Kevin Reilly

Yea very concerned ditto!! River flooding will be an issue along the Delaware with 8-10" up north with placing 2-4" on top of that we will have the usual suspect streams and also rivers probably with moderate to major flooding. I think your 30 mph winds are too weak guess hence you said 30+ mph. I can see winds SSE 25-45 with gusts to 60-65 mph down trees power outages pretty high! Blizzards for the mid-west Chicago Iowa and eventually into the Ohio Valley Elkhart IN area in time. Great news for us laying down feet of snow in our cold source regions to our west that should help set up the east coast in about two weeks I would think.

Exactly!! BINGO!! Exactly what I was saying to my pal in Langhorne! Eagles Lions Baby! I loved that Adam Joseph said sorry snow lovers we have just a little snow on the way but changing to rain lol. Realitiy temps 27-30 with 7" of snow in 5 hours. BOOM!

23 here in Media with a 14-degree dewpoint we are about bottomed out, I think.

Maybe it is my weenie eyes, but it almost looked like the storm while in extreme southern NC was trying to pass of energy off the northern South Carolina coast?

I must say the NAM is making me excited for my friends just north of the turnpike and in Chester County just west of me like 17 minute car drive gets 5" while I sit at 3". I can snow but also smell the rain. I am interested to see how dynamics can change our fate! Gotta hope for higher rates to keep the column cool enough south of the turnpike. The NAM gives hope we are in the wheelhouse. Could we possibly be looking for a now cast trying to hold off the warm air from Delaware and New Jersey here we shall, see? I will go with 1-3" for here in Media Delaware County with like 1" like literally 3 miles south and east of me. Man, if we can get the low just to shift 15 miles further south and east. I also like the NAM blocking the storm hmm. I will watch the GFS the only thing I am looking for will be is there any movement at all with the low south and east from the last two previous model runs. Is the high up north strong enough to stop its northward bleed. Also, the rain snow line will it also drop south and east at all if it does, I am very interested! Hoping these guys will save Media! I saw them grazing in the grass before taking flight southeast today from the park next to my house. They Know!

I will set the bar in Media Delaware County at 0.7" on the grass before a flip unless there is a hail mary?

Yep, currently here 26f humidity 44% dewpoint 7 wind NNW 12

I think this has been said many times in many forums since like 2007.

We have officially entered into the haulicination phase of model watching with the Nam the radar is next Wennie handbook rule #117.

Looks like a comet ☄️ of snow lol

On Tuesday morning here it was 24 that cold just vanished when the sun came up Tuesday temps zoomed back up to 44. Last night I went to bed at 10:30 it was 33 got up at 5:45 am it was still 33 not too much cold air available around these parts.

They are still a thing huh lol! The 0z NAM should go BOOM!

Here I will enjoy my 0.2" of snow even though I am further north than you and clear the drains and make sure the sump pump is ready for 2-4" of rain next week. Then I will come in and enjoy iced tea with my son and daughter as well.

Less than 1" streak will continue for Media Delaware County Great let me continue with my tally marks.

Love 400-550 mile shifts in 2 days.

6 more to go lol

Yea this is a new development we shall see how real this is but we can score this way too and the snow becomes much more higher ratio too.

This is a result of lack of confluence and blocking up north and our reality. We needed that 984 to be 80 miles or better to the east of Ocean City Maryland. This would have worked but our block / confluence to the north and the high to the north did not allow for development of our low further south and the storm is allowed to just scat out without the cold locking in or reinforcing. This is a progressive look which is what we are stuck in unfortunately. At least our weather will not be boring get ready for roller coaster temps, snow to rain etc.

This time of year that should be snow the obvious problems: 1. High up north not cold enough and too weak 2. No blocking 3. Warm ocean 4. Weaker storm less dynamical 5. Too close to the coast 6. Air mass in front polar pacific air and marine air off the Atlantic As you see our problems are many.

The warm bodies of water just keep delivering! I am wondering if this pattern though we are in is anything like the winter of 1983??? Warm water bodies damed if you have them damed if you don't! Without the warm water you don't get the necessary gradient for big storms to develop and feed off of to give us the Big Dog! With warmer water and weak storms without proper blocking we are done!

I think we see models consolidate and come to consensus by 12z Thursday, January 4th. Thinking 1-3" DC to Baltimore ..... 2-4" PHL as someone said over 350 feet 3-6" beyond the fall line north and west 6-8" Typical 95 north and west deal... south and east of 95 good luck 1" or less. As I see it right now.

Media Delaware County Southeastern PA is 310' how will we do? I am thinking 2-4" / 3-5" before we flip.

Hopefully all 6z runs are off on a tangent. Maybe the mets did not put the data into the 6z runs and will feed the better data into 12z runs?

hmmm sampling anyone.. just raked up a bunch of crap from the Geese.

It will be on Thursday when it shows .50" to 1.00" of rain.. just kidding seriously Thursday 0z