If you approach this event, knowing that it has a tremendous capacity for disappointment, then it will be much easier to bare psychologically.
I’m planning on a coating here and we’ll see if there’s a pleasant surprise of more than that.
The next 10 days have potential but the run to run nail biting is not the way to go. I'm just going to sit back and listen to those with greater knowledge than I and try to slowly learn a little bit more about the dynamics at 500mb. What more's a poor wx weenie to do?
My good friend Andy organizes and founded the Western MA Backcountry Alliance. (Also covers S VT) It's a great group of people. Check it out sometime.
https://www.wmassbcalliance.org/
I would think anything over an inch of snow Friday night is gravy. It would be nice to get a refresher because the Greenfield winter carnival is this weekend.
There is epic ice. I’ll take some pictures up in the Turners Falls area tomorrow. Another week of deep cold with us too.
Yes, a high QPF, warm rainer, would be disastrous.