olafminesaw
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Everything posted by olafminesaw
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Seems like the sort of pattern where we may get frequent shots at light accumulation but no big storm threat.
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All three major indices favorable (albeit near neutral mid-month), may be hard for models to resolve
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Yeah, as much as the concern has been that cold dumps to our West, it seems like the trend today has been to make any cold air in North America disappear
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Given the -NAO, we would have to really be cursed not to get any cold air in Jan. Linking up the moisture with the cold is of course another matter
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GEFS and AI GEFS both showing cold around the 12th, while the EPS is warm
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Obviously seems like a kick the can situation but beyond the first reshuffle looking good on the AI GEFS
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Yeah, even if PNA developed as advertised yesterday, there is usually a lag before we see impacts. Now that too is in question. Anyone know how PNA works together with Enso? I would think they would be interrelated.
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My wife's home town in Wyoming broke it's record for Christmas eve by 9 degrees and tied the all time December high temp of 65
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Eric webb is one of the best, However he does tend to be a bit reactionary
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Record low humidity this afternoon for this date and nearly for the month of December (around 15%)
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I think there may be a little more hope for February this year with a fading Nina (possibly neutral by then)
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The dewpoint has nearly continuously risen for the past 72 hours from 2 degrees up to 53
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It really just sounds like an argument over if the glass is half full or half empty. I choose to appreciate the flakes we got even though it's frustrating to have been so close to more significant accumulation
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Oh yeah, that'll totally happen
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NOAA is rolling out new AI models, including a hybrid model combining the GEFS and the AI GEFS https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-deploys-new-generation-of-ai-driven-global-weather-models
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Also the earliest in the year it has gotten this cold at GSO since Nov 25th 1970
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Tied with 2024. The last time it dropped colder than 11 was Dec 2022 when it dropped to 5.
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Definitely felt colder last night at 20 degrees with the wind whipping than this morning at 12 and fairly calm.
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Perhaps some potential behind the front for a little snow for NE NC and SE VA
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Somehow always flips around Christmas and then finally full flips back to a favorable pattern in March
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