Buddy1987

18z Icon is juiced up at 96. LP placement isn’t too far off from Canadian at 12z. Icon has LP in southern IL. Edit: so much for the similarities. At 108 Icon MUCH further to the east traversing WV.

18z Icon juiced up at 96 with LP in southern IL. Canadian at 12z had much less moisture until about 6-12 hrs later. Both have the LP placement relatively similar (Icon just a tad southeast of CMC)

Eric Webb @webberweather Haven't had much time to look at this, but a real threat for a winter storm in the Carolinas is lurking for this wknd Setup-wise, the models that show snow (EPS, ECMWF, & GFS) are analogous to the Jan 16-18 2018 storm, w/ a cut-off ULL moving E-SE from the TN Valley #ncwx #scwx 12:20 PM · Jan 10, 2022 Read the full conversation on Twitter

This pattern is like the equivalency of wading in the water with no net and hoping to catch a school of fish passing by.

Yes! I will be in Downeast Maine just to the north or Portland in York Beach from 1/19-1/21

Man how close was that absolute missile from being caught? What an absolute mauling for NE at 144

Yea I’m in the camp to where the way the year has gone thus far something will show up on the back end of the short range to early medium range. A lot of little nuances happening in the atmosphere as of recent wrt lows just ripping through. Hard to time or predict until it gets closer in time.

Don’t let that fool you. That back end meant business. Just finished rolling through here. Took about 3 jebwalks. Picked up a quick half inch on elevated surfaces but man it was literally like chunks of paper coming down. GREAT dendrite growth in those darker greens and yellows. Coming through at the right time for you as well, as the night will grow colder. Wind also picking up noticeably on the back end. Side note: It is going to be WICKED icy here in the morning. Low of 21.

Man radar has really blown up in SW VA in the last couple minutes. Bright yellows showing up

Light wintry mix down around ROA. 42/24

Down to 46/18 now after wind shift to the WNW. Going to be some nice evaporational cooling taking place.

Lmao.. idk what you use but I downloaded radar scope in my App Store and have had it for a good couple years. Every radar I see from Greenville to Knoxville even down to Atlanta all has a “good” look. Let’s just hope for the best man. I’m sure your temps are much more behaved. I’m 47/19 so am going to waste some precip for awhile.

Radar looks surprisingly good. Really hoping GFS can score a coup for a lot of us

You guys at least have the opportunity for having moisture thrown back your way. I have to pray this almost takes more of an east northeast trajectory otherwise we’re toast down here. And by the looks of the mesos don’t have the warm and fuzzies about over performing.

I was thinking the same thing. Pushed its poker chips all in on a nut flush

Good luck up that way. I feel a dud coming down in my neck of the woods. Starting off in the low 40s and the main piece of precip is going to traverse WV.

@clskinsfangot a nice strip showing up to a 1/2” qpf around the Blue Ridge there and then up into NW VA

This is the one I was alerting everyone to yesterday with me traveling and specifically watching the time period because of flights etc.. been showing on accuweather no joke for like over a month.

12z Icon has a nice area of mod-heavy snow that traverses southern/central va at hours 39-42 and then up into the DC crew at hr 45. Low goes from GSO to VA Beach.

Ehh now that I look again I was a little too focused on my specific area. I can see where up 81 gets shafted.

Icon still a quick hitting strike. Just a smidge south of 18z but precip evolution looks the same

Someone can correct me if I’m wrong but Nam looks better at 31 wrt GL low and energy out in the Plains/west

At this point 3” would make me ecstatic. Let’s hope 0z can give us all some goods.

Yea even up this way in ROA it’s a 50/50 shot right now imo to get 2-3”. I could easily see a lot of the precip go into WV. Has a tendency to do that a lot around here. If we can get some spacing it may be able to dig a little more and tap into some more moisture.

ICON still looks great at 18z. Maybe just a tick north and a little quicker than 12z