Typhoon Tip

It's really like they can't - They've allowed the entire infrastructure of society to become bottle-neck dependent up on it, to the point where pulling back and 'disconnecting' would cause [ probably ] a modeled Nat Security risk. Disproportionate set back ... trust me ( I mean the general reader - ) this shit is advanced modeled by Pentagon ...etc, et al. Society is too inextricably co-dependent upon technologies that - oops - were allowed to be privately constrained ... They are not just wealthy - they can flip switches... and a reset now would be catastrophic - call it implicit extortion. It's probably chapter 2 or 3 in that dystopian novel, "Fermi's Paradox"

Mm hm... An excerpt from that which was too long for anyone to have actually read - heh...I gotta stop writing on this site. But, " We probably really just went through the greatest transfer of wealth from one sector of western economics to another, in history. And those that received it ... they really should give it all back- or they are greedy with no redeeming value at all. 0. And though there isn't a hard conspiracy ... it's like the Bobby Axelrod affect - you really wanna keep that in entertainment and not have those types really pulling the levers of society. "

Yeah... I was hammering the telecon layout for awhile myself. It was a monster winter signal ... for February For mid April? It may be mainly an inclement one, wet and cold and miserable .. usual suspects. I spent some time looking over all the spring snow producing events that were important - that I could think off. 1977, 1982, 1984, 1997 ... 2005 .. .etc. They all were "lucky" in a sense in that they got a bit of a cold goosing/inject at a critical time in the developmental phase of cyclogenesis. The other aspect is that there seems to be general modeling technology problem across the bevy of them all, actually... I thought it was something to do with the hemispheric pattern but I'm starting to see the same shit here in a much more nebular flow look/ pattern orientations we didn't have over the winter so I'm not sure it isn't just the models doing this. Doesn't matter which, ...but they are consummately over assessing the amplitude of cyclones in the mid range, and then we watch them ( almost all of them!) peeter out to some lesser form, ...sometimes disappearing altogether. The combination of that and normal seasonal damping ... lends to your thinking of chilly showers -

It seems from these anecdotal accounts bandied about in this social media that a pattern emerges. It is as though the vaccine spectrum of induced symptoms is perhaps proportional, just shift the whole scale toward much less severe. Take a population and some few will need critical care to resolve ...or even die, ranging to just a short few days of inconvenience for the majority ..etc. Perhaps those that 'would have' needed that urgent care...those are the ones getting more harsh vaccine reactions ...

Oh ... I used to live in Rockport ... years and years ago... but, by and large, that doesn't change. It has its charm out there on the tip of the N. Atlantic dip stick known as Cape Ann. You are about in the 90th percentile engulfed in the Labrador Gordon Fisherman wind burned cheek, yet stiff knuckled cold marine climate out there. You can just smell the cold ocean - and it is different than the oceanic aroma of Va Beach or San Diego. I was on the beaches of the Pac side of the Bay Area last June, and that same cold ocean smell was evidence. It's interesting - albeit probably an observation that only a dork like me would hone into..heh. But it's a way of life. If one sans any hope of smelling summer fields and fair ground hot dogs crossing the bridge by the Pogey fish refinery ... and completely inures themselves to boat shoes by summer, parka by winter ... harbor bell culture, they'll do just fine. One thing I miss is what I've called 'sailor's spirit' in the past. It's when the marine layer moves inland on sunny days in the spring and summer...and the leading edge of the fog bank is translucent shrouds that look like apparitions with the sun shining through them. It's a cool aspect. Also, in the winter ... those 0 cryo air masses and the morning sun cuts through the pedestrian steam dogs as they wonder and dance to and fro across the surface of harbor. It's an amazing spectacle if you have the option to head back in for a cocoa and a scone.

You're not too far W. of me along Rt poopy ... We dawned classic overnight BD'ed with slate gray 48 misery mist here... but, we've cleared...and in Ayer we are definitely on the cold side of the BD air mass boundary - but we are still making a run at 60 because that hot high one in the sky is doing what it can to offset. But it won't last .. . hi res vis loop shows this is a fortuitous wedge of clearing between the post boundary band, and a new strata ceiling making en roads from the E ..https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Rhode_Island-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined Should be back to slate sky here in a hour or so if that doesn't start eroding back ...

This thing didn't really come through here with a wind jolt, either ... It's an ooze by deal - This BD seems to almost be melded into the larger synoptic backing deep layer flow associated with that slow moving trough trying desperately to get squeezed under our latitude. It can't go through the Lakes transit into western Ontario ... so it ends up shearing and going under - taking the next 36 to 48 hours of our lives to do it... But, in doing so, the deep layer tries to turn E anyway... The 'screen door' slam, flag snapping gust of wind type usually comes in more off smaller scaled synoptics. A trough skirting SE out of Quebec, and the NVA behind in ( downward vertical motion..) imparts a mass discontinuity with rising PP over the cold GOM ...and when the air mass is warm and buoyand over the interior coastal plain of Maine to CT ... guess where that air mass goes ? Under the buoyant air - it starts rolling and tumbling SW to 'fill it in'...kind of like opening a freezer door and seeing the cold air flow across the floor - just doing it at the scale of E. New England. Anyway, in the strictest sense this is sort of a hybrid between that and just in general backing deep layer flow.

Which any dude that does and gets 'er home, probably reaches down and oops! noodle and meatballs with that f'n sketchy din of ill-reputable membership - lol... I wouldn't go anywhere near that shit.

I don't disagree ... " It may not absolutely terrible at all times, but several intervals " I think one needs to plan on something like that progression ...and then if things break better ( depending on one's wants and wishes...heh), you'll be pleasantly surprised. The NAO being negative and the PNA actively rising is never good for fair weather enthusiasts as a base-line/ canvas probability. It just isn't. Welcome to April man

What I'm looking at is very good agreement among the operational runs from 00z. Euro, GFS ..G"JUNK" UKMET all trundle a 'bowling ball' under our latitude ( dangerous ) toward the end of the week. In fairness, all that needs is an 850 insert of -1 C and the column would collapse, just as much as if cold does not inject in optimal timing ...the vortex spins by at mid levels with comparatively less surface realization - that's how these things work in spring. The instability in the lower troposphere gets blunted and rotted much faster, so an ominous series of H500 charts end up paltry at the surface. But, when cold avails to them...look out! High PWAT blue snow can strike. We should caution not to be beguiled for having gotten lucky during these first 10 days of the month. Do not forget our climate identity in this geographic - not that anyone is, just sayn'. We've seen enough snow events in mid April. Forget snow .. we should at minimum count on putrescent weather conditions in that look. You know, having it be occasionally balmy to warm, then, dosing putrescence after the fact, does fit right in with the last 10 years worth of f'ed-up springs. Why break trend now. haha, after all this... I predict the Keven wakes up next Saturday morning with blue tinted light at dawn. Glops and slops and splats from trees and eaves to the 4" of 5::1 on the ground. Kidding but we'll see.. Forget that though, it appears the next 10 days are not good for nice weather enthusiasts. But, at least there is increased potential for substantive rainfall - some seem to not "want" that. But, taking some intellectual responsibility and acting lucid for a moment, the probability is increased. With the operational trends landing on top of those vestigial telecon index modes, and appearing to agree - pretty amazing in mid April... tough to argue. We'll see what comes of it.. of which could fall as 'farmer's gold,' too. It may not absolutely terrible at all times, but several intervals

I had a direct encounter with a 500 lb male down here along the Nashua River bike trail two summers ago. Loped away into the woods after just a five second staring contest but it was definitely a rapid heart rate moment ... I had never seen one in the wild - was completely unprepared. The potentially not so funny thing about that encounter was that less than a half mile later on the same path there’s a woman with a baby crib rolling by ... basically just other pedestrians to and fro… I later called the police and they connected me to some kind of game warden I think was the title? Anyway they told me they were glad that I called that in because they were looking for the sire; apparently there’s a couple moms in along Rt 2/N with cubs ...which incidentally are far more dangerous even in accidental encounter than that male by the way - Black bears may not look very big on television but man they’re huge. The head of that thing was like the size of nightmare and when it bounded across the bike path it literally extended the entire distance of the bike path width. When I described that to the game warden she said it was most likely a big male - 450 to 500 lbs of ‘im

So what was it at the end of May last year when it was 96 up there lol if now is the third week of June ... that musta been the 7th dimension of Dante’s Inferno

Yeah no today is one day… - it’ll be interesting to see the tenor in here tomorrow at about 4 o’clock when it’s 44° with slate gray sky and occasional gentle mist

I’m beginning to think that all pathogenic infections of the biological kingdom have always carried on with that same preferential symptomatic sequence/impact based upon susceptibility model. And that the main difference between COVID-19, vs all those before it is that C-19 is hyper focused to the point where any f-ing sneeze or butt itch is being documented as a horror story. Sure people with lupus ...probably legitimately getting sacked. Sure. That would be true with the flu, and it would probably be true with cancer too. Only so much any body can take. If one is carrying around heart disease and then they get a head cold it probably gonna be magnified - it’s always been that way. This is what happens when CNN and Fox News are the instructors for society

Overall though .. the complexion of the hemisphere has changed over the last couple of days - last night's oper. Euro doesn't carry the previous rhea membership at all the same. That well advertised mid month +PNA/-NAO is still there but there are straying GEF members and the mean is less, too. Plus, seeing the EPS tending to normalize the neggie nodes in the flow, and the operational Euro ...some days even looked good out there. It's just not carrying the same panache in misery shits that it looked like we could be dealing with when all this was on the charts and indices a week ago. So, perhaps the seasonal forcing is going to win this race after all - the Euro does look like it's being forced to wash out gradients ... we'll see. The operational GFS, as usual... takes the first 4-6 days of its run to scrub out that weird warmth it can't figure out what to do with, such that it can get the hemisphere back to November by D10 ... where NCEP thinks it should always be for some f'up reason.

Everyone's favorite! Nasty powerful BD front slams through the region during the evening hours tonight - ... 'specially Kevin. He's all psyched. But, at least we will have the flag wobbling laze faire balm of today. Probably makes 77 to push closer to historical numbers around climo sites - what are those btw? I dunno, seems we've had some weird hot weeks in Aprils in the last 20 years - despite them overall still averaging the 'cruelest month'. It may be some of these days are out of reach. But tomorrow ? Whole 'nother world behind the front. I wonder if it strata bum packs down the coastal plain clear to NJ if the NAM is right -

There'll probably be a bit of as surge in vax counts.. post ~ April 15 at a national scale. I think I've read or heard chirps that states overall are opening up to the main bell curve mass of population - or the remainder after the vulnerable ( comorbs) and AARP+ age groups have had their chance to get poked. But ... there's some recent idea whether a lot in the 16 to 55 age range will even opt to get the vaccine? The news media machine et al could be manufacturing a 'crisis there, that isn't as significant though ... again ..and again, and again and again ...because they need lies to maintain operating cost and pad the sociopathic wallots of their Industrial captains.. But, somewhere in their 'social engineering' tactics there are kernels of truth ... We just don't know if there's really that many %, in theatage range, that are going to hide from immunization of this .. ? I bet we see a surge in vax counts though.

I realize you guys are just on-going through colloquy on the matter to pass time ...nor asking for a rant. But duh? Isn't this ( bold above) exactly what the "MSM," ( did you mean MSN ? ) ... CNN's, Fox News, CNBC, FB ( before they "supposedly" grew a conscience) wanted all along? ( right now you're going, 'yeah yeah, we know.' But I still wanna rant lol -) The day the "Industrialized media conglomerate" figured out how to convert thumb swiping these filthy germ glazed portable devises ( or mouse clicks ) into money, we were doomed. We haven't seen or heard veracity hailing from the Code of Journalistic Integrity since. That all begin technically when the Internet began to slope humanity. But now? There so much deception that ( ironically ..) it is like a virus that fools the immune system such that the immune system can't see through the mimicry. The target audience, 7.5 billion 'photo-electrically addicted cattle' of the world, most probably don't even knows what that code is any more. But Journalism Ethics and Standards was supposed to ensure no bias, hence, trusted information. I even catch NPR 'spinning' ... but CNN and FOX are just unreadable. Here's the scary part: more than 50% of the biomass that takes in their "designs on reality", believe it out of device box. They are like little birdbrains sitting in a nest with their beaks open pointing at the sky at all times, waiting for CNN and FOX news to swoop in and drop another "kernel worm" of bird food information. (Gee, how do you really feel lol) It's not all that hopeless. I mean, though there is a lot of distrust, that's really a sign that objectivity must exist out there in more and less measure. When was the last time anyone's "trusted" shit? In fact, 'social trust' is a key detrimental factor that is tearing at civility; we live in a very schismatic time... with fringe ideologies using the web to formulate these cultural islets - and that's whole 'nother digression at sociological scales that starts in the imagination and end in anarchy. We need consequences for bad decisions. Modern convenience ... wipes the ass of bad decisions - ultimately, enables people's break from consensus norms that always were based in common sense, if not instincts, ...certainly heritage method and culture of ways and means that actually worked toward proactive survival. All that is missing in the butt-wipe convenience of modernity, that affords people the ability for "recreational outrage," ...and these media sources want you outraged, ... so you keep glued in. Turning the Pandemic's interminable ability for fear and infinitum of ways in which a prone civility can be jolted into a profit cow, HA! - it really all came along at the perfect time in history. ... decades of wicking the system to the point of near mass delusion, and most per capita addicted, then the Pandemic happens ... Oh, its real! I am meandering a little in my point here, but this is what drives paranoid conspiracy theorists into orbit ...where is that profit going? We probably really just went through the greatest transfer of wealth from one sector of western economics to another, in history. And those that received it ... they really should give it all back- or they are greedy with no redeeming value at all. 0. And though there isn't a hard conspiracy ... it's like the Bobby Axelrod affect - you really wanna keep that in entertainment and not have those types really pulling the levers of society.

I feel there’s some wish casting ... sort of going on.

Yeah I mean after all this .. there’s a reel palpable stench of not taking this seriously ... I wonder if a kind of culture war between those sort of incredulous and absent of urgency and feel an imposition vs those not getting sick lol

I agree with Brian ... And it's all a problem with our 'people,' the people of Americana, too - when we're told an inch we expect a mile. That 'narrative switching' ? That happens quite a lot, while the inch is becoming the mile in the "congress of public opinion" I swear ... at some point, some thing will come along - if perhaps needs to - that is going to forcibly humiliate society down to reality. You know what it reminds me of ... Farside cartoon from back in the day. Ole Larson at his best... he depicts to tattered ragged desiccated desert wonders that happen upon a brackish pool under a single palm, an oasis of life giving drink awaits ... and as they're kneeling down to sip ...the one turns to the other in hesitation and says, "what? - no cups!" It's not funny when the end of days is upon us, and 99% of people hesitate expecting a cup of miles.

Slow moving atmosphere ftw - we cash in on nape kisses today and tomorrow. We shits Sunday though ... and I'm not ready to toss a mid month cold enterprising event - in whatever form that ultimately insults. We are being extraordinarily blessed to have had this many nape or balm days, either kind, during any month that begins with "ape" and ends with "ril" But I think ... 20th give or take, we put it behind.

Maybe given time ..aspects about this pathogenic agent will be learned, that make it more manageable as a 'shut in' ailment - rather than admitting everyone to a hospital bed as an earlier recourse ? I know personally four people that have had this C-19. Two said it was 3 days of couch time amid a total of 6 days of general malaise. One had a head cold and lost taste and smell for three weeks but said he was out doing stuff in the yard straight through it. The other guy was worse... he hadn't eaten much in 10 days, and carried on with intermittent fever episodes during... having trouble even drinking water. Dehydrated... lost 20 lbs. But then he was able to start drinking and eating, and the fever went away - he just had a lingering cough that would not resolve fast enough for his wife not to freak out. Heh...so he goes into a med stop, and the doctor there had him on a banana bag IV for a 3-day gurney stint within 45 minutes of walking into the waiting room. He swears it was over precautionary and that he was on the mend. I mean...does it strike you as interesting how the early claims for comorbidity seemed to be adjoined by a host of other unknowns? None of these four gents had co-morbid anything as far as they knew. Four cases, pretty much unique in each case. It's not like other pandemic agents of past horror, where like everyone has a cytokine storm this, or hemorrhagic fever and bleeding that... I've heard of few cases where some J. Q. was a marathon runnin,' organic eaten super hero... ends up intubated in ICU, with last rites murmuring off to the side only interrupted by the whimpering of wife's immeasurable pain... Guy miraculously comes back against the odds but point being, it seems evident that there's something else peculiar about who/how ..what is needed at the individual level for this thing to be very dangerous. Genetics...blood type.. pissed off god ..who knows. And it's probably more like comorbidity only plays a role ... but just plays role. Maybe if science/medicine can figure out that who/how and what, this becomes more like a stay-in ordeal because they'll know if you have the X-factor that puts you in deep shit. Also ... I was reading that many of these things tend to evolve toward a less injurious strain given time. It makes sense biologically ... it doesn't make a lot a sense for an illness to ultimately kill the host before it has a chance to transmit its descendancy

Kids are very adaptive though - at least they/we have that going for them. Not in all cases, but by and large, ...it's why they can roll down a hill on purpose for fun, when/if an adult twice their age engages in that act it is usually unintended and may earn 'em a stint in traction. Lol, ..but in mentality they have neural plasticity until 21 years of age ( ~ ) that embarrasses the best of adult learners. You got to go back and put yourself into a mindful perspective, in its proper place in history. Perhaps all things being equal - or not .. hate that f'n saying - if we are to add in adaptability on one side of the scale ( to off set if not ameliorate damages perceived for these recent 18 months of disruption), and then on the other side of the scale ... add unknown death toll Ah. It may be worth it to consider a broader weighting on either side of balancing when 'proper' historical perspective is considered. Society was charged with finding the best course of action ...maybe they didn't. Maybe not as bad? But keep in mind, when this first came on the seen ... I used the expression recently "soft apocalypse" and I think in retrospect, those proportions actually fit for what was going on in the earlier era of this. No, this was not a Dino-ending comet streak across the heavens, nor a CRB from deep field astronomy so powerful that in a flash, it wipes out all biota living within a mile of the planetary lithosphere ... It wasn't something of a truly 'hard' or immediate population correction event. It really was a slow moving unknown mortality wave - That's scary for one - even for 'adulting.' But all bravery conferred, it puts any decision making apparatus of any era ..regardless of political this or competency that, under extreme duress. Stop the mortality first. December 2019 at the National Security research Division of the Pentagon ... that may have been the top priority - or what/where/whomever was panicking - ... in doing so, probably was a recourse that was paramount at the time. "Once we get ahead of this thing....," then we'll dust off and deal with the slower moving casualties later. We are here now, later. And questioning that judgement - ...I mean I'm not trying argumentative, but it does carry a soupcon op for 'hind-sight is 20-20' I guess this was going to be a learning curve for humanity. It's the first time in human history that every nation of the espoused "developed world," actually got on the same page and agreed upon a common vision and philosophy in a unilaterally globular directive that was not for the purpose conflict ( World War )...its really a watershed moment in our evolution. It is...probably something that will take scholars and historians a few decades or whatever to formally declare ... but, in using technology the way we have as a total unity, it really is one of the greatest achievements of human kind. I think a generation of children who are adaptable ( in general...there are always exceptions), will probably be alright in the long run - we hope. Maybe all this is has to be part of that trajectory -

Isn't the 'herd immunity' theoretical relative to circumstances of virulency anyway - ? I mean it seems intuitive to me.. herd immunity should depend on the nature of the offending contagion. I mean, what if an infectious agent can say, ... stay in an environment on flat surfaces much longer and remain viable ...or in he air, and travel in the jet stream ( speaking of SciFi...) and strike the Tibetan Plateau goat herders when the origin was the Navajo Nation Reservation ... what's herd immunity, then? If this new variant is more aggressive and able to transmit, that should move the herd immunity requirement to a higher percentage.