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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Blame my buddy who sent me 06z when I'm mobile on a job site you're correct. Didn't realize 6z was that far left. 933mb at LF.
  2. 12Z HAFS B basically goes right over TLH, landfall on Dog Island/Carrabelle from the looks of it.
  3. Pretty far north here, but it’s also the COAMPS. Opposite of the direction the others have moved
  4. That Westminster damage is textbook straight line wind/downburst.
  5. Weird but still getting CG strikes up here every couple mins well behind the storm. Impressive and certainly unusual.
  6. That damage in Westminster is indicative of a microburst/downburst type of straight line damage.
  7. There are roads closed all over MD, Westminster (140,27,97) & I-83
  8. The main event for the Balt folks is going to be the piece moving ENE out of Germantown as opposed to what looked like it would be the bow dropping SE
  9. Not that impressed outside of the Carroll county/Westminster area. Thinking it came eastward a bit too quickly to maximize good parameters.
  10. Multiple friends/family in Westminster report trees down all over the place.
  11. Don’t be surprised after the line passes in NW zones if there’s clearing 6PM to sunset to add a little more instability to the atmosphere…could cause showers to have quick spin ups, LWX mentioned this in early AM disco. Some stuff back in WV as the line clears quickly.
  12. Baltimore is in line for a real shellacking this time. I had 2 verified severe storms in July so not that bummed I’m missing the thick of this one. Thursday will give another opp.
  13. This event wrt meso setup in the derecho airmass would probably have been atop our all time severe list. Unlikely considering the jet & L/H positioning that we’d get that kind of heat, but it would be a wild show.
  14. Hgr storm reintensifying and velocities looking interesting last refresh
  15. Lotta outflow in Waynesboro where I currently am from the storm near HGR, pleasant in the winds
  16. I guess we need to watch the storm near Clear Spring, could get us. Turning more right it seems
  17. Not in the direct sub, but I bet there’s legitimate hail in that Mercersburg cell to the north. Very impressive
  18. Clear spring HGR storm starting to rotate a bit it seems
  19. Makes sense that they’re keeping their word, no bigger event than the iowa Illinois 2020 derecho. If that’s not getting a high for wind, nothing is…
  20. Agreed, it would have to be a real time upgrade based on widespread reports/damage and sig severe reports. as a side note, you must be pretty impressed with the set up if the look is “just below” that
  21. It will be interesting as SPC has “learned a lot” in years past with regards to derecho’s and how the public receives their outlooks. If there’s an sig severe line producing 70-80+ MPH gusts into DC/BAL at aftn rush that’s when I could see a 60% wind type of local upgrade.
  22. There’s no way they’d do that until the 20z update had ground truth with multiple TW’s and reports. Could see it happening this afternoon given the destabilization but they wouldn’t on a “whim”
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