Typhoon Tip

I feel there’s some wish casting ... sort of going on.

Yeah I mean after all this .. there’s a reel palpable stench of not taking this seriously ... I wonder if a kind of culture war between those sort of incredulous and absent of urgency and feel an imposition vs those not getting sick lol

I agree with Brian ... And it's all a problem with our 'people,' the people of Americana, too - when we're told an inch we expect a mile. That 'narrative switching' ? That happens quite a lot, while the inch is becoming the mile in the "congress of public opinion" I swear ... at some point, some thing will come along - if perhaps needs to - that is going to forcibly humiliate society down to reality. You know what it reminds me of ... Farside cartoon from back in the day. Ole Larson at his best... he depicts to tattered ragged desiccated desert wonders that happen upon a brackish pool under a single palm, an oasis of life giving drink awaits ... and as they're kneeling down to sip ...the one turns to the other in hesitation and says, "what? - no cups!" It's not funny when the end of days is upon us, and 99% of people hesitate expecting a cup of miles.

Slow moving atmosphere ftw - we cash in on nape kisses today and tomorrow. We shits Sunday though ... and I'm not ready to toss a mid month cold enterprising event - in whatever form that ultimately insults. We are being extraordinarily blessed to have had this many nape or balm days, either kind, during any month that begins with "ape" and ends with "ril" But I think ... 20th give or take, we put it behind.

Maybe given time ..aspects about this pathogenic agent will be learned, that make it more manageable as a 'shut in' ailment - rather than admitting everyone to a hospital bed as an earlier recourse ? I know personally four people that have had this C-19. Two said it was 3 days of couch time amid a total of 6 days of general malaise. One had a head cold and lost taste and smell for three weeks but said he was out doing stuff in the yard straight through it. The other guy was worse... he hadn't eaten much in 10 days, and carried on with intermittent fever episodes during... having trouble even drinking water. Dehydrated... lost 20 lbs. But then he was able to start drinking and eating, and the fever went away - he just had a lingering cough that would not resolve fast enough for his wife not to freak out. Heh...so he goes into a med stop, and the doctor there had him on a banana bag IV for a 3-day gurney stint within 45 minutes of walking into the waiting room. He swears it was over precautionary and that he was on the mend. I mean...does it strike you as interesting how the early claims for comorbidity seemed to be adjoined by a host of other unknowns? None of these four gents had co-morbid anything as far as they knew. Four cases, pretty much unique in each case. It's not like other pandemic agents of past horror, where like everyone has a cytokine storm this, or hemorrhagic fever and bleeding that... I've heard of few cases where some J. Q. was a marathon runnin,' organic eaten super hero... ends up intubated in ICU, with last rites murmuring off to the side only interrupted by the whimpering of wife's immeasurable pain... Guy miraculously comes back against the odds but point being, it seems evident that there's something else peculiar about who/how ..what is needed at the individual level for this thing to be very dangerous. Genetics...blood type.. pissed off god ..who knows. And it's probably more like comorbidity only plays a role ... but just plays role. Maybe if science/medicine can figure out that who/how and what, this becomes more like a stay-in ordeal because they'll know if you have the X-factor that puts you in deep shit. Also ... I was reading that many of these things tend to evolve toward a less injurious strain given time. It makes sense biologically ... it doesn't make a lot a sense for an illness to ultimately kill the host before it has a chance to transmit its descendancy

Kids are very adaptive though - at least they/we have that going for them. Not in all cases, but by and large, ...it's why they can roll down a hill on purpose for fun, when/if an adult twice their age engages in that act it is usually unintended and may earn 'em a stint in traction. Lol, ..but in mentality they have neural plasticity until 21 years of age ( ~ ) that embarrasses the best of adult learners. You got to go back and put yourself into a mindful perspective, in its proper place in history. Perhaps all things being equal - or not .. hate that f'n saying - if we are to add in adaptability on one side of the scale ( to off set if not ameliorate damages perceived for these recent 18 months of disruption), and then on the other side of the scale ... add unknown death toll Ah. It may be worth it to consider a broader weighting on either side of balancing when 'proper' historical perspective is considered. Society was charged with finding the best course of action ...maybe they didn't. Maybe not as bad? But keep in mind, when this first came on the seen ... I used the expression recently "soft apocalypse" and I think in retrospect, those proportions actually fit for what was going on in the earlier era of this. No, this was not a Dino-ending comet streak across the heavens, nor a CRB from deep field astronomy so powerful that in a flash, it wipes out all biota living within a mile of the planetary lithosphere ... It wasn't something of a truly 'hard' or immediate population correction event. It really was a slow moving unknown mortality wave - That's scary for one - even for 'adulting.' But all bravery conferred, it puts any decision making apparatus of any era ..regardless of political this or competency that, under extreme duress. Stop the mortality first. December 2019 at the National Security research Division of the Pentagon ... that may have been the top priority - or what/where/whomever was panicking - ... in doing so, probably was a recourse that was paramount at the time. "Once we get ahead of this thing....," then we'll dust off and deal with the slower moving casualties later. We are here now, later. And questioning that judgement - ...I mean I'm not trying argumentative, but it does carry a soupcon op for 'hind-sight is 20-20' I guess this was going to be a learning curve for humanity. It's the first time in human history that every nation of the espoused "developed world," actually got on the same page and agreed upon a common vision and philosophy in a unilaterally globular directive that was not for the purpose conflict ( World War )...its really a watershed moment in our evolution. It is...probably something that will take scholars and historians a few decades or whatever to formally declare ... but, in using technology the way we have as a total unity, it really is one of the greatest achievements of human kind. I think a generation of children who are adaptable ( in general...there are always exceptions), will probably be alright in the long run - we hope. Maybe all this is has to be part of that trajectory -

Isn't the 'herd immunity' theoretical relative to circumstances of virulency anyway - ? I mean it seems intuitive to me.. herd immunity should depend on the nature of the offending contagion. I mean, what if an infectious agent can say, ... stay in an environment on flat surfaces much longer and remain viable ...or in he air, and travel in the jet stream ( speaking of SciFi...) and strike the Tibetan Plateau goat herders when the origin was the Navajo Nation Reservation ... what's herd immunity, then? If this new variant is more aggressive and able to transmit, that should move the herd immunity requirement to a higher percentage.

Yeah ...good point .. I haven't been breaking down to the state level in my daily hand-throwing frustration over numbers look up efforts. It's a reach for the iPhone moment I do on the couch while the Bruins are - usually - coughing up a late lead to lose at least excuse imaginable. Although they held out on the Caps last night and that was huge win, albeit a bit of a anomaly in how they did it. good sign.. But, also don't really follow the projections/ .. modeling either. So basically everything I wrote was just morning coffee cranks - haha

Actually it's my fault that 'hot take' sounded myopic like that - What I left out, I should have discretely stated: the area of SciFi I'm describing is a sort of sub-genre at the "formulaic" end, story telling aspects at the ah ha moments of discovery. That's the fun meat for formulaic SciFi - where the protagonist zygotes the course around a truly novel idea - the 'noveling' itself, is getting crowded by fact... because discoveries already having been made. 'Sides, hyperbole or not I wouldn't suggest shutting it down - 'everyone go home and just exist'.. haha.. funny tho. But, writing cyberpunk sub-genre ...agreed, there's virtually an ad infinitum of cause-and-effect consequences yet untapped, when it comes to imagining positive and negatives in how science both affects and effect people, at both the individual ...but then integrating whole groups...communities, worlds and realms. That's not really the space I was thinking when I wrote of difficulties imagining new discoveries.

Oh man.. it's utopia out there... 64 here and actually, despite making the observation that late yesterday a BD of sorts 'smeared' through ... we are actually now 1 deg ahead of yesterday ...Insane bounce back ... Calm, and totally clear solar sear. The low yesterday was 40 to 44 within 10 mi of Ayer at multiple home stations - so likely valid by shear weight of sample size. Las night was 35-37 so... 8 or 9 colder. Despite the lower launch pad, we are actually warmer/ing if not by scalar value, definitely in rate of recovery. Yesterday we topped at 70 or 71 just before the scouring of CU demarcated the west penetration of Labrador rhea... It looks like the wind field in the various guidance sans any such BD or s-breeze penetration repeat, so ...we may put back the 3 or 4 degrees on the highs today that were stolen from us yesterday. ...My god, it's a Asperger's paradise of analytics out there - It all goes away next week... Man, that GGEM 00z solution drives a 959 mb low just too far E around the 17th-19th of the month. But, just the overall tenor of the runs, don't really appeal like today ( and probably tomorrow...) will happen again for a minimum of 10 days. But like we said last night -it's been out there for a long time, and at least the first week's worth of it has failed to verify - it does lend some notion that it may all be over-selling its self in the guidance some. Heh,... kind of like the antithesis of that shit summer that chases a ridge in the guidance that never seems to get inside of D7... then, on September 15th...it finally does warm up but of course the sun is setting on the season so it's a gip -job for heat enthusiasts...

Lol, .... not speaking for the man, but it's pretty clear to me he's talking about a sociological time-bomb ...

Yesterday was a 20K case load set back on progress... I check the numbers, ..daily, for morbid - ... 81 K ... which was about a 33% ( ~ ) increase over the previous 7-day average NC/day, was a bit of exhale ugh'er I'm wondering if this B.1.1. variant ... espoused by the incendiary headline tactical fear mongering of CNN's spin machine as being substantially more virulent for both harm, and contagious ability, is the cause for that tide of cases .. may need a few days to make that determination - ... I "think" the vaccine is proven still effective against it - so.. it's like bum timing in the war against this Pandemia. It would have been sooo much more convenient if this new more virulent strain waited to surface when there was say ... 35 or 50% immunization canvas, because then it would just be CNN headlines and not possibly a deadly race.

Are you talking about me ... or the previous poster - I'm not making any sort of distinction predicated upon any bias or 'cynicism' with what I posted - I'm merely stating an observation ... The science and discovery are leaving creative writers behind. That's just one example. For muse: Robots ...like "Gort" from the classic, "The Day The Earth Stood Still" ... were very primitive, but paved where the next 20 ...30 years of fiction would emerge. By the 1980s the Cyberpunk sub genre of SciFi was born ...Writers got free reign, honing the 'visionary science space' right down to the sophistication of cyborgs - seemingly to the point of real theory and not just the fiction of "Robocop" - big budget obsurdity, but plausible enough to suspend disbelief to the target bourgeoisie. Soon after, "Data," depicted by the uncannily on-point performances of Brent Spiner, seemed to reign it in with a statement, 'That's pretty fun, but this is 'who' the idealized model would likely become.' Now ..out here in the real world, M.I.T. engineers in robotics have recently demoed dancing 'bots to actual syncopated rhythm, ...inexorably leading to Neurolink or those like it. Which intuitively, if one wants to make an artificial human brain utilizing the human brain as the natural model ... they are going to have to successfully engineer something like those "neurologically linked interface-able" systems at some point or another along the inCREdibly sagacious forethought in whether we we truly want or need our species taken over by self-aware A.I. What if that spontaneously manifested 'self preservation' as an unintended, emerged consequence of complex synergistic operating system...? That is the key - consciousness is created 'synergistically' as a result, a gestalt, of quantum scaled interacting wave dynamics (energy); and so nested intrinsically in there is thus, the "uncertainty principle" - ... So ... hate to say the trope but it is unfortunately, apropos - we are fiddling with aspects that took a billion years of evolution to create, and it is a realm where the more of it that gets exposed, only engenders more questions of its ultimate power - So, for someone that is a sci fi writer ... what can one contrive that isn't already been done? Lol.. interesting - but the purpose of sci fi is to extrapolate plausibility based upon actual science - usually the application of the latter. Well it challenges the imagination if science fact is winning the race to those destinations.

It's becoming increasingly more difficult to contrive science fiction in a world where science fact competes with, and in so many ways, outpaces the imagination.

How'd you get in so early ?

Interesting ... if perhaps otherwise tedious observation about the last 24 hours. I think a weak or nondescript/ .. defused backdoor front actually came through unnoticed yesterday, disguised as a breeze boundary. It's presently 7 to 9 F colder than this same time yesterday across eastern/NE Mass ... And late yesterday afternoon one could see a defined boundary scouring CU out, as it snaked west through the afternoon. And the late day hi res vis imagery showed low cloud and fog shrouds moving due west while the outer fringes of the old ocean vortex higher levels were still rotating S. So, there was an undercut flow that diverged/diffluently peeled west and pulled inland in the afternoon. Probably a hybrid between breeze/Labrador rhea, also with weakly defined BD. I wonder if means the high temps cap short of forecasts today ...or, does this mix out for large diurnal

“Worrisome” - in what way exactly ? Technically ... it has been colder - there’s an aspect of relativity in play. Because without the blocking we might’ve been 80. Nina springs are typically warmer than normal… And they don’t actually, typically feature blocking like this - It’s a bit of an anomaly, relative (also) to that climatology The blocking is most likely related to a sudden abandoning of the higher velocity jet anomalies that we had all winter long and when that suddenly relaxed we pass through an interval where residual latent heat delivery to upper latitude will cause blocking nores to flare off. This happened similarly across the last five Springs ... last year claimed much of May with snow flurries at times. It really seems to me like we are super imposing a blocking episode over the top of the warmer than normal hemisphere (mid latitude’s ) and this is kind of what we get… We’ve had North flow here for the past four days not much to show for it except seasonality give or take…

Greed is ultimately insolvent ... That’s the real issue.

Most leases can be negotiated tho, and it is in the better interest of the landlord or rep for property share holders to do so because legally all “binding” agreements are based upon a presumption of liquidity ... If the latter freezes the landlord has two options .. they can either impose a fee and never get it because of frozen assets, or they can work with the client to reduce cost measure to try and work it out- a pandemic, forcing companies to close doors and reduce on site staffing by mandate outside of their control certainly qualifies as special circumstances. I mean you’re talking about a “soft apocalypse”

I think part of the problem is that we have been looking at gloom and doom and dour synoptic layouts on these operational models in the deep mid/extended range for three weeks and none of it has actually materialized yet or verified very well. But as far as the GEFs are concerned… The Tele con layout for the cold stormy pattern wasn’t really supposed to be here until the mid part of the month - granted that’s getting closer The Euro trying to get cute about it now so we’ll see. Seems like it’s a bit of a race between seasonal change and the last hurrah of winter with that index layout-which one is going to win mid month 50-50 chance

I gotta hit the bike ride now or suffer the consequences ... the fair cu field is visibly eroded back west over the eastern sky, which means the under cut breeze is coming .. thing is, I've been miles deep on rides when that sucker comes in and despite the work you get chilled uncomfortably -

Ah shit ... haven't seen the 12z Euro yet but the other guidance trying bring the vortex back on that hyper retrograde trajectory. 00z had backed off on that - was hoping... We'll see what the Euro does... I think that is gong to be the bigger sensible weather determinating factor - if that thing does buzz saw west toward Maine or not ... Not = possibly salvage mid month. Wondering where this month goes after the -NAO ...

Yep, all. the. time. We've been sent memos ... roughtly ever 2 months and a day, since mid summer 2020, ... pushing return ever out in time. Now it is mid June, supposedly - ...We'll see. But with culture seeming to deflate on the popularity of this thing ( haha ), and also vaccine culture taking over, ... maybe this time it will stick. Frankly, and echoing other's posts .. we too our getting mixed sentiments on whether they'll return to the old paradigm. You know ... personally, I come of as wordy and even acerbic ..snarky at times but I am actually a very social critter. It's not easy on gregarious types to deal with this shut-in shit. Unlike that description of how some employees 'hide ineptitude' in plain site by baffling co-workers with bullshit, while actually being at the office and doing very little qualitative contribution ( lol... that funny) I really was BOTH productive and a socialite in that setting. But in this circumstance I live alone. Healthy. Intelligent. Creative. ....Bored. Plus, it's lonely and frankly a little scary to be middle aged in this. If I had anyone... but being rejected by all women by what seems to be god's design and decree - heh. That ...and perhaps my unfortunate genetic lineage as the ass-end of a dead rhino probably isn't helping... I'm so hot - lol... No but it is hard for us single dudes and girls these days - kind of hard to go on dates when the purpose of going on said date just so happens to be diametrical to the intent and purposes of social 'distancing' - oops... I mean, yeah ... I'm an impressive fellow, but I am not 6' of it - ... Blah blah... I'm sure this is a song sung by most

Yeah ...that's the philosophical conundrum that's festering now as we near the post-Pandemia realm - whether that is all an infringement on the Americana afforded sense of free liberty ... As a deeper thought ( oh god ) that always, whether we realize this or not ..., has been the key word: whether that can be "afforded" I mean, it was always made possible because circumstances allowed it. See ... ANY system ( in reality really) can persist in status quo, only as long as there are no forces sufficient to upend the status quo. That's like "the law of stasis" - heh... I like that. But seriously - it's true. The question is, when is/if an imposing agencies of "destruction," or mere disruption, may be sufficient to require: "special circumstances require special counter measures" ... as a response. In other words, the circumstances no longer can afford - I don't personally think this qualifies ? I don't - I don't because it's all relative - it is relative because ...what this C-19 aspect is, the whole and holistic aspect of all if it ...world over, is really about doing what we've done because we can, not because we had no choice. The perception may have been that we had no choice, but... put this into cultural relativity and era comparison, if you will. Case in point, 1918 ... There's was never going to be any sort of pass-port, leading to a traffic stop that goes like ... 'Where's your papers'. I suspect images of cold war era Stalingrad ring in people's minds as where requiring dog-tags for immunization is going - it's kind of also insulting and demeaning to a lot of people, too. Not just the free-liberties. Obviously ... we don't want to set a precedence that may even risk paving the way to a future where we start claiming liberties - but it is fine tussle, when liberties also could become an inadvertent agent of mass destruction ... That's an interesting one -