Typhoon Tip

Do you think that DP is legit ?

Yesterday we already saw terrain towers by now.

it will .. but, they are moving along and the sky is cleaner over western MA, eastern NY so it's not likely to limit substantially enough to tell much of a difference.

yeah, I was just looking at that obsessive drilling of the front thing - why are the models doing that? It's not just the NAM... The global's had been arriving the boundary way ahead of any mid level support as well. Yet, looking at WPC's sfc analysis, there is a front aligned roughly the ST L seaway to DTX. It's both stationary and attempting to advect in segments - so albeit slow it is there. I think physically the boundary should limp and probably lose identity, until the deep layer mechanics improve but we'll see. I mean you look at this and the last thing that leaps to mind is a front even where it is - however closer inspection... if you look closely N of Lake Superior you see a subtle confluent structure to the isohypses. I think the models have been playing that featuring up a bit. There does seem to be a subtle tendency to back off as get closer... so we'll see

just saw that ... ha. It seems to be growing like fungus in a petri dish on vis loops. Heat's fragile. one errantly wrong timed cirrus plume is a hundo killer.

welp ...88 FIT and 90 here as of 10 am ... "10 after 10" is interesting. Dps at local garden sites on Wunder are routinly 74 to 77 ... FIT is 72 ... but MODIS has the Oxbow site about 2 mi from here at 68 ... It's hard to know. Just figure 72 and be done with it. I wonder if we turn the wind slightly W when we get to max and mix, if so.... we click Dps down a little and temps get the triple deed done. actually edit, OxBM3 is 73 dp

Yup... been following. Next ridge roll-out/flex may occur starting ~ the 28th of June +. May be a hot summer in the works here. Although every year seems to be some positive anomaly comparing to climate anyway lately. But I mean even relative to that. ( as a side thought ... it almost seems to me that we should also be comparing the model depictions, and verification (both) against the average departures. In other words, against d(climate) - possible the average SD during d(climate) being most important. Because it seems to get lost when everything is +.3 to +3 to +33 and every possible decimal in between. ) Anyway, there's a coherent R-wave signal for a wholesale hemispheric nadir around 120 W that is ending up as the residual/rest state in all ensemble systems, after these mid range attempts to change ultimately fail. This began to formulate, about 2 weeks ago, when we began posting/warning this heat wave was out there. So long as that footprint stays the same, I would be inclined to suspect all fronts and troughs kicked E across the continent have a higher chance of downward amplitude.

Notwithstanding that notoriety there but .. it's 3 F ahead of yesterday per hour at both FIT and here 12 miles away as the crow flies comparing to yesterday, and both FIT and locally were 97 for highs. Hmm

Making America great again …

I guess one more day of this then we head into wavy boundaries and thunder chances for a few days. Gotta say tho … theees an underpinning -PNA that looks to persist. It may not take too long before we set up another dome.

97 was the high here without the asshole of a city up wind ...just sayn' with 97+ and FIT/ASH/MHT I'm not sure the temperature nuns are necessary?

Yes... thunderstorm debris from Brian ( his chicken poop caused it )

97 ..wow Upper 90s/75 dp... HI > 110

96 woof

nah... until browning kicks in it's all just hyperbolic

and BDL ...

jumped to 90 here... Same at FIT We seem to have removed the delay factorization

now, those are polarization effects -

Interesting ... as I've been opining all morning, we had a bit of a delay - cause unknown - where several sites stuck at 81 for an hour under full sun. There may have yet been a genesis of a shallow low level inversion, even in this torridity ... BOS was down to 69.x while BTV was 81 ... There's almost no movement to the air so there might have been a bit of challenge at first to mix out -

Finally seeing some more rapid rises. 88 at FIT... ASH

Jesus... not sure how that's even done at that temp. I ran 5 on Mill at the gym yesterday ... where they had issues keeping the facility below 77 and it was brutal

Since we've been on the subject ... I've noticed recently that FIT's DPs are higher and more in concert with other NWS sites around the area. I'd long maintained that site seemed a bit too dry. Just curious, is there a maintenance log anywhere for NWS machinery?

meh... piss pour d(t)s around the area this morning. Should have rows more than what we've seen - it's actually if anything a bit under the synoptic expectation so far.

some sites had a weird stagnation for 40 minutes. interesting. FIT was one of them.

It's entirely possible that micro feedback phenomenon are effecting these sites, guys.