Kevin Reilly

Actually I should not have laughed a 1040 high to our north is exactly what we need and in the new pattern coming, hopefully that is what we will get a 1040 high with cold air coming from our cold source region.

Totally agree!!

Oh I’m missing something else we were in the best spot geographically in relation to the blocking that was in place too. Just so you know I’m only about 10 miles north of the Mason Dixon Line so not too far north.

Yes I remember both well set ups were somewhat similar. The temps here in SE pa were mainly in the lower to mid 20s which gave us great snow ratios which really helped us get to our totals. The February 2010 storm same but that storm had winds 35-45 over our area to boot too.

You forgot to draw in a big blue H off the coast of the Southeastern United States. Time and time again the warmth is gathering in Texas off to the east and southeast deflecting the storms to follow a developed baroclinic zone west of the southeast ridge.

Watch that for a few runs that could be the one just needs timing and spacing.

Only could muster a car topper white Christmas Yay!!! 26 here in Media

Long time!!! Just shows you how negatively tilted that storm got oh what blocking can do!!

Media light rain winds 30-65 mph power outages in the area 1.96” so far 64

Moderate to heavy rain in Media winds have like vanished weird.

SE pa winds past 60 lots of power flashes here in Media Delaware County 13 miles SW of PHL

Winds here in Media clicking 50-60 at least power flashes

Yea there is an issue with the radar I’m telling you though it’s pouring here big time

This is my forecast lol think the computer generated radar is broken but we do have torrential rains falling in extreme SE Pennsylvania

Think we need this record breaking event outta here before we can see our next snow threat. While the ducks (teleconectors) look just about right I’m not seeing the sustained cold for us to score at this time crazily still looks too progressive.

That’s quite a squall line wow!!

There is a warm layer coming in off the Atlantic down your way in DC Baltimore area that warm air layer gets scoured away but barely up here in southern pa by PHL due to the storm hitting the breaks and moving off the coast east bound.

Take away it’s beginning to look more like the other models at this time.

December 23rd 2009 we got 23” here in Southeastern PA and the ocean water temperature at Atlantic City was 53. All about the proximity to the coast for the storm and that all important NE to NNE wind vector along the I-95 corridor happens all the time.

Looking at this Eta is definitely on the eastern side of the track and strengthening. I got a friend in Cape Coral told him to batten down the hatches. Naples to Cape Coral Fort Myers up to Sarasota needs to pay very close attention. I would say Tropical Storm Warnings could be replaced by Hurricane warnings at 11 pm.

The models have it a weak system that eases out to sea off the Carolina coast.

At this point we look for signals but what is a bit troubling not only is the East Coast open to a hurricane strike a major ingredient to this scenario is a blocking high showing up in the Canadian Maritimes and its been there quite a few times now in the long range. I think we need to give it some credibility because up here in the northern latitudes there are definitely hints of changes to a fall like pattern with fairly large mid latitude storms just north of the Canadian border. Here is the system here crashing into extreme northeastern NC Virginia Beach 938-945 mb then to a position over Cheasepeak Bay at 964 mb then to the Eastern Great Lakes. Do I think its overdone maybe but we shall see.

Yep check out the vigorous shortwave out in Kansas moving into Misouri.

Total 1.47” in Media Delaware County we were hit twice. storm coming NE from Kamu country caused 40-50 mph winds for a time a few scattered power outages and trees down some lightning and thunder. second line came through with rolling low clouds and winds gusting from the NW 25-35 mph with lightning.

Yea here is your next threat September 12th take it with a grain of salt for now, but keep it in the back of your mind.