CAD_Wedge_NC

You guys need to remember that the GFS led the way with the last storm. All other models caved to it.

Maybe not..... This is our year. How many time have we seen long range torches get muted or replaced by cold? Happening a lot this winter as we get closer to verification time. It just wants to be cold in the east.

RGEM is trending better tilt with every run. Trying its best to go neutral. Also, digging more west with each run.

I guess GSP doesn't want anything to do with this setup. I did notice that the 18Z GFS moved west a good bit at 500. Trend or noise??

First flakes here.... and so, it begins. 28 degrees.

I thought that one was a dud. Maybe I am wrong.

Looks like the blue turd really did it ..... after all these years.

Maybe a nod to the models showing a dry slot.

If that happens, I'll eat my shorts.

No, ground temps are good.... this time

Don't be so sure. The latest GFS and EURO both came south and colder than the previous run.

The alarm clock is going to go off in a few minutes, and I am going to wake up. Only to realize that it is really July and this is just another one of my many weather dreams.

Learned how to swim in the south Toe river when I was 8 years old. Seen plenty of big trout come out of that river.

Not aging well..... just goes to show you that you just can't look past 7 days with any certainly.

Sometimes you are just plain strange. Who are the "most seasoned mets" you are referring to??? I have not seen any met saying to wait 3 more weeks before any chance of winter weather. What are you looking at that would lead you to believe that? Please post a link.

Hey buddy, I wondered what happened to you. Glad you are still around.

Are you completely ignoring the MJO? That's well-established data. We have seen modeled torches evaporate as we approach go-time. Trends are pointing to a great December. Now, all that could change, but right now, you are just being negative for the sake of disagreement.

What is it with you??? Must you always criticize every positive post? You remind me of an old poster..... Widreman.

21.4 was my lowest

23 here with 3 hours left. Teens are going to be close.

31 already .... forecast says 22 for tonight's low.

We rarely miss a storm to the south. However, last winter it was suppression city around here. I don't think anyone realized the magnitude of last year's big gulf coast storm. Some locations along the gulf coast got more snow in that one storm than the last 100 years of snowfall combined. Think about all those snowless winters before 2025. That's more impressive than folks want to admit. It set all-time records for cold and snow in many places. I would not call last winter average when looking at the south/southeast as a whole. If we would have had just a little SE ridging... western NC would have been buried instead of coastal areas. Then everybody around here would have talked about it being an A+ winter. Guess it all about perspective.

I remember Robert's obvs posts during the 2009 snowstorm that broke a pine tree and damaged his house. He was truly one of the best. I also won't forget those late nights with Burgertime..... he still posts from time to time.

Yep, a lot of us old Easternwx folks ended up there. Some of us post on here and there.

He has a YouTube channel now as well as Facebook and a X account.