If that kicker is modeled more accurately by the Euro, it certainly flattens the flow and dampens out our wave, not really having any chance at the phase the GFS is now onboard showing.
Last year I took the family up to deep creek/swanton for MLK weekend. We had 6-10” from the storm that came through which was too warm for the folks further east. Then the upslope turned on and we had whiteouts on and off. Finished at 21-22” for the weekend
5” OTG at the mason Dixon line just north of emmittsburg. Can confirm cc line dropped back S/SE and snow started getting very heavy at that point. 29 degrees.
Congrats. That actually inspires hope I can fight off the sleet/mix line that's right on my house at the moment when the heavy heavies move overhead. About 3-3.25" so far.
Interesting ground ob that in Winchester & Stephens City they have just transitioned back to all snow & heavy at that. They had been sleeting for the last 2 hours or so.