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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Nam puts some moderate snow down for N/W crew between h30&36
  2. SW flow and these overrunning events as we know tend to have leading edge precip and it can over perform. That being said, DP’s dropped quite a bit and we’ll need to saturate.
  3. Can’t help but think a compromise of the euro and the gfs gives the NW crew 4-5” and our DC brethren win too
  4. yall can have 5 if I get my 3, happy. But ya know it could verify a bit NW
  5. I like seeing the ass hair more amped early and the axis of precip. need to beef up that back end now since the first batch is looking a fair bit wetter. Mesos will be our asset moving into tonight and the overnight
  6. Makes me wonder why we’d mention an ass hair or a CH if it’s noise
  7. This is also kinda incorrect. The Euro shows 4-5” totals up towards Mt.PSU, whereas a model like the ICON, GGEM, RGEM have a 2-4 distro…
  8. That’s a good point, but also incorrect. The Euro doesn’t do the first part and you and I still get the good totals.
  9. Anyone ready to keep the fire burning with the GFS? Or are we due for a shit run with 2” totals only DC and south?
  10. Remember that one, wintry scene. This should be accompanied (hopefully by periods of moderate rates, maybe we get some 1/2mi vis SN going to help tack on some totals. I do think there will be some localized heavier stuff, especially if coastal enhancement pants out overnight tomorrow. If I still lived near Baltimore, my bar would be about 2.5” right now
  11. Very nice, uniform swath. I like it, tries with coastal.
  12. Good thoughts. Think we could get the last minute N trend. But I’d like to see gfs show 4-6” swath again on 18z
  13. He’s banking on the RGEM showing bigly stuff here in a few
  14. Yeah you aren’t gonna hear me complain one bit if that verifies.
  15. There really is a way we win on both pieces of the wave, NAM was just most robust (by a good bit) for tomorrows piece. Not as much in way of coastal enhancement
  16. So what you’re saying is we need to root for the NAM tomorrow and GFS/Euro to keep snow through Tuesday evening
  17. What do you mean? This won’t be over by 5z TUES unless I’m missing something? Some models have us going through the evening? I haven’t looked at 3k, does it move everything up?
  18. 18z suite is off to a drunken, snowy start folks. Long weekend has us in prime form.
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