Typhoon Tip

FIT and here for some reason have stuck at 81 for the last 20 mintues... so we'll miss the 90 by 9.

It'd have to be a pretty big diurnal swing for us down here. 72 next door at FIT and 72 here ... I was a little surprised to see BOS slip below 70 by decimals. Can we get 28 out of this rise? It's already 81 now

funny I was just thinking looking at the satellite trends since dawn ...this is a good day to test the unofficial metrics "90 by 9", or "10 after 10"

Suspect you're L.I. Sound tainted? Tomorrow the regional winds appear more like 230 to 240 deg. If you happen to get N of the sea air contamination you'll roast.

June's gonna end up being a wildly above normal month... it's +4 around the region prior to this thing as it is. I was looking that the Euro and it's starting to be influenced by the underpinning -PNA persistence. Both it, and the GFS show a pattern evolving around D9-13 that is almost indistinguishable from now ... Granted that's a ways out there, but when in Rome. If there's a coherence disruption in the hemispheric footprint yet to be observed then okay.

HFD was 90 yesterday ... so likely a 4 spot for that location. Otherwise, the models are doing everything in their power to limit this to 3 days. It's somewhere between a high end deal vs just a seasonal heat wave, but it seems we've lost the duration aspect. If the operationals get their way, NE of NYC is 75-80 with dps no higher than the mid 60s on Saturday. Looks dubious ...not sure I'm seeing the frontal mechanics - seems the model might be organizing convective cool pooling and then assuming a BD behavior. I suppose that's possible.. Sunday is right back up near 90.

Upgraded NH to Excessive Warning for Wednesday... which, if that's the case, I don't see FIT-BED-LWM being much cooler... And of course B D L

We were calm here as we rose through the early 90s... About 93 "o'clock" ( lol ) the breeze picked up just enough to expose the under side of leafs - we had the boundary pause and turned over and that was the wind momentum that force Logan back offshore. I always dork on these meso nuances like that.

I'm curious if any urban centers can stay above 78 F tonight.

Hold your horses... 'this heat wave' is 3 days long. this is day 1 - just being fair

I will say this much ... synoptic-wise the heat should be biased N in this circumstance - at least for this afternoon. I'm pretty sure I saw the warmest continental ribbon at 850 smoking along from upstate NY to PWM. Not sure about tomorrow and Thurs. I gotta say, it's pretty damn intense out there right now tho. 95/71 here at the moment so that sends the HI to 103. It's gonna be worse tomorrow by 1 or 2 clicks ...maybe we'll get a DP depression/line. Also, leaves starting to turn over from the WSW as we're maxing ... might be interesting if shore points have a late blush

Have we surveyed the sites at a discrete scale? I think having other sites around SNE in the same air mass, with the same temperature, is a pretty good reason - in the same vane. fuggit, who knows. I don't care. 96 here

Heh ...we're all embedded in this same bath tub man and we've got 95's elsewhere. BDL's probably right enough. If we wanna argue whether the site is relevant to civility - yeah...

Looks like BDL/FIT/ASH all 95 for highs on Mesowest.. so far, but probably so

well yeah... surprised it wasn't 98.6

Yeah I was looking Providence at 78 with SSW. DPs in the 70s though.

95 here ... 95 FIT ... seems this end of Rt 2 is doing well in this. 93 at ASH. Most sites are 91 to 93 tho. Still a couple hours to go ...

zero air movement and unadulterated sear sun - feels like we're sitting in an oven right in front the MW emitter out there

pinged 95/66 Mesowest FIT

yeah I was looking at that. though gradient overall is weak, a couple more degrees and we may see some momentum/WSW ... could cause the old 5:30 ... 7pm spike

93 so far here

It's 91 here ... 91 at FIT ... and 90 at ASH that depiction isn't right for what it makes the complexion look like

The NAM bursting the T1 by 3 C, and the T2 by 1 to 2 C in this run this morning, and looking at area obs already 90 as of 11:xx am should give pause when using the MET for tomorrow. Now that we are in the same synoptic realm that will realize both today and tomorrow ... we are valid to test the behavior ( now-cast ) this thing.

Now that we've collectively groused the apparent "failure" of the models to correctly assess the temperatures that will be realized by this first bigger anomaly of the season, ... the 12z NAM came in with a real roaster at Logan for tomorrow and Thursday. FOUS grid for BOS 30000607452 -1494 242311 77 31 22 15 54000545750 -1193 222311 77 32 23 16 Those spreads will typically yield 35 .. 36 in the 2-meter. There is no codified def for "big heat" but I've always suggested 95 - with some valid argument that the HI should be a part of that discussion. With DPs in the 65 to 71 range, there's not much contention either way if those are realized.

they've always been less useful