Kevin Reilly

I think today into tomorrow we see some wiggling around on the models that brings this weaker and further west. Almost looks like the system splits into two centers which tells me a weak system or a system with no colocated center. The system may form a center either further west or northwest, but could change the course further down the road. We shall see?

I assuming pretty close to what Media got? I’m still not home until August 13th. How about peak wind gusts from Debby?

As suggested this morning on the 6z gfs. It’s way too early to say out to sea this early. I mean let’s face it the troughs coming into the east coast if they have made it this whole summer haven’t exactly been strong ask Debby who after a week!!! Has finally got the boot. This is however a typical dance every year along the East Coast so let’s see what happens at this point it’s all about timing and we are far from knowing that at this point and anyone who says they know is just guessing and or using climatology. I mean that below is pretty close. I know one model run but still worth a look.

Very good outflow and ventilation over top! Now future trackers towards the coast it’s a little alarming how far west this got. I would keep the guard up in the next two weeks.

Awesome map I’m literally on the green area by 8 blocks lol.

Yea I would not know I’m 1,0004 miles away in Orlando. I told my sister in law to dump to see how much Debby will bring just curious.

My rain gauge must be cracked at home my sister in law checked it and it only had a half inch in it. I thought Media picked up 5” yesterday? Unless it wasn’t my part of Media perhaps Middletown. Was it that sporadic?

I am sorry I missed that still raining too guess my rain gauge will be over flowed when I get home? Meanwhile down here in Orlando Fl today windy gusts to 30-35 very dry air humidity levels today lower 40%’s behind Debby.

I am looking at the radar basically just light rain showers rotating around the center the heavy rain threat is far away from the center looks to me that Charleston and Savannah should be fine honestly. I looked at the web cam in Hilton Head there are people on the beach and the sun is even out. Charleston and Savannah are dry too with dry gounds. I will be checking into Charleston, SC on August 11th should be fine.

There is a boat load of dry air working around the bottom of Debby and pushing up behind her from the Southwest this could be a big deal in helping with limiting the heavy rain up in South Carolina outside of that one or two bands that set up to the north, northwest, and northeast of the decaying center.

Looks like it has stalled or possibly even drifting ESE the center that is.

Severe bands rotating through down here now in Lake Buena Vista

All calm down here although I’m pretty far from the storm in Lake Buena Vista. Expecting squalls after 1 pm or so into tomorrow morning. Meanwhile my friend 3 hours south 200 miles SSW of here getting hit pretty good and surge has begun on the Canal in Cape Coral 10 miles inland. I am however going to move my car away from the trees just in case. They are calling for tropical storm conditions with isolated tornadoes. 83 partly sunny here.

Looking at Satellites Debby is very symmetrical. Almost if you use your imagination it’s ready to pull everything to the center.

I’ve been saying kind of worried all things seem system go over 87-93 degree waters. I keep having Charlie 2004 and Ian 2023 in the back of my mind. Let’s see where we are in 5 to 6 hours.

100% agree with this and the warm waters remember Charlie and Ian DO NOT downplay this situation take it as a serious threat!

I’m checking in their driving up from Orlando Fl on August 11th hopefully the town is still there.

Yep swing and a miss where I’m at in Florida it’s coming on up after it’s done with Georgia and the Carolinas. Let it come we need it. Unfortunately our pattern has found many ways not to deliver. I’ll be driving behind it literally. Next stop Orlando to Charleston driving.

Waking up to sunny down here in Orlando. I’m not expecting too many impacts here? Don’t let your guard down up the coast with what probably will become Debby. What’s interesting too is I check into Charleston SC on August 11th. I guess I’ll be checking into the aftermath. We drove down from SE Pa hope the roads are passable in Georgia, SC, NC as I look at the models this morning.

Waking up to sunny down here in Orlando. I’m not expecting too many impacts here? Don’t let your guard down up the coast with what probably will become Debby. What’s interesting too is I check into Charleston SC on August 11th. I guess I’ll be checking into the aftermath. We drove down from SE Pa hope the roads are passable in Georgia, SC, NC as I look at the models this morning.

Waking up to sunny down here. Don’t let your guard down up the coast with what probably will become Debby. What’s interesting too is I check into Charleston SC on August 11th. I guess I’ll be checking into the aftermath. We drove down hope the roads are passable in Georgia, SC, NC as I look at the models this morning.

Hoping Media got some rain today? I’m down in Florida a state of emergency was just issued. Should be an interesting weekend down here.

Two centers not colocated together

If I look at the GFS thinking the northern circulation is the one it’s latched on to we shall see in time.

Yep in Savanah Ga right now heading to Florida until August 11th. Water temp 89-92 along west coast.