IWXwx

I work in emergency management/Homeland Security. I got hooked on weather as a seven-year-old when my dad took me out the day after the Palm Sunday outbreak and we followed the path of the F-4 that passed through a few miles north of our house. I got into emergency management as a result of my love of weather. I like storm spotting and doing the occasional chase.

Whoa! Just tried to get caught up here and thought I'd accidentally clicked on one of the EC subforums. My only observations for the FWA area is to prepare for a kitchen sink storm. Now back to your regular scheduled model watching.

I just received an e-mail from IWX stating that NWSChat will be down for planned maintenance on Monday from 10 AM - 1 PM EST. They couldn't have timed it more perfectly.

As we discussed last night, I don't think the IWX forecaster was off base when he discussed marginal temps, at least for FWA. I am seriously rooting for a Euro score for all of the posters in Iowa, No IL/ORD (including hoosier) and Detroit. I will enjoy my cold rain/ice/flakes. All of us Indiana posters south of US 30 will have to depend on the trailing wave to deliver.

Okay, I understand what you're saying. However, ORD is in a better position than FWA. It still looks marginal to me for mby, at least until the last wave rolls through mid-late next week.

Why do you say that?

The afternoon forecaster at IWX sings an all too familiar tune concerning Sunday-Tuesday: THE KEY FOR WHETHER THIS BECOMES A MORE SIGNIFICANT STORM LOCALLY WILL BE IF BLOCKING RELAXES JUST ENOUGH FOR LATER DAMPENING OF THE MAIN SOUTHERN STREAM WAVE. A TYPICAL THREAD THE NEEDLE SET UP THAT WE'VE SEEN THE LAST SEVERAL WINTERS WITH ONLY MARGINALLY COLD AIR TO WORK WITH. SO, NOT A LOT OF CONFIDENCE AT THIS RANGE WITH BROADBRUSH MID CHANCE POPS (RAIN & SNOW) IN THE GRIDS FOR NOW.

I'm already counting on it happening. Our largest snowfall of the season will be on March 23th (channeling some Brian D.).

Six straight hours of snow and still snowing. Total accumulation? zero A microcosm of the winter of 2020-21 here.

Same

How right you are. With a efficacy rate of 95%, which is astounding, there is still that 5% that is susceptible.

I found out that the software will only let you multi quote 50 posts.

lol I want to preface this by saying that I'm not picking on anyone here. In fact, I think Ricky's on the right track and at least there are colder temps on the horizon and the look is for more active weather. However, having been on the board for several years, I find it interesting to witness both the optimism and pessimism by board members, especially in the mid to long range. Anecdotally, ensembles do seem to do a good job of predicting pattern changes, however, many times the timing is suspect. This leads to the cold keeps getting pushed back posts. That being said, even though we still don't have a major winter storm on the horizon, at least temps look to be closer to seasonable averages than the first part of the month and I impatiently for the next big dog.

I haven't seen him for a couple of years

After a hard day of procuring PPE and distributing it to law enforcement, first responders, and county employees, planning vaccination points of distribution in coordination with the local health department, and speaking with local hospital officials about the number and severity of cases being treated, it's refreshing to come home and see this avatar, as it's always good for a smile.

The normal high for IND on March 1st is 45 and on the 31st 58. You might see a couple of 70° days in March, but not likely.

We had a half a day of sun here yesterday, but back to cloudy today.

That is a cold look, so I'm not trying to downplay it, but this isn't bitter cold for Indianapolis. The normal low for IND in late January -6° C or 21°. A -5° C anomaly produces a low of 12° F. Scrolling through week 2 of the GEFS, the cold dome just north of the border slowly intensifies, and cold anomalies slowly bleeds into the northern Plains and Midwest, while the heart of the cold remains trapped in southern Canada/along the border. As Ricky alluded to above, at least it does look like a michsnowfreak favorite layout with some clippers. At least it's something to look forward to rather 2 weeks of blahhh.

It's not a 982, but it will work.

Low quality snizzle here this afternoon.

I'm sorry to hear that. Condolences to you and your family. I have been kind of harsh at times here, but when you've lost friends and seen multiple people suffer for days and weeks, it gets kind of personal...more than just hospital and death stats.

I can't remember the last time that we've had such a winter season snooze-fest. It's been cloudy with highs in the mid 30's and lows in the mid 20's for the past four days and the forecast is the same here for the next seven days. There's usually a little surprise system that breaks up the monotony.

I got a chuckle from IND's morning discussion met: STAGNANT PATTERN WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH REMAINDER OF TODAY INTO TONIGHT AND FRI. THERE IS A HINT AT SOME MOISTURE TRYING TO SNEAK NORTH FROM OUR SOUTH; HOWEVER, THIS IS MORE IN-LINE WITH AN HONORABLE MENTION AND NOT PROGGED TO BE FRUITFUL FOR PRECIP.

If you divide those numbers by three, you might be close. Anyway, I'm happy for them. It's nice to share the love. We'll get ours. Besides, it's really comical watching them try to deal with 3" of snow.

I had to be tested last week due to multiple exposures (negative). Got my results in 36 hours.