IWXwx

Congrats ORD/DTW.

Cold rain with wraparound mood flakes for FWA, per usual.

So I see the new media buzzword to add to "polar vortex" is "atmospheric river."

8 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

You might say that you've become comfortably numb?

Alek style

A graphic by a local station shows just how streaky temps were last month. Seventeen out of 31 days were above normal, but the bitter cold before Christmas drove us to below normal for the month.

44 minutes ago, bowtie` said:

I just saw on a TV weather graphic that Indianapolis was over 9 inches in the red for the year. Do not knoww the validity of that though.

As of Midnight last night -9.36"

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=ind&product=CLI&issuedby=ind

On 12/12/2022 at 4:24 PM, hardypalmguy said:

cold won't verify.

Lol

Anxiously awaiting my Boxing Day turd duster

1 hour ago, TheRegionRat said:

I agree with this. This past set looked great on paper for a few hours. In retrospect a bit more snow would have been nice, but getting buried would have been even colder. 

A question for the sharpies. It was below zero all day December 23. How often does that happen at O'Hare? Seems somewhat rare.

Here ya go...

On 12/24/2022 at 3:06 AM, Hoosier said:

More stats for Chicago...

12/23/2022 is the 48th day on record with a high below 0, and the first such day since 1/30/2019.  

Of the 48 days with a high below 0, only 7 of them have occurred in December.

December days with a high below 0:

12/28/1880:  high -1

12/15/1901:  high -2

12/13/1903:  high -2

12/23/1983:  high -6

12/24/1983:  high -11

12/25/1983:  high -5

12/23/2022:  high -1

I just noticed that FWA has a 7" deficit in precip for the year. That Friday/Saturday system is going to need to dump a lot of rain to cut into that by year's end.

Travel restrictions in place here. Motorists stranded and dozens and dozens of wrecks. After several measurements this morning, 2.5" is my best estimate.

As Jackstraw said earlier, 50 MPH wind gusts and -30° wind chills for hours that don't look to let up until Saturday night. The winds have actually been getting stronger as the day goes on and whiteout conditions are occurring. Winter Storm Warning conditions here no doubt. As others have said, brutal is the only way to describe it.

A little something I made, thought I'd share here

2 hours ago, Chicago WX said:

Wild conditions here. Visibility in town is around 3-4 blocks. Roads are total shit. Can’t imagine what it’s like in the sticks. River has flash freezed. Work today is going to be something else. Not sure I have enough layers on. 

Good luck. I always am concerned about you guys and gals working in these conditions. Today is probably right up there with the worst ones.

8 hours ago, hardypalmguy said:

January is going to be a torch month overall.


.

Thanks for the in-depth meteorological reasoning.

1 minute ago, Powerball said:

Surprised this thread isn't more active.

Nothing to be active about from here. I've been expecting ~3" and that's what's happening.  The brutal wind and wind chills are still the highlight.  I know you're referring to the ORD crew who thought they were reeling one in, only to have it come off the hook at boat-side.

6 hours ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Great, now WEAs are gonna become meaningless to most people.

I was skeptical when they used them (at least here in WI) to announce the state COVID-19 lockdown in March of 2020. The virus is invisible and the risk of infection ever-present every time you interact with another person for the foreseeable future. I think they're much more appropriate for short-fuse threats of physical harm that you take cover from and then go about your business once it's over. Tornado warnings, flash flood warnings, gas leak, mass shooter on the loose, zombie apocalypse, etc.

As of right now, I am the only person in our county that can send a WEA (at least for the time being.)  I also wrote the SOP for sending them.  None of that ticky-tack bs is getting sent on my watch.  However, you did bring up a good point on the zombie apocalypse.  I may have to include that.

Man, the entertainment value of the storm thread is priceless. Watching weenies' emotions ebb and flow with each model run, especially the Chicago posters.  This is still going to be a major-impact storm, whether you get three or nine. I've been kicked back over here in FWAland absolutely satisfied with my incoming 3" and 50 mph gusts. I'm looking forward to sitting in front of the picture window and enjoying the blizzard. Will be a white Christmas for almost all in the subforum, and after the past several Decembers, what's to be disappointed about?

Snow globe finally ended here this morning after continuing almost unabated since Friday afternoon. When combined the five days in mid-November, I don't remember the last time we had snow globe conditions occurring totaling a week before Christmas.

Yep, every model is wrong.

17 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

where's cromartie?

need an update on the torch incoming heading into the christmas period.

Probably digging out the heat lamps. Yeah, I know it's a temp map from from an op run at 312 that I could 30 get dayed for posting, but figured a little emphasis wouldn't hurt.

Lol at both the Can't Forecast Shit and the Can't Forecast Shitv2

4 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

 

Never gets old

6 minutes ago, Baum said:

Equal chances that NOAA outlook is good through 12/10 and is wrong thereafter. Steady build to cold and than the snow chances begin to increase thereafter. A real December is in the offing...

After the past few years, it's hard for me to share that positivity.

However, forgetting meteorology and just playing the odds, we're overdue, changing climo be damned.

Normally I'd be lamenting being bullseye for an inch and a half of rain rather than what could have been at this time of year, but it's so dry around here, I'll take it.

Another hit for the MN crew

There should some code written into the model's algorithm that won't allow a solution with isobars packed that tightly past 96 lol