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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    It's trying but the new eyewall is huge an unsymmetrical, so I think it's unlikely to strengthen any unless the eye gets smaller. Don't think that will happen before it starts to become more post-tropical
  2. olafminesaw
    Also, fresh convection trying to rebuild an eye. Just continues it's legendary journey
  3. olafminesaw
    There's no doubt in my mind. I also feel he was a pioneer in terms of bringing hurricane chasing into the mainstream among the weather community and even to some extent to the general public. He showed that it adds value both from a scientific data standpoint and in terms of bringing visibility to the experiences of survivors. Finally he shows that he can have compassion for those affected while still being passionate/enthusiastic about experiencing the raw power of hurricanes.
  4. olafminesaw
    Part of Black River : completely wiped away: https://x.com/WxNB_/status/1983630143647289414
  5. olafminesaw
    Another mind-blowing satellite loop, closeup of the eye https://x.com/weatherdak/status/1983629157381894297
  6. olafminesaw
    Oof, likely no surge there so all wind damage. Probably from a mesovortex
  7. olafminesaw
    https://x.com/AndrewHolnessJM/status/1983616601464434863 First flyover shot I've seen. more tornado-like damage
  8. olafminesaw
  9. olafminesaw
    Yeah there's a ton of clusters of houses along the back roads through the hills that don't look like much on the map but account for thousands of residents. Similar to the Appalachians in that way. Hill tops along the path of the eye could have easily had gusts over 180 mph. These people could be cut off for weeks without shelter, water etc.
  10. olafminesaw
    Goodness looks like a tornado came through
  11. olafminesaw
    Yikes. This solid brick church was completely destroyed in Black River, like a bomb went off. The kind of damage only storm surge can do https://x.com/nwadeema/status/1983342714986082750/mediaViewer?currentTweet=1983342714986082750&currentTweetUser=nwadeema
  12. olafminesaw
    Footage from black River. Looks like roofs ripped off and surge https://x.com/Met4CastUK/status/1983435662100705503
  13. olafminesaw
    Probably only borderline a major hurricane at this point, but a much wider area of hurricane force winds
  14. olafminesaw
    https://x.com/volcaholic1/status/1983245789158642173
  15. olafminesaw
    Even with the eye collapsing the symmetry it had maintained is incredible. It may not have suffered much structurally, although I wouldn't expect any restrengthening once it gets back over water (probably at cat 3 strength)
  16. olafminesaw
    Like an angry hornet and Jamaica just stepped on it's nest
  17. olafminesaw
    If we go off the assumption that the 11 am center fix from NHC is correct, it tracked a hair East of what satellite is showing. Also a close up of where the line is
  18. olafminesaw
    Sooo close. He experienced the max winds that's for sure. Start to be concerned about surge in his location. The caveat is that satellite is a little off from reality based on the curvature of the earth I believe
  19. olafminesaw
    The center of the eye is likely to pass very close to White house (maybe just East)
  20. olafminesaw
    Without a nearby radar it's hard to say for sure, but his location is just West of the 11 am fix, so I think it's likely he got into the eye
  21. olafminesaw
  22. olafminesaw
    Black River looks to bear the brunt of the right eyewall. Population 4,261. Looks to me like more of a local residential area with not as many resorts
  23. olafminesaw
    That's my concern. There are tons of homes scattered among the hills if you look on satellite, that aren't marked as towns on the map
  24. olafminesaw
    Dorian gives some hope, because a lot of the structures are similar: solid cinder block construction. The concern is the roofs blowing off.
  25. olafminesaw
    Treasure Beach may take the brunt of the surge
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