Jump to content

olafminesaw

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,945

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    The GEFS actually ticked north at 12z, but in general the trend has not been our friend. I do think Charlotte and South should get enough rain to mitigate drought concerns. And for them mountains many areas will do well as a result of orographic lift.
  2. olafminesaw
    Pretty intense looking MCS rolling towards Jackson MS now.
  3. olafminesaw
    A bullseye of over 20" in 24 hrs NW of Spartanburg
  4. olafminesaw
    Good model agreement on heavy rainfall next week.
  5. olafminesaw
    I didn't realize how unprecedented tornado outbreaks were in June for Dixie alley. No part of that region has ever gotten a 10% risk (going back to 2006):
  6. olafminesaw
    Starting to look a little soggy next week with a cutoff low and plenty of moisture
  7. olafminesaw
    Just curious, does anyone know what city is pictured in the NWS haze icon?
  8. olafminesaw
    While the GFS is unrealistic in terms of intensity, I'd be a little concerned about a weak tropical system meandering inland and causing flooding. The 12z & 6Z GFS both support this idea, although I kinda expect the GFS to drop the system altogether at some point.
  9. olafminesaw
    Neat to see the trough highlighted by the smoke on visible
  10. olafminesaw
    Wow! Frisco pier water temp is currently 69 degrees. Average is 76 and lowest in the POR of 1981-2005 is 73 (per surf-fotecast.com)
  11. olafminesaw
    Just a little 26 degree difference between models 3 days out
  12. olafminesaw
    Seems a little suspect, could get almost chilly this Thursday
  13. olafminesaw
    If you guessed the following, your entry has a duplicate value with another entry(at least as far as I managed to not fat finger in excel): 11/5/2 (3x), 12/5/2, 13/5/1, 13/5/2, 15/7/3, 16/5/2, 16/7/4
  14. olafminesaw
    With pressure outside the circulation being unusually low, around 1008mb, there's not much of a gradient.
  15. olafminesaw
    Looks like the warmest it's going to get in Greensboro, in the month of May is 84 degrees (happened to also be 84 in April/March as well weirdly enough.) This is the coolest May by this metric since 1983. Less remarkable in terms of average temp, only a couple degrees below average
  16. olafminesaw
    I just want one official forecast discussion to refer to weather conditions as "a vibe", lol
  17. olafminesaw
    Looks like it's trying to complete the most seamless erc in the history of mab
  18. olafminesaw
    This is from yesterday.
  19. olafminesaw
  20. olafminesaw
    Plenty of banding per microwave. I was thinking that annular cyclones have a somewhat lower intensity ceiling?
  21. olafminesaw
  22. olafminesaw
    A second RI phase occuring.These, 8 hours apart:
  23. olafminesaw
    https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/storm.html?tcid=WP02
  24. olafminesaw
    I think it completed a few hours ago, but it ingested a ton of dry air in the process. This has caused a lopsided eye and a weakness on the north side of the storm. It seem to be starting to mix out the dry air and wrap convection around the eye, as the structure stabilizes. Weakening should at least stop before reaching Guam, and has a chance at re-intensification before landfall.
  25. olafminesaw
    Really starting to look like an EWRC may save Guam from a cat 5 impact. Barring a meld or quick completion, neither of which are especially likely
×
×
  • Create New...