DDweatherman

Well there’s also the seasonal trend. We’ve seen similar looks modeled, and have them knocked down in a fashion similar to how guidance has done today. Wouldn’t be fair to say anyone saw it coming unless they were being pessimistic about the winter but we shouldn’t be surprised as our own winter is the analog

St Patty’s day window has some potential, would be a lot easier to believe it if it weren’t for our luck season to date.

I agree with this part.

I think you’re ignoring my point. I actually completely agree with/respect sticking to your guns. I was referring to you holding out hope for storms that were looking bleak all winter…pattern changes, etc. edit to add…no one is going to disagree with a met publicly on thread who says a favorable outcome could be in the cards, it fuels the snow lovers dreams.

It absolutely has a look of SER influence at the least. You may not see the same heights of a full blown ridge, but the impact and anomalies give that resemblance in ground truth.

You can think what you want and I respect your opinions/input. But eventually It looks weenie-ish.

This is in no disrespect to your red tag, but there aren’t many Mets who I can say I’ve never seen poo poo on threats or opportunities. Your posts are always pro snow & pattern, and that’s not lining up with any of the ground truth we’ve had. there’s a difference between optimism and realism. The upstream look on the last few suites isnt making any friends here and the observation is that it would be very difficult to score with that look. There’s no sugar coating it was ugly. Are we giving up, no…but it’s about to be 4th down and long.

How many times were we getting bombed in the past with a 995 low over Bristol? Just wondering. Crazy we can’t get a redeveloper outta that as the low is dying off.

I’m waiting for jaws from Randy or beer discussions from CAPE worst case. Jesus some of you are the worst posters in the history of online discussion threads. This one is 5.5-6 days out, I’m sure it’s all resolved though…

Can we have a storm in the pipe for some preparatory beers @Scraff anyone seen? @nw baltimore wx

It wasn’t an attack… the fact that you get in this mindset on a weather thread alone is probably part of the problem. We all want it just as bad as you. I know a lot of people have gone on the offensive with you, and my post was a little passive aggressive at you…but hardly an attack. That being said, you can always vent to me here, I’d prefer via PM’s though. the Gfs is conjuring up your cure potion for next week anyways.

False hope is indeed the worst kind of hope. Getting a boundary south of us and any resemblance of blocking/a cold antecedent airmass at least makes it make sense.

No reason to ignore you, it’s not like you’re a bad person for your posts. You just need some snow to cure the disease you’ve come up with.

Your posts are never about anything important, but I agree. Randy has the final say about threads for any storm that could salvage this god forsaken “winter.” Threads don’t affect the weather though…

My 7.1” this season feels like 87” this year. Sad and I wish we could all have 7”, even @ravensrule

@Scraff @nw baltimore wx when we getting together again for beers? It will bring snow to the subforum.

I dread reading your posts knowing what they're going to sound like before I even read them. When we get bad news from a model run, it's like predicting death & taxes.

They are open weekdays at this time?

It's dumping sleet here, I mean dumping lol.

Good to get taken out there when its a positive bust

The neighborhood I'm in is prime for a long sled track, ideal conditions at the moment lol. Roads out our way were nothing short of awful. Some sleet in there now to really make things rough.

About 3” here, but it was cool to see us work out that warm layer and it’s all snow in this batch. Don’t think the stuff south has the right vector to nip us sadly. Thermals are still cooperating too, 31 here

It’s dumping right now, all snow as well. 1”/hr stuff just think, if it did this until tonight we’d have a lot of snow lol

I think you’re talking about the storm 2 years ago? Haha we didn’t have that last year, but Thurmont up to you got 20” while Westminster got like 8 and Fairfield maybe 12-14”

Over 2” in CV/Fairfield via the mrs and yeah it's interesting to see some other spots with the jack this time.