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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    I think there may be a little more hope for February this year with a fading Nina (possibly neutral by then)
  2. olafminesaw
  3. olafminesaw
    The dewpoint has nearly continuously risen for the past 72 hours from 2 degrees up to 53
  4. olafminesaw
    It really just sounds like an argument over if the glass is half full or half empty. I choose to appreciate the flakes we got even though it's frustrating to have been so close to more significant accumulation
  5. olafminesaw
    Oh yeah, that'll totally happen
  6. olafminesaw
    NOAA is rolling out new AI models, including a hybrid model combining the GEFS and the AI GEFS https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-deploys-new-generation-of-ai-driven-global-weather-models
  7. olafminesaw
    Also the earliest in the year it has gotten this cold at GSO since Nov 25th 1970
  8. olafminesaw
    Tied with 2024. The last time it dropped colder than 11 was Dec 2022 when it dropped to 5.
  9. olafminesaw
    Definitely felt colder last night at 20 degrees with the wind whipping than this morning at 12 and fairly calm.
  10. olafminesaw
  11. olafminesaw
    Perhaps some potential behind the front for a little snow for NE NC and SE VA
  12. olafminesaw
    Somehow always flips around Christmas and then finally full flips back to a favorable pattern in March
  13. olafminesaw
  14. olafminesaw
    Reminds me of miller Bs back when I lived in DC, the storm would skip over us and then blast NJ
  15. olafminesaw
    The wrap around light snow is starting to pivot into wake county. May only affect the Northern part of the county and will be relatively minor but I think will lead to some light accumulation in spots
  16. olafminesaw
    Additional QPF. Raleigh may end up with half an inch or so this evening
  17. olafminesaw
    From Raleigh N and East there may be a little wrap-around/back-building snow as well
  18. olafminesaw
    Solid coating in Stokesdale
  19. olafminesaw
    That cut-off across Guilford county
  20. olafminesaw
    Yeah, dewpoint at 36 is not ideal. With the heavier precip expected to stay to the north, I would be a little surprised if we got even a dusting at this point (still should get some light snow this afternoon to set the mood at least)
  21. olafminesaw
    18z models
  22. olafminesaw
    Already down to 38 in Greensboro. Dewpoint 33
  23. olafminesaw
    Models more or less hold steady overnight. Temps going to be an issue even as the heavier snow moves through, holding in the mid 30s in the Triad per model consensus. Probably would be a bit colder in the heaviest bands, but if the better dynamics are north of the VA border as the Euro and RGEM show, we could get blanked again
  24. olafminesaw
    If I were a betting man I'd say the RGEM probably has the best handle on this. Looking back it more or less nailed the last system 48 hours out (just a couple counties too far south)
  25. olafminesaw
    I'm inclined to agree, although as we get towards the middle of December, suppression becomes more and more likely form a climo standpoint
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