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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Not that impressed outside of the Carroll county/Westminster area. Thinking it came eastward a bit too quickly to maximize good parameters.
  2. Multiple friends/family in Westminster report trees down all over the place.
  3. Don’t be surprised after the line passes in NW zones if there’s clearing 6PM to sunset to add a little more instability to the atmosphere…could cause showers to have quick spin ups, LWX mentioned this in early AM disco. Some stuff back in WV as the line clears quickly.
  4. Baltimore is in line for a real shellacking this time. I had 2 verified severe storms in July so not that bummed I’m missing the thick of this one. Thursday will give another opp.
  5. This event wrt meso setup in the derecho airmass would probably have been atop our all time severe list. Unlikely considering the jet & L/H positioning that we’d get that kind of heat, but it would be a wild show.
  6. Hgr storm reintensifying and velocities looking interesting last refresh
  7. Lotta outflow in Waynesboro where I currently am from the storm near HGR, pleasant in the winds
  8. I guess we need to watch the storm near Clear Spring, could get us. Turning more right it seems
  9. Not in the direct sub, but I bet there’s legitimate hail in that Mercersburg cell to the north. Very impressive
  10. Clear spring HGR storm starting to rotate a bit it seems
  11. Makes sense that they’re keeping their word, no bigger event than the iowa Illinois 2020 derecho. If that’s not getting a high for wind, nothing is…
  12. Agreed, it would have to be a real time upgrade based on widespread reports/damage and sig severe reports. as a side note, you must be pretty impressed with the set up if the look is “just below” that
  13. It will be interesting as SPC has “learned a lot” in years past with regards to derecho’s and how the public receives their outlooks. If there’s an sig severe line producing 70-80+ MPH gusts into DC/BAL at aftn rush that’s when I could see a 60% wind type of local upgrade.
  14. There’s no way they’d do that until the 20z update had ground truth with multiple TW’s and reports. Could see it happening this afternoon given the destabilization but they wouldn’t on a “whim”
  15. Just saw that and mentioned it to @TSSN+, first supercell
  16. Squarely in the MDT area up here on the PA side of the Emmittsburg area, wondering if we’re too north/west to cash in today directly.
  17. A fortunate time to be on paternity leave with my newborn here at home, less time to focus on work and more for tracking storms
  18. We started that day in no risk/TSTM if I remember right? Even the 8/10/20 derecho in iowa was MDT, should have been high clearly due to the nature of incredibly intense reports.
  19. Regular 60% wind doesn’t even get a HIGH risk, though when would there ever be a 60% without having a hatched area. Hard to think we’d ever seen one outside a long tracking derecho
  20. Indeed, could be a very interesting afternoon. While you're at it, don't forget your 6 of Hearts ticket at the Emmitsburg FD.
  21. Can attest to that out here in Carroll Valley, sun is out pretty nicely this AM. Still those clouds associated with the decaying MCS out to the west, but there are indications we'll get the instability we'd need to produce.
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