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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
  2. olafminesaw
    I can't remember a stretch when we've had so many days of marginal/slight risk with only 20-30% chance of storms.
  3. olafminesaw
    Insane range of totals around the lsland
  4. olafminesaw
    Google deep mind model. One of the best performing tropical models out there these days
  5. olafminesaw
  6. olafminesaw
  7. olafminesaw
    Groundbreaking stuff https://jabde.com/2026/07/07/2026-2027-super-el-nino-climate-modelling/
  8. olafminesaw
  9. olafminesaw
    It's gonna be 40 and rainy a lot this winter I fear.
  10. olafminesaw
    Check out what the HAFS A had cooked up!
  11. olafminesaw
  12. olafminesaw
    New outer eyewall forming ~250 miles wide. Going for the record?
  13. olafminesaw
    ERC #3 very much under way. Any idea what the record is for most ERCs? Gotta think four would be near impossible
  14. olafminesaw
    The unstable air advected Eastward and the cap was broken. Don't see that too often around here, much more common in the plains
  15. olafminesaw
    what an evolution!
  16. olafminesaw
  17. olafminesaw
    Dewpoint hit 77 at the airport, highest since 2021
  18. olafminesaw
  19. olafminesaw
    Even with sun the atmosphere has stabilized considerably over central NC
  20. olafminesaw
    Wow! That has to be near a record max forecast for them at a 3 day lead. Some question marks around intensity for the moment though as it appears to be starting an ERC
  21. olafminesaw
    Latest HRRR is much more promising FWIW probably more run of the mill borderline severe but something
  22. olafminesaw
    The HRRR/hires NAM have basically no convection after the MCS rolls through outside of far Eastern NC. It's not looking good TBH
  23. olafminesaw
    Structure of the year award goes to Genevieve
  24. olafminesaw
    HRRR sounding in the triad Tuesday evening. I do kinda wonder if upper level wildfire smoke will tamp down the potential somewhat
  25. olafminesaw
    Third longest streak in July of below 75 temp
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