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wasnow215

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Posts posted by wasnow215

  1. Just now, eaglesin2011 said:
    StormTotalIceFcst.png
     
    Still think this is a little low for a few places in the area.. but we will see if they update it later today..
     
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    Based on that precip as snow I just posted, Glen Allen going to see mainly sleet? That’s 12z. What’s Kuchera in Glen Allen snowfall on latest Euro

  2. 2 minutes ago, Freshies said:

    Trust me...I know! I have been lurking on these boards since Eastern (under a different screen name). I recently created a new profile because my name was DC centric and I didn’t want to be judged here in RVA lol. We need to post more in this thread...using the main thread for RVA specific progs is no bueno.

    Yep. Folks here have been helpful

  3. 16 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

    Def a better solution then frz/rain . Def still think a ice storm is a good bet around parts of this  area tho.. hopefully to many people won't be caught of guard but still haven't seen the networks  talking about it much yet

    Possible to see some snow then freezing rain then back to snow especially nw areas of 95. Ugh for frz rain. But yes east end may be ok.

  4. 5 minutes ago, Freshies said:

    Agreed! That NAM ice prog is showing ice for areas like Goochland that were looking at 4-8! Hoping for a crusty inch and expecting less here in the city. At least this will shut up the DC weenies...didn’t realize how awful they are until I didn’t live there anymore lol

    Don’t worry about them. They are to us SOME OF THEM, like some new Englanders are to them. Lol. We had 13-15” before calendar winter began on 12/9 lol. DC not so much. :D

  5. Just now, WhiteoutWX said:

    There is a lot of warm air advection at mid levels.  There's no closed 850 mb low to keep temperatures colder; the precipitation is basically one prolonged warm air advection event until Sunday afternoon when 850 mb winds turn northerly. This seems like a case where models would be more likely to under-do this warm air than over-do. I'd be hedging lower on the snow totals, higher on the ice/sleet. 

    So I guess you’re not a big fan of the DT first call?

    453ED229-5ABE-40B1-8600-61BCBB88C92D.jpeg

  6. 3 minutes ago, dswx said:

    Oh I am definite. " All I’m suggesting is that it may be time to realign geographiry to fit in better with the WAA issues AKQ deals with." Those were not what your words suggested at all.  You said "LWX is consistently better". What part of the current Winter Storm Watch issued for Lousia, Goochland, etc. at 3:28 pm today is too complicated to comprehend with the event more than 24 hours away? And btw, perhaps LWX might want to realign their geography to fit in better with what AKQ deals with. The idea that LWX is consistently better is nothing but trash.

    I'm out of here precisely due to this sort of uninformed, cheap shot NWS office bashing since it is not the first time. That is not the same as discussing the synoptic pattern or models. And I speak as a professional (non-NWS) met. So long.

    I have no issue with what they’re doing so far with this storm AKQ. I don’t know the reason but December 9th was botched. There was lots of good guidance showing double digit snowfall totals, inside of 48 hours. Never pulled the trigger. Thankfully it was on a Sunday. On a workday it would have been a disaster on the roadways, with unprepared motorists.

  7. Just now, eaglesin2011 said:

    I still think we get a good front & end or back end  thump that will give us most of the accumulating snow... Just hope it dosn't all get washed away and or turn into freezing rain for hours...I rather have hours of sleet.. Will be no fun to look at but at least it wouldn't do as much damage.

     

    There is a huge difference between sleet and an all out ice storm. Does anyone have any good ice accumulation model information? Trying to pass these concerns over to work leaders.

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