Best way is getting cyclogensis off a stalled front of SE coast, with troughing scooping it up the coast. Every year I see models try to squeeze a landfall between ridging and it never works out. Too thread the needle
This looked like a sure thing a few days ago..but now it looks like a struggle to get .25-.50 down here. We'll see if the RGEM/Hi-Res are full of shit. Euro would give us something at least.