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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    Nothing like a 4mb difference in HP strength at 90.. 1027 to 1031
  2. Buddy1987
    Starting to relax some about the dual low scenario… 84 has light snow breaking out sw va and 1032 parked up Toronto area. Slid over perfectly north of Lake Superior. Pretty sweet spot to funnel in. So far looking awesome.
  3. Buddy1987
    GFS through 60 maybe looks to be a tad quicker with energy diving southeast out of Texas and slightly better confluence? What’s everyone think? Def some southeastward progression at 72 with gulf low now..
  4. Buddy1987
    Lol literally I’m at a 1 with how some of these model runs have gone last day or two. No low west of Richmond will do anyone any good.
  5. Buddy1987
    Oh for sure.. just a good distance out of range still as you well know but should get some inkling of an idea as to how much cad will be available maybe tomorrow this time. I’m almost wondering if the high won’t feel as forced to exit stage right if it’s not feeling the effects of the primary low driving into the OH valley.
  6. Buddy1987
    540 line at height is in far far nw VA but 2m has cad all the way down closer my way so if anything I think someone can score a decent storm. Holding out hope euro looks good. I may stand corrected but I could’ve swore some time back euro was updated to better predict cad. May have dreamed that but I thought I read it at one point or another.
  7. Buddy1987
    I feel like gfs can have a tendency to “under-do-it” in these type of scenarios however if the HP ends up sliding east too quickly we could have some problems. I’m honestly so starved for winter precip I don’t care at this point if I get a 3” sleet bomb. Anything will do I’m not going to be picky when it’s been forever since we got something other than a trace.
  8. Buddy1987
    Euro savin us!
  9. Buddy1987
    I felt like if the track can materialize the way 18z gfs depicted we stand a decent chance in favored areas to get a front end thump accomplished. Really like the fact that it’s starting to back away from the Ohio valley death blow that would flood all levels.
  10. Buddy1987
    Good lord.. I get it’s a “storm thread” but man have we gotten strict about what you can and can’t post in there.. half of the pages comments on one page were deleted and I felt like I kept it on topic. I get along well with almost everyone I speak to generally speaking. Seems a bit harsh.. rant over
  11. Buddy1987
    That 18z gfs run sucked me back in. Def better output for normal nw areas except now it extends back all the way down 81 corridor. LLC looks to have had a slight win compared to previous two runs. EPS wasn’t horrid. This may still have legs. Sucker me in one more time.
  12. Buddy1987
    Are we rooting for an even earlier start time to this so thermals will cooperate more potentially or is it a moot point if southern stream is weak?
  13. Buddy1987
    No it was.. like even out this way 81 is practically in my backyard west of Roanoke and even I didn’t feel too safe. 12z just gave the dagger. Really unfortunate. I did kind of get my hopes up on this one.
  14. Buddy1987
    I mean my god.. we literally go from a beast up the east coast, making many of us happy, to some piece of weak sheared crap within like 24-36 hrs.. might as well cue up Bill Paxtons sense of meteorology minded thinking because he could predict things better in 1998 than 2024 forecast models can.
  15. Buddy1987
    Do the pros in here think that primary will end up driving that far north into the OH Valley or is the GFS bias playing into this some in your opinion?
  16. Buddy1987
    At this point I’m just relegating myself to a huge sleet storm and hoping it materializes.. thermals looked cooked one way or the other even down right along the blue ridge on 81. Was really hoping for more from this.
  17. Buddy1987
    HP starting to show in a much better position at 96 on 6z so that’s a good trend to start.
  18. Buddy1987
    Euro saved the day thus far.. really was not overly impressed with 0z guidance at least not down this way. Hoping GFS comes in less amped.
  19. Buddy1987
    Would like to think Icon was another good shellacking.. skips between hrs 108-126 as of this moment. Looks like track would he ideal for most here.
  20. Buddy1987
    I appreciate you taking time out to break down the main differences between both.
  21. Buddy1987
    Well that actually makes sense for me then as to how they are viewed or looked at wrt a true B or hybrid..
  22. Buddy1987
    @WinterWxLuvr @clskinsfan @psuhoffman I would like to actually know outside of the main thread how it isn’t a Miller B? The 18z gfs had shown the LP up close to WV but then it looked like it popped the new low around VA Beach? Did the surface map not correctly portray it how I thought a Miller B behaved?
  23. Buddy1987
    GFS is notorious for any of you that are newer here for driving Miller B’s up into the low level cold and then it ends up adjusting closer to go time. This looks like a prime example.
  24. Buddy1987
    Wedging looks to have improved once again ever so slightly looking at the isollbars on h5 as cold air really gets entrenched. You can see them push far down south and west into Georgia. Good to see that so far.
  25. Buddy1987
    Icon looks to be south some once again with precip shield at 108.
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