wasnow215

12 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

I cant  imagine much if anything for  se va, including richmond. It seems we will be  on the northern extent  of the  precip and i doubt  it will precip hard enough to be snow.

From watching everything play out the last few days, and how the models showed an expanding storm today, I think RVA does pretty well with this storm. I’m calling for 3-6”, with possible pockets to 8”. Highest amounts SW areas.

30 minutes ago, DanTheMan said:

Well my one solace is even Richmond gets screwed on the Euro

Nah you guys are in STORM MODE so you must be getting a STORM right???

Yeah it’s over. We all know how reliable forecasting is 90 hours out.

6 minutes ago, dswx said:

12z Euro ensembles have around 6 inches at 10:1 for the Richmond area.

I’m just NW of 95 near Short Pump. So without me looking at a map the trend has been a bit more NW of Richmond Proper right??

1 minute ago, Hyphnx said:

EURO has Richmond getting almost nothing andbty the other models cover us with snow. This is going to be interesting

Yeah. King Euro pretty much stands alone at this point. Ensembles out yet?

3 minutes ago, nj2va said:

0.4” crosses SE DC/Alexandria.  0.1” Baltimore.  1.0” EZF.  0.6” touches the SE tip of FFX county.  Pretty much runs E to W from there.

RIC n precip type?

Crazy run. Lots of model runs left tho 

1 minute ago, eaglesin2011 said:

 

What a difference a shift of a few miles can make... ha 

Prob why 0-12' is almost always a good call for this area.. ha

True! AND solution will change at least a couple more times before final solution 6 hours out

GFS suppressed still. Nothing in Va. FV3 (2019 GFS replacement) a good hit for Southern Va. and 3-6” makes it into RVA. Euro starts soon.

Why does FV3 output always seem delayed. Been stuck on 96 hours for awhile. Gonna roll out in a month as GFS replacement?? Gotta get better.

12/3 0z Euro RVA love! Shoot cut those numbers in half and it’s still a great early Dec hit!

4 hours ago, JB Fins said:

The main thread is definitely worried about suppression, which would likely be a good thing for us.  But, how many times have we seen the movie where RIC is in the bulls eye 96 hours out only to have it shift inevitably to the north?  Fingers crossed for an event that affects us all but selfish as we are due...want something to fall and stick to enhance the holiday lights.

Nothing in 12z runs hurt RVA that’s for sure. Still looking snowy.

Just now, Bob Chill said:

Beginning around the 13-15th. Hard to say how warm it gets and for how long but it's almost a lock that a period of warmer weather compared to the last couple weeks is on the way. 

If we do get a strong +EPO then it could easily last more than a week. 

Thanks Bob 

So general question. Big warmup has been talked about for a little while now for later this month, but out as far as I can see on long range I’m not seeing temps forecasted  to be super warm. When is this supposed to happen?

6 minutes ago, Snowchaser said:

There’s still a slight chance for light snow in Virginia Wednesday

Looking less and less likely but could see some mood flakes

1 hour ago, caviman2201 said:

@Snowchaser this forum can be chippy as hell if you're not in the "in crowd" but it's also full of really brilliant weather minds and people who love for snow like I do, so 8 years later (plus several on EasternUSWX) I'm still here. Under 1400 posts in 8 years, mostly obs and banter and I'm in here lurking nearly all day every day. I almost never post in the non-banter threads because I almost never have anything useful to add and I'd rather just follow this forum like a weather soap opera. Just my 2 cents. 

Agreed 100%. But some common respect for those who don’t sit with the “in crowd” at the lunch table, should be exercised.

It’s going to be significant. Just matters where frozen/not frozen line sets up.

23 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Reports from my family that the Harris Teeter in Arlington is out (or low, possible exaggeration) of bottled water, milk, bread, and batteries) Rumors @ UVA are that the school is actively having meetings about possibly postponing classes later in the week.

Hype is real.

Germanna college in Fredericksburg is closed through Sunday.

Daggone GFS-The progression of the 0z run was interesting. Decent rates as low “ramps up”. Surprising actually. Still fighting climo. I mean it will be April 7th smh.

8 minutes ago, SteveVa said:

Here are the clown maps from today's 12z GFS and Euro. Amounts likely overdone, but the threat seems legit.

 

If it starts in earnest after sun goes down Sat...

5 hours ago, SteveVa said:

If anyone is still here, I think it's worth discussing the 4/7-4/8 time frame as wintry precip is consistently showing up. 

Climo says no, Canadian and Euro say hell yes.

I’m here and I’m in!

2016? Was that year 20 total?

34 minutes ago, RIC Airport said:

Officially 2" at the airport bringing the season total to 12.4".

Above seasonal avg. We’ve had some nice  events.

Compacted now after the heavier snowfall ended around 2 here but this was a good event overall for Glen Allen. Happy second day of spring!! Haha