Typhoon Tip

Yesterday was a 20K case load set back on progress... I check the numbers, ..daily, for morbid - ... 81 K ... which was about a 33% ( ~ ) increase over the previous 7-day average NC/day, was a bit of exhale ugh'er I'm wondering if this B.1.1. variant ... espoused by the incendiary headline tactical fear mongering of CNN's spin machine as being substantially more virulent for both harm, and contagious ability, is the cause for that tide of cases .. may need a few days to make that determination - ... I "think" the vaccine is proven still effective against it - so.. it's like bum timing in the war against this Pandemia. It would have been sooo much more convenient if this new more virulent strain waited to surface when there was say ... 35 or 50% immunization canvas, because then it would just be CNN headlines and not possibly a deadly race.

Are you talking about me ... or the previous poster - I'm not making any sort of distinction predicated upon any bias or 'cynicism' with what I posted - I'm merely stating an observation ... The science and discovery are leaving creative writers behind. That's just one example. For muse: Robots ...like "Gort" from the classic, "The Day The Earth Stood Still" ... were very primitive, but paved where the next 20 ...30 years of fiction would emerge. By the 1980s the Cyberpunk sub genre of SciFi was born ...Writers got free reign, honing the 'visionary science space' right down to the sophistication of cyborgs - seemingly to the point of real theory and not just the fiction of "Robocop" - big budget obsurdity, but plausible enough to suspend disbelief to the target bourgeoisie. Soon after, "Data," depicted by the uncannily on-point performances of Brent Spiner, seemed to reign it in with a statement, 'That's pretty fun, but this is 'who' the idealized model would likely become.' Now ..out here in the real world, M.I.T. engineers in robotics have recently demoed dancing 'bots to actual syncopated rhythm, ...inexorably leading to Neurolink or those like it. Which intuitively, if one wants to make an artificial human brain utilizing the human brain as the natural model ... they are going to have to successfully engineer something like those "neurologically linked interface-able" systems at some point or another along the inCREdibly sagacious forethought in whether we we truly want or need our species taken over by self-aware A.I. What if that spontaneously manifested 'self preservation' as an unintended, emerged consequence of complex synergistic operating system...? That is the key - consciousness is created 'synergistically' as a result, a gestalt, of quantum scaled interacting wave dynamics (energy); and so nested intrinsically in there is thus, the "uncertainty principle" - ... So ... hate to say the trope but it is unfortunately, apropos - we are fiddling with aspects that took a billion years of evolution to create, and it is a realm where the more of it that gets exposed, only engenders more questions of its ultimate power - So, for someone that is a sci fi writer ... what can one contrive that isn't already been done? Lol.. interesting - but the purpose of sci fi is to extrapolate plausibility based upon actual science - usually the application of the latter. Well it challenges the imagination if science fact is winning the race to those destinations.

It's becoming increasingly more difficult to contrive science fiction in a world where science fact competes with, and in so many ways, outpaces the imagination.

How'd you get in so early ?

Interesting ... if perhaps otherwise tedious observation about the last 24 hours. I think a weak or nondescript/ .. defused backdoor front actually came through unnoticed yesterday, disguised as a breeze boundary. It's presently 7 to 9 F colder than this same time yesterday across eastern/NE Mass ... And late yesterday afternoon one could see a defined boundary scouring CU out, as it snaked west through the afternoon. And the late day hi res vis imagery showed low cloud and fog shrouds moving due west while the outer fringes of the old ocean vortex higher levels were still rotating S. So, there was an undercut flow that diverged/diffluently peeled west and pulled inland in the afternoon. Probably a hybrid between breeze/Labrador rhea, also with weakly defined BD. I wonder if means the high temps cap short of forecasts today ...or, does this mix out for large diurnal

“Worrisome” - in what way exactly ? Technically ... it has been colder - there’s an aspect of relativity in play. Because without the blocking we might’ve been 80. Nina springs are typically warmer than normal… And they don’t actually, typically feature blocking like this - It’s a bit of an anomaly, relative (also) to that climatology The blocking is most likely related to a sudden abandoning of the higher velocity jet anomalies that we had all winter long and when that suddenly relaxed we pass through an interval where residual latent heat delivery to upper latitude will cause blocking nores to flare off. This happened similarly across the last five Springs ... last year claimed much of May with snow flurries at times. It really seems to me like we are super imposing a blocking episode over the top of the warmer than normal hemisphere (mid latitude’s ) and this is kind of what we get… We’ve had North flow here for the past four days not much to show for it except seasonality give or take…

Greed is ultimately insolvent ... That’s the real issue.

Most leases can be negotiated tho, and it is in the better interest of the landlord or rep for property share holders to do so because legally all “binding” agreements are based upon a presumption of liquidity ... If the latter freezes the landlord has two options .. they can either impose a fee and never get it because of frozen assets, or they can work with the client to reduce cost measure to try and work it out- a pandemic, forcing companies to close doors and reduce on site staffing by mandate outside of their control certainly qualifies as special circumstances. I mean you’re talking about a “soft apocalypse”

I think part of the problem is that we have been looking at gloom and doom and dour synoptic layouts on these operational models in the deep mid/extended range for three weeks and none of it has actually materialized yet or verified very well. But as far as the GEFs are concerned… The Tele con layout for the cold stormy pattern wasn’t really supposed to be here until the mid part of the month - granted that’s getting closer The Euro trying to get cute about it now so we’ll see. Seems like it’s a bit of a race between seasonal change and the last hurrah of winter with that index layout-which one is going to win mid month 50-50 chance

I gotta hit the bike ride now or suffer the consequences ... the fair cu field is visibly eroded back west over the eastern sky, which means the under cut breeze is coming .. thing is, I've been miles deep on rides when that sucker comes in and despite the work you get chilled uncomfortably -

Ah shit ... haven't seen the 12z Euro yet but the other guidance trying bring the vortex back on that hyper retrograde trajectory. 00z had backed off on that - was hoping... We'll see what the Euro does... I think that is gong to be the bigger sensible weather determinating factor - if that thing does buzz saw west toward Maine or not ... Not = possibly salvage mid month. Wondering where this month goes after the -NAO ...

Yep, all. the. time. We've been sent memos ... roughtly ever 2 months and a day, since mid summer 2020, ... pushing return ever out in time. Now it is mid June, supposedly - ...We'll see. But with culture seeming to deflate on the popularity of this thing ( haha ), and also vaccine culture taking over, ... maybe this time it will stick. Frankly, and echoing other's posts .. we too our getting mixed sentiments on whether they'll return to the old paradigm. You know ... personally, I come of as wordy and even acerbic ..snarky at times but I am actually a very social critter. It's not easy on gregarious types to deal with this shut-in shit. Unlike that description of how some employees 'hide ineptitude' in plain site by baffling co-workers with bullshit, while actually being at the office and doing very little qualitative contribution ( lol... that funny) I really was BOTH productive and a socialite in that setting. But in this circumstance I live alone. Healthy. Intelligent. Creative. ....Bored. Plus, it's lonely and frankly a little scary to be middle aged in this. If I had anyone... but being rejected by all women by what seems to be god's design and decree - heh. That ...and perhaps my unfortunate genetic lineage as the ass-end of a dead rhino probably isn't helping... I'm so hot - lol... No but it is hard for us single dudes and girls these days - kind of hard to go on dates when the purpose of going on said date just so happens to be diametrical to the intent and purposes of social 'distancing' - oops... I mean, yeah ... I'm an impressive fellow, but I am not 6' of it - ... Blah blah... I'm sure this is a song sung by most

Yeah ...that's the philosophical conundrum that's festering now as we near the post-Pandemia realm - whether that is all an infringement on the Americana afforded sense of free liberty ... As a deeper thought ( oh god ) that always, whether we realize this or not ..., has been the key word: whether that can be "afforded" I mean, it was always made possible because circumstances allowed it. See ... ANY system ( in reality really) can persist in status quo, only as long as there are no forces sufficient to upend the status quo. That's like "the law of stasis" - heh... I like that. But seriously - it's true. The question is, when is/if an imposing agencies of "destruction," or mere disruption, may be sufficient to require: "special circumstances require special counter measures" ... as a response. In other words, the circumstances no longer can afford - I don't personally think this qualifies ? I don't - I don't because it's all relative - it is relative because ...what this C-19 aspect is, the whole and holistic aspect of all if it ...world over, is really about doing what we've done because we can, not because we had no choice. The perception may have been that we had no choice, but... put this into cultural relativity and era comparison, if you will. Case in point, 1918 ... There's was never going to be any sort of pass-port, leading to a traffic stop that goes like ... 'Where's your papers'. I suspect images of cold war era Stalingrad ring in people's minds as where requiring dog-tags for immunization is going - it's kind of also insulting and demeaning to a lot of people, too. Not just the free-liberties. Obviously ... we don't want to set a precedence that may even risk paving the way to a future where we start claiming liberties - but it is fine tussle, when liberties also could become an inadvertent agent of mass destruction ... That's an interesting one -

Actually CNN bandied a headline - but they tend to spin dourly as base-tactic ... - that 34% of COVID 'recovery' are saddled with 'brain disease' typical of that org to scare people into clicking mouses, or thumb swiping their phones, by not providing context ... just telling you there's a cricket in our panties .. so tfwiw - folks can look that up and test its veracity.

Yeah ... no way . In "CTE years" that's runner up for oldest living -

Yeah... I as looking at that NAM FOUS data/grid numbers from 00z last night... It just cannot warm up in that model - I don't know...I never noticed a "cold bias" per se in that source, but then againI don't in fact know why anyone would care to dissect it - lol... I do - admittedly - use it for some conceptual aspects at < 36 hours. I just didn't see T1 only 13C over the eastern Mass coastal plain as very realistically. Way too cold. And I looked at the MOS ( MET ) form 12z yesterday and it had 61 F for maxes today at KFIT, 'ASH and BED... Yeah, maybe BED if the s-breeze kicks in, but otherwise these sites pinged 60 at 8:45 this morning... But it's not just the NAM. The Euro's D7-10 ...c'mon. I realize the -NAO and so forth but still ... is that 850 layout really believable ? It's not even that it has that look, it's maintaining the cold profile/850 anomalies WITHOUT ever advecting new cold in ... basically, S of 50 N and E of 110 W, everywhere across the CONUS is kept at -1 850 mb temps for days of open April sun annihilating the planet. Bullshit is more likely... Then the GFS ...ugh. That's just got a cold bias and deepens heights on the polar side of the westerlies...everywhere, always...starting D 3 or 4 and gets worse out in the extended - such that it hasn't yet seen seasonal change as far as I can tell. It runs out of its way to cancel seasonal advancement altogether. I suspect if we do get a category 4 heat wave this summer ... the GFS will be the last model to see it coming. SO, :15 prior to noon here in Ayer and the five home stations within 2 miles of here are all 68 to 70 already. Yeah, 61 - I think though there is something somewhat unique about this set up/synoptic. We are technically top heavy in the surface pressure pattern ...with higher surface pressure N of Maine nosing down... Since MOS has robust database/climo aspect to it, it's probable that history had us in a lot of easterly taint under this sort of set up ? speculation - ... but here we are rather interestingly calm for so early of date, given to that set up, so here in the interior we may be above the climate typology there .. We are not getting the Labrador cold life sucker flow - I have to think though that a BD is going to slam some screen doors as we've come to joke, at some point over over the next three days... We are completely synoptically exposed to the vulnerabiliy in this look - surprised it hasn't already happened.. Also, anyone else notice the difference in the handling of that NAO block in the 00z guidance. Seems there "might" be the very beginnings of dismantling the -NAO there...but we'll see .

Ha, good post, Will! Mike Rowe, famed "Dirty Jobs" host and now voice-over specialist/narrator for various informational genre of entertainment, was interviewed years ago by 60 Minutes. He was projecting a problem, ... predicting that over coming decades America could find its self in a kind of infrastructure crisis, because the stigma you describe. Think future tenths: An anathema and 'shade' culture of looking down noses upon a certain ilk of occupations ... led inexorably to a history of abandoned maintenance practices - or inability to keep up with normal deterioration rates even... And well here we are ... We are still, for all our conceits in modernity and technological bliss, wholly reliant upon lever, cogs and grease. Just musing here while I wait for a break job ... boring. But from trains to shipyards, to heavy machinery, really the vast array of physical components that ( sorry for the cliche ) most carry on in their busy lives having long become complacent or oblivious to altogether. Us wannabe doctors and lawyers, or investment rock-star Wall Street investors, artists or celebrities, fervor on disconnected from the fact that the foundation for those "society echelons" is still paved by "adult Tonka Truck" drivers. Otherwise, the galas ...the appreciation narcissism cannot happen - little tongue-in-cheek jab there. He was saying back in the last 1990s, kids can graduate from high school right into certificate trade program that doesn't require a suicide failure to get the 1450 SAT scores. They are pretty much guaranteed to make 80K +/ yr by 5 years of as a HE operator ... There's basically a pie-chart of occupations needed to operation society, and the popularity tries to make money by not occupying any of those pie slices -it's kind of shameful really. Yet, we shame those gigs -or use to... I almost blame the television culture of the 1970s and 1980s for that. I can remember the portrayal constantly fed, igniting a culture mode/stigma against those jobs. I can remember "Hollywood" always had the plumber ring the door ... he dangled blunted cigar from a scruffy unshaven second chin, and when he spoke .. it was dolt-accented four letter terms - all the way through them decades. Meanwhile, "Secret Of My Success" was appealing to an already celebrity driven culture, idolizing manicures and chiseled facial features, along with a certain presumption of sagacity ... that was sort of granted, not earned, if you rang the door with good looks and polo shirt ... perhaps best described as an out and out elitism. We laughed during Saturday Night Live's "Wayne's World" whenever they bowed with with hands out stretched and chanted, "We're not worthy- we're not worthy" Ah yes the "effete plumber" - proooobably fails that sort of vision of being one of the ones that is "worthy". LOL There's a reason why the super bowl add back in 2004 or 2005 was a hit. It's portrayal has been repro'ed many times in peregrination but I keep seeing vestiges of it ever since. I don't remember the product...but the ad itself depicted guy standing on the side of the road leaning on his Porsche ...you know, clearly broken down. The setting was out there ...like really out there in the vast oblivion of empty plain. Just him, his inoperative status symbol, and the two lane road. A semi truck emerges and picks the guy up ... "You nee a lift?" And after some fragments of dialogue designed to seal the watchers presumption ...,the driver espouses, "...Oh this? Nah, this isn't my job, I'm a retired billionaire [ enter occupational ways and means here ]. I just do this because I like the peace and serenity of the open road and helping people." The old exotic billionaire romp. It's still a juxtaposition mechanism that works to this day, because we still come from that effete underpinning.

word I just don't like 'saving money' as a turn of phrase, because it kind of pads their greed - accidentally - in good intent. LOL seriously though... if that much wealth gets transferred ... that's going to piss a lot of people off and we'll start to see ( getting sort of visionary macro-socio-perspective here ) some sort of genera paradigm shift in sociopolitical/econ structural push... Trust me.... Tsars do fall

Yeah...I've been opining the "real intent" hidden behind a guise of other virtue argument, aspect...all afternoon - I realize I have a learning disability to end posts within one sentence so perhaps it's missed. Lol nah it's all good.

Yeah... I like this cynical take too - follow the money - if it's cost effective for sociopathic CEO's and other 'captains of industry' to pad their already interminable wealth with yet 30 someodd% transferred from overhead budgets, they'll be first in line to cry before the 'congress of public opinion' to ensure no one sets foot on premises again. LOL But ...we're going to be cyborgs probably... Worse yet, we'll be cyborbs, THEN the A.I. "super agency" has a direct programmable interface conveniently in place to subjugate our slavery when the time comes - ... I can see the conceit and enginuity of man "oopsing" us into that culdesac... Man, the dystopia knows no bounds, huh. wow.. Kidding to some degree - ...at least I think.

Imagine that sci fi novel... ? Some completely unknown reaction that time bombs a spermicidal castration event, ...and all vaccinated men of the developed world's ballz up and fall off - Ha heh... ah... right - not funny. No Talk about the meek inheriting the Earth! ...then these "Mad Mad World" tribal amazonian men emerge from the "bush" to find all these super horny females that would prefer not to be lesbians. Nice - I'd buy that book -

This may come across as bit of a 'fringe' perspective ... But from orbit ... I worry about the growing dependency - I mean this whole WFH mode of society, one that is surely going to happen ( it's just not realistic to think returning to the previous model will take place..), could also just be another step along the way of assuring a dark destiny. Talking species level events here. This pandemic? No ...we sent our lives through this whole thing more because we could. It was a choice, for better or worse. When a Carrington Event, or some who-knows-what cosmic bomb really goes off ... all this bottle-necked dependency of our species upon technology ... puts us in a bad, bad place. I think this is probably almost trope concern at this point, ..but, Fermis Paradox is spelled out right now - we're seeing 'how' any species that evolves the capacity to see its self from outside, inherently evolves its own demise. THAT is why we don't see Star Trekkian intergalactic communities of advancing species out there - too few survive that 'great firewall test' I think I read an intelligence report excerpt once. It assessed a pan-globular disassociative event of that caliber would claim an immediate 1/3 population biomass within the just the first 30 days. Talking all counts, mind you - that includes the sick and maimed and abandoned very young, a population group that contrary to our choice not to admit, are only with us because of their dependency on social structures. Then, on-going incalculable social duress and conflict over dwindling resources takes the rest... Way out there some semblance of familiarity leads to acceptances ...leads to adaptive response to the primitive return state -... So the longer termed correction > 70%. Which imagine, leaving 20% of 7.5 billion ...it's creepy to dimensionalize that way but that's still a lot of people. Who knows what will trigger that ... James may lay out a comet impact. Personally I think a cocktail of calamities is inevitable ... probably a slow cooked, forced reduction in population as a cozy euphemism... But the culmination forces our hand, or our removal - pick. Say pollution breaches a threshold and the oceans stop fixing oxygen, coincident with an Iceland VEI of 8 ... just when the Earths orbit ...or magnetic field flips... WHILE the sun happened to choose then to throw a super X scaled flux. A college professor and I were once considering, all the advances that have 'hockey-sticked' population and brought lives the way we know them, has happened in the last 300 years, and it took the prior ~ 8,000 years of relative natural quiescence prior to that 300 years, to allow the latter to happen. Tail about the enabled! I do suspect that there is some gaming in the complaining about returning to the office, based upon what Scott was talking about ..and just wanting to preserve that is the real intent behind what's likely going to be hotly debated. But it's like that cautionary fable expose' in "Charlie Wilson's War" - great film! "On his sixteenth birthday the boy gets a horse as a present. All of the people in the village say, “Oh, how wonderful!” The Zen master says, “We’ll see.” One day, the boy is riding and gets thrown off the horse and hurts his leg. He’s no longer able to walk, so all of the villagers say, “How terrible!” The Zen master says, “We’ll see.” Some time passes and the village goes to war. All of the other young men get sent off to fight, but this boy can’t fight because his leg is messed up. All of the villagers say, “How wonderful!” The Zen master says, “We’ll see.” Obviously the moral of the story is that it is easy in the here and now to presume the outcome has a good finality to it, but the truth about reality is that it is always changing, and "bad" can emerge as a consequence, so don't be so quick to judge a circumstance/situation.. or course of action, as the best choice.

I almost suspect folks really don't want rain and want it giddy utopia love fest weather at all times, ... free of charge, but hide their disenchantment behind a reverse psychology/ bargaining thing. 'too bad the pattern doesn't look conducive - ' ummmm which makes that preposterous ... LOL It's all good... but, that shit aside. I think of April as zero confidence in sustaining anything other than a blue balls ... couple of balm days of 70, and it's (symbolcally...) as though it's our fault the weather kissed our napes, so for punishment it has to flog us with a week(s) of 39 mist to atone for our sin.... Heh. So long as April is more likely and often going to be a shit show weather month - I almost just would rather it rain the whole way and be miserable ...than,... oh, the 25th of the month, it explodes into an early summer - but, we dream -

Is there a particular reason why folks 'want' no rain ?