Jump to content

DDweatherman

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    6,038

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. DDweatherman
    My sister just sent me this, 11 years ago today chasing in upstate with @TSSN+ if we don’t get a big dog soon, I’m going to the big dog. @BuffaloWeather coming for the next big LES.
  2. DDweatherman
    At 84 that energy is phasing into the backside of the system pressing eastward.
  3. DDweatherman
    It's crazy that you're saying this, I JUST looked at it and said to myself "well, it has a progressive bias." Weenies sure think alike. I was bored in the downtime between model cycles..
  4. DDweatherman
    There is a laundry list of things I’d do for a 20”er
  5. DDweatherman
    Do you happen to have a low positions map?
  6. DDweatherman
    It’s worth watching because there’s small intricacies in the evolution that have big impact. The euro actually was better with heights and SS but worse as the n/s outran the phasing a bit which hurt the system downstream for us.
  7. DDweatherman
    In some ways it’s a better run with a worse result. Closer to giving us a coastal result but because of that kills the moderate idea from 6z as it dries up the n/s energy.
  8. DDweatherman
    It really is so close to something much more substantial. The smallest differences have big time downstream implications.
  9. DDweatherman
    Also have some climate models CFS - can’t forecast shit CanSIPS - CantSHIT
  10. DDweatherman
    Have come up with nicknames for the models other than the euro GFS - good for shit UK- ukSHIT CMC - SHITcan ICON - iconic piece of shit any others?
  11. DDweatherman
    Stay down there.
  12. DDweatherman
    Historically, what does a storm like this tend to trend towards as we close in?
  13. DDweatherman
    GGEM looks better than 0z looking at h5 thru 54.
  14. DDweatherman
    Probably. Every place he used to live before Hanover got more snow than him yesterday... including Fairfax county.
  15. DDweatherman
    Be nice if we could get the adjustments we used to get often around these parts.
  16. DDweatherman
    Sadly true, but I don't think we can get to where we need to be. I'm ok with 2-4/3-5 so long as we don't get fringejobbed again.
  17. DDweatherman
    SS getting held back/left behind a bit makes it hard to gain much neutral tilt to get that orientation to climb the way we want it. Maybe it'll pull it off anyway.
  18. DDweatherman
    It's also more south with the low and h5 more strung out with a sloppier connection of streams. I'll hold judgement but don't love it thus far.
  19. DDweatherman
    We could win on a moderate event this way if we are all setting expectations on a 3-5'er.
  20. DDweatherman
    Phasing looks very sloppy this run compared to some of the prior runs (thru 60).
  21. DDweatherman
    I wouldn't mind a 5-6 week stretch like what happened in 14 or kinda what happened in 15. Hitting with those borderline events which our areas maximize potential on.
  22. DDweatherman
    I certainly don't mind those when we get more than 1 and that ends up being the winter. A second one in a week reminds me of last year when I had two warning level events up here. The 4" outside from yesterday looks great, wouldn't mind adding 4 more.
  23. DDweatherman
    Exactly what I'm hoping for. Some degree of phasing that keeps the juiced system together as it moves towards the coast. If we can get the low to about the OBX that should push decent snow over most of the sub.
  24. DDweatherman
    I think that's a way most of us can win vs relying on the coastal to climb the coast via a clean phase. A little interaction should keep the precip intact as this propagates eastward into a decent airmass.
  25. DDweatherman
    Pic taken through the window this morning of some deep winter. Not the storm we hoped for up here, but about 4” total. Chilly this morning 18 degrees.
×
×
  • Create New...