Jump to content

DDweatherman

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,231

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    18z gfs is just the beginning of the PSU miracle south trend
  2. DDweatherman
    QPF is pretty light on the GFS, 1-3" across the area. However, and I would say this is mildly important...the S/W at h5 passed slightly south-er of the 12z run. And I'm 100% sure of that lol, no takebacks.
  3. DDweatherman
    Icon isn’t too bad. Prediction is we hit rock bottom with the 18z gfs, but then the trend north stops and 0z moistens a bit.
  4. DDweatherman
    It’s definitely not that lol. We just have to make up an excuse at this point. Getting a n/s wave to not put the nail in the coffin tonight is miracle work.
  5. DDweatherman
    @StormyClearweather maybe if this storm comes back, @stormtrackerwill consider sharing his snap with you? trying to barter with the snow gods as we speak.
  6. DDweatherman
    Let’s just use this storm to pretend we’re angry at PSU, if I recall correctly 1/26/11 was the PSUhoffman storm back in the day? We can make this the f*** PSU storm? Then we can do PSU2 in February?
  7. DDweatherman
    His analogs are accurate too, it just doesn’t happen for us with these types of systems. You have to use your buffer, we probably peaked on this 24 hours early.
  8. DDweatherman
    If the icon cuts qpf 25% or more from its solid 12z run, this threads gotta go.
  9. DDweatherman
    It just almost never comes back S with a northern stream wave too… i don’t even know if our 100% successful methods will work on this
  10. DDweatherman
    This is a northern stream system, they almost always trend N. Not to be confused with our SS s/w that don’t always come NW.
  11. DDweatherman
    Guys, what do we do to rescue this? We have the pattern temporary flipping on the back side of this. If we want to be a snow town, we have to activate our stops right now. resting our hopes on the icon jma and rgem is a very risky proposition. Do we gotta start getting drunk like last weekend? @stormtracker
  12. DDweatherman
    We had good trends but we peaked too soon yesterday. however, my 0% scientific opinion says at 0z we actually see this come back our way a bit. I said that last week and that was the start of our comeback. Trying to replicate all the variables.
  13. DDweatherman
    Let me help you guys, this run sucks.
  14. DDweatherman
    Mount PSU is pretty high up, I’m only at about 900’ myself. But 10 mins away I can be at 1500 ft near Fort Ritchie
  15. DDweatherman
    Can you slow it down just a wee bit for us so they can interact a bit?
  16. DDweatherman
    He’s right, we need new data to go with the new thread. 18z usually doesn’t turn us around if 12z sucked
  17. DDweatherman
    Yeah let’s do a second thread. I bet she juices up starting at 0z.
  18. DDweatherman
    I was damn accurate when I said the 2” line would be around Georgetown. Look at that
  19. DDweatherman
    For the folks who don’t know, given the fluffy nature of the high ratio snow we received, the snow is more so sublimating than it is melting, given the current conditions. Just a note
  20. DDweatherman
    Agreed, I do like the h5 pass and that coinciding with the LER of the jet. Should help with some ascent to get us decent rates vs the really light stuff. These can juice up closer to gametime provided you have an ideal s/w pass. We do have that here (as modeled).
  21. DDweatherman
    Predictions for the euro, a nice swath of 2-4 from N edge of DC (say about Georgetown) to the M/D line. About .2-.25" QPF for most.
  22. DDweatherman
    Ahh Jesus, here we go again.
  23. DDweatherman
    At first glance, this looks like something trended north, but in reality it was a carbon copy of 6z gfs as Randy said. ICON & RGEM actually went south a bit.
  24. DDweatherman
    Run to run there are fluctuations, each model gets drier than another gets wetter, etc. 12z GFS was an ideal location for the vort pass
  25. DDweatherman
    H5 almost carbon copy of 6z to my eyes
×
×
  • Create New...