Hoth
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Everything posted by Hoth
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It has been a minute in these parts. I think we’ll be spreading the wealth before this pattern breaks down. -
Ray always talks about regression. Well, we’ve had a lot of warm, wet, shitty Christmases in recent years. Perhaps we’re due to regress via a blizzard this year. The Grinch will learn the true meaning of Christmas and chuck tropopause folds and thundersnow and snow to thy knickers from his sleigh.
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Saw “12z GFS” trending on Twitter and figured something must be up. Yep!
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Chapter 5: The George Situation.
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An extraordinary feat, but you can see how even rudimentary models could sniff that out given the hemispheric scale of the features involved.
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Preliminarily ... a medium impact partial Miller B, Friday
Hoth replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Ah, memories. Nightmarish terrible memories. -
And you want to be my latex salesman…
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The goofus never got on board for that one, but Euro was all over it. Back when it was the King.
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Pretty rare for the models to latch on in the long range and never waver. March ‘17 rings a bell, and the ‘16 mid Atlantic blizzard too. But I can’t think of any since.
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And all on top of like a 30” base. The pictures I took after that just make me shake my head in amazement. In fact I believe my avatar picture is one of them.
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One of my all time favorite beat downs. Cantore going insane in Plymouth with the thunder snow was icing on the cake.
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And you’ll probably account for 90% of them the way things are going.
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George, you could probably get the same pattern as ‘14-‘15 a hundred times and not get an outcome that good again. That was a freak occurrence. Just be glad you got to live through it.
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Last winter was bad? Didn’t you get blasted by a historic blizzard?
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Agreed. Not feeling it here in the valley at the moment, but the elevated spots a little inland could do well here.
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Thanks, Will. I appreciate your thoughts.
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What do we think about the thermals correcting cooler as we get closer in? That’s a decent high. Not a terrible track. Wouldn’t surprise me if we see temps tick down.
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@The 4 Seasons 3.4"
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Is that the IVT off the NJ coast?
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What's your rationale? Or is it just a gut feeling?
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We're heading to poundtown now. Much heavier and solid snow growth.
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Finally starting to snow in earnest. The fireplace is cranking, the tree is lit, the cats are stretched out and the Oban is flowing. Welcome winter!
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I have a working theory regarding James. While trying to hack NCEP from his basement, to gin up a blizzard for Harwich you understand, James accidentally stumbled upon a major conspiracy. The GFS mainframe was being diverted to mint bitcoin. Some conspirators discovered the intrusion and James had to be "erased" and put into witness protection. Soon after, the unassuming "George" made his first appearance in the world.
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Seems like maybe some convergence in western CT, just eyeballing radar?
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So many buns.
