Typhoon Tip

That 18z is perfectly bad ... and holding at that theoretic shit stuffing apoplexy interminably seems to challenge whether the earth can actually do that - only in the imagination of a model? But any fashion in elegance ... cannot be consistently held from that time range ... whether in beauty of cyclonic mastery, or absolute misery in dark art. For that premise alone I almost feel better that it’s on the charts at this range, rather then something that’s not there but hints that it could be

Yeah the relaxing aspect’s been the most consistent ... In fact i argue that the relaxation and -NAO are codependent

Seriously ... I'm like, wtf with these idiots - You know, I was asked to join a Sci Fi contest recently - enter some material by the sponsors ... I'm half considering blowing that up with 30,000 words as a Novella and scoring alpha points for relevancy - lol... ugh

you, those 85 -year old over producing slaves - I could see that ...haha.

Can you imagine if all these vaccine shots were delivering a potion with nano tech, a chemical concoction count-down to doomsday, such that everybody with the "d-serum" coursing through their veins, cured of all ailments, will maximize proficiency when they are suddenly mutated into obedient slaves in 6 months when the cadre pulls the trigger -

Exactly ... reiterating, the source of the lie is: " - the source's marketing - the news media's headline subsequent expose'/manipulation miss-representing the intent of that statement "

Uh ...I don't think it's a C-19 vaccine you want for that particular malfunction -

Hell... certainly fits the GEFs telecon layout - least it has cross guidance support when we don't want it and wish we could say it lacked confidence. Yayyy ...or maybe some do... I guess if it gets that deep in, just take it down 2 more degrees and we have snow. I was thinking about that this morning. It wouldn't be all that rare to get snow ...even meaningful snow, prior to any April 15 anyway. Something about this year makes that seem more absurd - not sure why.

duh ...my bad

Jentucky Fried Chicken ? what does that mean - heh... actually, the Euro with 3 days of Iceland to PWM stream lines... nice - man, this model will not stop until it actually succeeds at physically engineering a shit eater pattern -

ehhh... yeeeeah it is as a snap shot? But that 3 days at the end of that run being within a click of 0C at 850 everwhere ...is actually a step in the right direction - that is...if better spring weather is what one wants Not only that, being right at that temp and considering the April sun...probably a sky light day flops that better than it looks just at a glance. It's never good to have a relaxed gradient neg-head mid level look stuck over the area, no ... but the sun is modulating big time now so unless the pattern gets a fresh insert of goop ( like May 2005 kept doing for example...) the corrections will tend to erode that look. Now watch...tonight's run comes in with a fresh insert of goop

Yeah it's a numbers game as usual... Problem is, we can't realistically 'satisfy' the inconsolable, and/or those who are too far fringed or outer regional in their capacity for lucid, balanced reasoning - compared to the mass of the population bell-curve. Those are like a mash up of both inconsolable and unreasonableness... LOL. We can't. There's too many people. Standard Deviations in every statistical group emerges given sufficiently large data points. It's like the law of assholes or something... haha I dunno, it's true though. I think having say ... half of 7.5 billion global population or whatever incomprehensibly large number of too many human opinions there are, within shouting distance of a W-W-W portal ... probably qualifies as having audibly deviant perspectives on what the consensus would probably ( in private) consider to be just a weee bit off.

Yeah, pretty soon it'll be ... "100 people fully vaccinated played in traffic - didn't end well..."

Well... I wouldn't put it passed the shimmering ethics of any media source to 'keep it real' ( Jesus ) but if that is what the sources meant by 100%, ...then the lie has one or two more likely origins: - the source's marketing - the news media's headline subsequent expose'/manipulation miss-representing the intent of that statement Hard to say which, as either marketing as a science, vs media as an industry .. both require lying and manipulation to exist.

First of all .. yup but, ... even considering, the higher touted efficacy brands were not available until very recently, so it is unlikely they preceded/availed to those hapless people in Hoosier's post - which he does this, I have noticed. He seems to lurk and wait for detecting breaths or mere aromas of optimism ...then plunks in these dire-post -bombs. LOL, I've grown to laugh at it's predictable nature... ...'Sides, frankly by that description, sounds like the would have succumb to a head cold anyway.

mm... New England took a dump on Spring actually - the gfs is just telling us what we already know. In fact, may as well have all 64 pages of any given run erased of any content, and a single phrase entered instead: "April, any questions ? - click here (warning NSFW)" ... as one clicks the arrows or hours by, that's it that result, "April, any questions ? - click here (warning NSFW)"

We ... or at least "I" find humor in those two posts... but sad fact of the matter is, they are funny cuz they are true - I've said this countless times as the self-appointed cynical dystopian prophet ...( LOL ), that the day and moment Industrialized society et al, figured out how to turn mere thumb-swipe-on-phones, and mouse-clicks-on-PC interfaces, into money ... we were doomed alright. But the damnation is to never hear nor see light of truth that is unadulterrated by gas-lit, knee-jerk incendiary tactical information attempts to keep the common user doing just that, glued to these codependent devices. People have fallen into pot-holes on surveillance cameras doom-scrolling, while the tentacles of CNN's media web pass dollars for that person's captivated fear.

Right ... none of these vaccine so far are advertised and/or in fact 'are' 100% dependable -

Completely agree with this sentiment. I wanna add... probably one not fully conceptualized/realized...perhaps until a generation or two can look back upon this era ... less addled by the weeds of it all. It really should be considered a real watershed moment in our evolution - but not so much "biological," in that sense, but more of a behavioral one? Which could have some biological footing, too ...fascinating scientific question therein, and a long digression... Sparing that ( lol ), I recall discussion in the early months of this ... 15 months ago, how that life-cycle of recognition ..to shared information ..to global mobilization around the common verdict ..to subsequent course of action ... this is the first time that all recognized geodesic realms collaterally agreed upon a motivation and action, ....that did not result in war.... in history. That's a first - it means something..or should for f sake. Think about that ( not you per se, but the royal 'you') ... The last time the ~ entire world agreed upon any common thematic sentiment, and then acted upon it, it was not to save lives, it was to quite the opposite: WWII Now...we could attempt to qualify: at no point spanning human history prior to WWI or WWII ( as a matter of tract and course) could that really have happened; the advantages of macro infrastructures to global response were (duh) obviously logistically unknowable. But that doesn't diminish the achievement in my mind. To your point - about collaboration paving pathways to successful destinies - it does suggest that if humanity dies away by some Fermiian Paradox scenario of the the evolutionary catch-22 destroying the evolution that got us there... we could have prevented it - maybe.

Necessity breeds invention, huh

Yeah, I don't know if the 'huge' will verify ... but, this looked to me like a late-ish correction candidate, all along ... toward less y-coordinate depth ( amplitude in terms of trough depth ), which then would open the possibility of more of an easterly fix in short terms, but also less snow where it snows ( terrain enhancing, notwithstanding ..) I mentioned this the yesterday or the day before and here we are... I suspect the other guidance bumps east and also reduces snow totals from those lofty 12-15" typically inflated snow products. They're just too 10:1 without any situational awareness built into them - they don't modulate for anything other than some very basic input metrics ..blah blah... but since no storm has just those baser aspect in play, those products 'll never be more than 40 to 70%tile to me. But ...hey, 70% is pretty good when scores that high - so... for that, we can justify ogling 30" layouts and dream through a long exhale. lol Anyway, I see the NAM may be overdoing things...but, should this ablate by say 6 dm in the core heights, and stretch or move slightly more on a NE trajectory as opposed to NNE in response, I wouldn't be surprise. The flow leading is still fast ...and this whole thing seemed to really be asynchronous in the guidance. The Euro was defintely weaker with the surface response in the 00z run, and also less impressive in said vertical depth, too - I thought that might be the late correction unfolding. We'll see

Yes! ...and, this particular sovereignty ( as in the good ole U S of Assholes) has been institutionally gutted across multiple agencies - not just NWS ... If not directly, indirectly, all 'institutions,' that took multiple generations to scaffold and create a resilient vitality for our society, have all been detrimentally squeezed. Yeah .. and that's not just liberal spiel. THAT'S THE REAL F* DEAL and the metaphoric cliche' is unfortunately apropos: when inmates run the asylum ... And it'll probably take 10 or 20 years to un-f* the damage caused by this last 4 years of lunacy - and labeling it 'lunacy' is not this popularized gaslighting expression. Brief digression: I've grown tired of individuals, and groups ... integrating wholes, ...becoming increasingly reliant upon that expression to hide from the fact that they may be wrong - sometimes you are, and just because something toys at one's subconscious truth, doesn't make it gaslighting... IT MAKES YOU F'ING WRONG, ASSHOLES. The last administration was like a bomb - it took years to build the cathedral, and nano-seconds for the chemical reactions of Semtex to level it all to rubble - only ...a fairer, proportional metaphor might be a strong seismic event doing some rather significant foundation cracking. But that is what the immediate/ previous "idiot"syncratic rule was to the cathedral of America's institutional might and vitality - a destructive influence. Historians will be harsh some day - by our standards of today. They will call it that - case closed. They won't be saddled by any influences of the here-and-now, low brow lost connectivity to any circumstances that challenge false belief systems - you need that to keep a system's health in check. Ha, that turn of phrase is an insidious irony for the last 18 months, huh? Free to actually call a cigar a cigar - something that the present delusion of modernity seems to avoid, their academic writes will be separated from present era faux reality, by the indifference maker of time. They won't care - they'll call it what it was. *C* ERA They will portrait the day unsympathetic to this orb of energy that shines down upon our societal stage its light of "indispensable" mood of the hour ... Meanwhile, we were oblivious to the "comet impact" outside the theater house. Eventually, we will be forced to get humility and realize ...real fast, what is real, and what really matters. Said future historians will be on the other side of that dystopian fire-wall. And they will label this something like the great era of enabled faux belief at a social crisis level. (Dim virtuosity and immorality + Lack of intelligence) * enabling coefficiency = chaos factor Lol, I love dystopian ranting hahaha

Depends on what one wants I suppose... If they wanted impressive weather modeling cinema of any kind, no. Everything the Euro does beyond D 5 ( in general ...but especially in April variability) should be taken very lightly ... Still, it has a blue/elevation snow signal on D10 ... I would have thought that would have got at least someone to explain to us why that can happen - ... I'm noticing (tedious) that the last 24 hours -worth of Euro and GFS run cycles have been adding subtle wind momentum coming off the Pacific, trajectory over the arc of the fragile ridging underneath. Such that by 72 hours ... the stream over southern Manitoba to lower Ontario (500 mb) has sneakily increased by 5 to 10 kts, compared to the runs two days ago. It's crucial if that is true - the Pacific has been routinely over assessed all season long ( and perhaps going back early years ...it's just the first year I have noticed it this bad). Those wind packets are scheduled by present cycle -guidance to arrive, Friday, over land - this whole situation is very sensitive to subtleties therein. In all ... I don't think we are getting out of this spring without a couple ..three interludes of -NAO ... I think ( theoretically ) that the advent of those blocking periods is a "non-linear wave dispersion" effect from an erstwhile fast hemisphere that then enters a reduction in kinetic velocity due to gradient abandonment - the embedded wave mechanics get stranded in that sense, and they pile up ( completing the metaphor). But the where dictates how it effects us... We can have a -NAO over east of 55W out there, and the wave lengths are such that it means nothing to us...and we open up to more westerly flow weather types. Or, it can orient west ..and the opposite happens like the Euro insists - although 12z yesterday was interesting. Or, either in relative amplitude can cause anomalies that way too... I know of no method that can precisely nail down the variation that becomes destiny.

For the record ...that Euro run's on an island as far as I can tell - ... EPS more likely It's summer in that run's D7 , 8 , 9 , and , 10 - four days of 80+ with elevated lows no doubt. Here in NE the run is boundary gaming ... But the whole structure over the mid latitude continent strikes me as typical Euro taking whatever it's managing on D4.5 and doubling amplitude by D9... blowing up a heat dome. It's the warm enthusiast's eye-candy run, no different than then a Jan 20th 12z D8 look on the EC.