wasnow215

4 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

Not sticking to anything in Richmond but it’s pretty to look at 

“TV snow”

0Z Euro was a solid hit again for Sunday. 

Light snow here in Glen Allen. 30°

18Z Euro Ens for Sunday. Good stuff.

1 minute ago, Rhino16 said:

Interested to see what that brings. I’m not complaining if we get a little refresher. Super excited for these next few weeks, I’ll have to stay caught up with work though.

Work always has a way of making sure we stay caught up LOL. 

Looks like there is more substantial snow moving south on 95 that is almost into Ruther Glen right now, on a beeline towards Richmond.

Very fine light snow falling in Glen Allen near Staples Mill Rd and 295. Thin coating on cars. 

Oh and BTW RVA and suburbs finished with more snow than.DC even if they get another inch from the second part of this system haha. 

2 minutes ago, Snowmadness said:

Damn,  two huge threats out there next two weeks!!! Going to be fun tracking through mid Feb.  Downside is I am already sleep deprived from the last storm....lol.  

So true! We can sleep in March...or April haha!

4 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

12z euro brings back a storm threat for Sunday. Too far out for all the minor details so just something watch. Obviously want the low to track off the coast and not go into the bay like it does but again still ways out 

AND an even better event 2/10 with VODKA COLD air in place! Would be powder!

3 minutes ago, RVASnowLover said:

I like this look. The 00z op took a step back from the 12z but at this range I trust the ensembles more 

Agreed!

0Z EPS for this coming Sunday. Pretty good look. 

Just now, North Balti Zen said:

Seriously, here's the sequence:

What the **** is that from a red tagger? That reads like Chuck stuff. Even rank amateurs know that five day out progs are not taken literally. The Euro pointed everyone toward the potential of a long duration storm affecting areas on the coast from five days out - which is pretty ****ing amazing. 

Perhaps a bad experience traveling to Europe? Got sick on some cuisine? Could be a “Criminal Minds” episode lol. 

31 minutes ago, Animal said:

 

So I live just northwest of Richmond, Va but grew up in SJ and spent my first forty years of life there haha, so I give myself permission to weigh in. 

IMHO I don’t think the 10:1 ratio maps will turn out to be accurate. It’s possible but I believe “total snow depth” consistently ends up being closer to the final outcome. 
 

For instance where I live the 10:1 map showed 8” of snow. The snow depth map showed 3.5 to 4” especially the short term models late. We had moderate snow from 6am to 11am and hovered between 28° and 30° and indeed got about 4”. I think The Delaware Valley does great but those totals on the NAM 10:1 seem real overdone. 

7 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said:

They are guidance and we bought into it for days. 

You’re the met so this comes with a great deal of respect but that was four days ago and showed that kind of historic snow for 2 runs. And I think one of them was 18z. The GFS wasn’t close the other way for run after run for days. Euro at least corrected quickly, and has been very consistent since. 

Gfs has close to zero surface temps for next Mon 6am. Euro holds it back a day. That’s freezer cold.

2 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

AGAIN! Like the last time we got decent snow. I don’t know if that counts because they got none and weren’t really inside the storm at all. So maybe it’s unfair.

Naaaaaaaa! Not unfair at all. Lol. “RVA-The  “Green Bay” of the south.”

1 minute ago, RVASnowLover said:

Looks like most of us got between 4-5 which I think we’ll all gladly take. Most snow since December 2018. Front end thump has been a bust so far in NOVA and DC. They could make that up on the coastal...maybe, some models say no

“RVA special” LOL 

So someone who is better at this the dry slot that looks like it’s happening just to our northwest- is that going to stay northwest you think?

What a beautiful event so far!! Let’s go!!

18 minutes ago, eaglesin2011 said:

Well we should be in it for a few hours now so here we go!!

Temps down also. Hope the 850’s hold for as long as possible. 

It’s 34° right now where I live in  Glen Allen. Temperatures are definitely going to be an issue with any precipitation. I think we’re looking at a sleet fest maybe, before it changes to all rain.

1 hour ago, RVASnowLover said:

RGEM is a step back too. Damn smh. Meanwhile it crushes the DMV on the backside. Of course people in that thread are going crazy over it and popping bottles and hugging it 

18z GFS had more snow before any changeover than DC total! Lol ironic if it worked out that way. 

I know it’s a little late for weather models like the GFS but for what it’s worth it seems a little better at 18Z than 12Z.

0z 3k NAM isn’t bad