gulf. If this was moving slow, it’d churn up a good bit of the OHP. In this case, not as much with the storms forward speed.
  10. DDweatherman
    Rate looks like 2-3mb/hr of deepening currently.
  11. DDweatherman
    Barring a small miracle looks like this thing will make cat 4 tonight. She’s blowing up fast right now.
  12. DDweatherman
    Blame my buddy who sent me 06z when I'm mobile on a job site you're correct. Didn't realize 6z was that far left. 933mb at LF.
  13. DDweatherman
    12Z HAFS B basically goes right over TLH, landfall on Dog Island/Carrabelle from the looks of it.
  14. DDweatherman
    Pretty far north here, but it’s also the COAMPS. Opposite of the direction the others have moved
  15. DDweatherman
    Had a bunch of those here this evening
  16. DDweatherman
    That Westminster damage is textbook straight line wind/downburst.
  17. DDweatherman
    Weird but still getting CG strikes up here every couple mins well behind the storm. Impressive and certainly unusual.
  18. DDweatherman
    That damage in Westminster is indicative of a microburst/downburst type of straight line damage.
  19. DDweatherman
    There are roads closed all over MD, Westminster (140,27,97) & I-83
  20. DDweatherman
    The main event for the Balt folks is going to be the piece moving ENE out of Germantown as opposed to what looked like it would be the bow dropping SE
  21. DDweatherman
    Not that impressed outside of the Carroll county/Westminster area. Thinking it came eastward a bit too quickly to maximize good parameters.
  22. DDweatherman
    Multiple friends/family in Westminster report trees down all over the place.
  23. DDweatherman
    Don’t be surprised after the line passes in NW zones if there’s clearing 6PM to sunset to add a little more instability to the atmosphere…could cause showers to have quick spin ups, LWX mentioned this in early AM disco. Some stuff back in WV as the line clears quickly.
  24. DDweatherman
    Baltimore is in line for a real shellacking this time. I had 2 verified severe storms in July so not that bummed I’m missing the thick of this one. Thursday will give another opp.
  25. DDweatherman
    Line blowing up right near Waynesboro
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