I think models were overdoing the shadow effect but obviously surface temps still a big issue. The CRV needs this to absolutely go to town with rates. Nowcast all the way I think.
No matter how their map changes elsewhere, BOX has had Greenfield pinned at 6-8” for three days now. With current modeling I’m thinking probably closer to 10” here. I’ll buy gas and test the generator this afternoon.
I’m still up in the air about Greenfield. I could see last week’s 7.5” actually being a bigger snow here than this one but I can also see how we could get 10-12”.
Don’t love the valley shadow effect here. I may be a 10 minute drive from 2x what mby gets.
The valley is shadowing, the question is can we get enough qpf and good enough rates to overcome. I think we are looking at 50% snow differences between let’s say under 300’ and above 700’.