wasnow215

Why are all the little kid trolls out tonight?  No video game tourneys? Go to bed

2 hours ago, anotherman said:

Please no

PSU vs WarmChaserChuck!! Hahahaha -just messin Chuck love reading stuff from both of you!

38 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

What we don't want to see in the long range is that -PNA ridge pinching off NW to cutoff over Russia, while a low comes underneath of it in western Canada and Alaska.. could flood US with warm air down the road if it evolves like this. Earlier it was looking like the Pac ridge was wanting to eventually go polar, but this is how models have trended the last few days.. 

Possibly if the MJO were to stay strong, it would support this pattern, going through Phases 3-6

That'll change in a couple days, and then again a couple days after that. Wash, rinse, repeat.

47 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I mean is it that far off from the others this time, though? Seems like they all have things forming too late to catch the last of this cold. I know the AIs are still south, but...

Yes!! Lol

3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

I agree with this. The past 10 years or so have been historically bad and not the sole fault of climate change. Frankly, if it was just climate change alone causing such a dramatic shift then I wouldn’t be in college right now because clearly our planet is mega fucked so id live up the life I had left. Thankfully, it’s not our baseline and instead just bad patterns and climate change together. We will get good winters again but they’re just harder to come by. As a last note I think this storm is a great read like you said but only if we get a “perfect track”. I mean if we get a primary in the Ohio valley or west it’s raining even if it was 1700. 

Very true! It was encouraging also here in Central, Va on Friday, we actually scored with a clipper. Had 3.5" in SW Chesterfield County in less than 4 hours! Can't remember last time a clipper did some damage.

6 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Yeah dude I’m not here to say it won’t get cold or snows gonna disappear forever. Climate change takes time. Im here to say on balance we lose stuff on the margins. Additionally, that gfs run won’t be true (and god knows it won’t be right till the day after the event) but they still show a “real” possibility bound by our physical laws. That storm happens in some possible world; though hopefully not our own. 

Im not denying it's different. It is-but this winter and really last winter, has actually been...well... winter. And we had gone several years with basically no winter.

I agree with what PSU has been saying. This will be a good test to see how it works out... Pacific is crap, but other parts are decent. Also, SEEMS like models are over the place more now than 5 years ago. But I've done no official evaluation. I'd have to quit my day job for that haha.

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Oh I agree but I stopped making this point because some agree and they get tired of hearing it because it’s depressing and the others won’t believe it and will cite examples of when it’s cold as evidence it’s not warming and it’a a waste of time arguing with them 

Sorry lol

4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

While we’re dancing around the elephant in the room I’m going to address it. Look at the fucking 0z GFS

Technically it’s a win! It snows for the NOVA and north crew. But seriously what the hell are we doing with our lives if we have a pure coastal low and the area of frozen in the dead of winter after 2 weeks of extreme cold is that small. I mean there’s almost no frozen on the north side! That’s not normal! It’s not a shit the blinds pattern. This is direct evidence that our planet has changed and I’m tired of dancing around that fact. If we lose storms like these then our lives are waiting for the one in 10 years shots like this January and praying chance lines up.

That's just one run of a pretty poor model-at this range I mean. 32° in Cuba last week for the first time ever, and first 8 days of Feb rank  top 10 at least all time in this region, for avg cold daily temps.

6 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

@wasnow215 

Although...upon further review, the Ravens set the record for fewest points allowed in a 16-game season at 165. And they also went 5 games without scoring a TD too, lol It sounds like the 76 Steelers and 00 Ravens were nearly matched!

HONESTLY, and I'm biased as an Eagles fan, the '91 Eagles defense ranks up there as the best I've ever seen. And after Randall goes down in game one and is out for the year, that offense was pretty bad but they managed to win 10 games. That was the year they sacked Aikman 11 times in Dallas haha.

2 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Taking nothing away from that great Ravens D but NYG had 152 yds of total offense

The '76 Steelers D allowed 138 points in 14 games. 9.8 points a game. The final 9 games after the team started 1-4, they allowed just TWENTY EIGHT TOTAL POINTS. Sorry but that's unmatched in the SB era. 

42 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

2000 Ravens defense did even better than that 

Taking nothing away from that great Ravens D but NYG had 152 yds of total offense

The greatest defense in the Super Bowl era, and I'm not a fan of the team, was the Pittsburgh Steelers "steel curtain" defense of the 70s. They held the Minnesota Vikings to 119 total yards in a 16-6 win in SB 9.

2 hours ago, stormtracker said:

I might consider this secession and send in federal troops. 

Word on the street is Richmond/Hampton thread is trying to also secede from the midlantic thread lol

Not saying this will happen but it's worth talking about. Partly because it seems like this winter except for the weekend snow here last weekend, a lot of the possibilities have worked out. And they've all been frozen

Nobody gonna mention the 12Z GFS lol?

10 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Bottom line, forecasts beyond a few days stink.

Exactly – and what's the difference if the ensembles change every run or every other run just like the OP's do? 

52 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Yeah because he's sooo accurate 

He's pretty much been "oppo man" for a couple years. Whenever he says the opposite happens. 

Pretty interesting that we haven't had a true clipper get across the mountains with this amount of moisture for a while now. Maybe some things are turning around!

About 3" here at Moseley, Va -southwestern Chesterfield County 23120! We are at about 11" for the season, not including the 3 inches of sleet and then freezing rain we got on that Monday a week and a half ago.

3 hours ago, SoCoWx said:

What’s Richmond’s snow for the season at after today?


.

I just hit double digits here in 23120 I know that!

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

Damn. Jealous as hell but congrats all

You see if you would've put the title of your thread you started in the main thread here you would've had much success lol. Appreciate you man!

2 hours ago, snowchill said:

Near Genito and RockyFord Rd Powhatan 

Same amount here in Moseley/ 23120 Magnolia Green

Also if you go back and look at the 6Z and 12 Z models today they really backed off.

Somebody just called me and said some meteorologist said there's some backfill also I don't know who the person was. But some spots could get 3 to 4 now that's nuts

18 minutes ago, snowchill said:

still snowing

What part of town are you in? That's so cool