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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    GRAF is the same https://x.com/Daniel_Bonds/status/1877671619683848519
  2. olafminesaw
    HRRR holds steady. The sleet fluctuates back and forth over Guilford county for the second half of the storm
  3. olafminesaw
    There really aren't any models showing precip before around 5pm, but also these overrunning events tend to start 2-3 hours earlier than modeled (at least as far as light flurry action goes)
  4. olafminesaw
    RAH has onset much later than many of the news outlets which are saying 12-3. I am guessing somewhere in between, around 4ish for the triad.
  5. olafminesaw
    Those generally come with the changeover, so you should get them eventually
  6. olafminesaw
    Snow being reported well south of Atlanta. Meanwhile the NAM...(Which had onset a few hours later)
  7. olafminesaw
  8. olafminesaw
    HRRR has the sleet line push north quite early but then gets pushed back south when the heavier rates arrive
  9. olafminesaw
  10. olafminesaw
    It's okay, gotta watch for cavities but throwing back a few apple juices with the boys never hurt anyone
  11. olafminesaw
    I gotta say, having moved here from the DC metro, it feels odd getting a winter storm warning for 2-3" of snow!
  12. olafminesaw
    It's a game of inches! (Or miles anyway) VA line Archdale Asheboro Greensboro
  13. olafminesaw
  14. olafminesaw
    Even accounting for the NAM being too far north I would be a bit concerned that this is what it's showing not too long after onset in the triad Weenie phase 2 is here,just 30 minutes later!
  15. olafminesaw
    Illustrates the expression ,where you can smell the sleet line is where the heaviest snowfall occurs
  16. olafminesaw
    Very reminiscent of 2022. Although that was more like .75"+ of QPF IIRC
  17. olafminesaw
    Sleet line moving north as expected, but not before dropping solid snow totals for most
  18. olafminesaw
    Kinda what I would expect precip type to look like
  19. olafminesaw
    A nasty refreeze likely Saturday night with highs near 40 on Saturday before dipping into the teens Saturday night.
  20. olafminesaw
    Be careful with precip type maps! The NAM seems to be overplaying the ZR, this sounding for Raleigh area would likely be sleet, especially with that much lift.
  21. olafminesaw
    Latest GRAF is solid https://x.com/AndrewWMBF/status/1877304541500109179
  22. olafminesaw
    And I don't the RAP ever has a wheelhouse
  23. olafminesaw
    Perhaps 18z will at least stop the bleeding if not start moving back the other way!
  24. olafminesaw
    Virga virga virga
  25. olafminesaw
    Hmmm
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