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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Maybe some ice at the start of 2/1 event we've been wasting time on for the last 5 days.
  2. mitchnick
    AI has nothing except the SER is gone at the end of the run.
  3. mitchnick
    This Euro run sure dried up, at least thru 330hrs.
  4. mitchnick
    Encouraging that there are a few with big hits. I guess that means there weren't any big hits in prior runs.
  5. mitchnick
    Odd that thru 276hrs the Gefs has a pretty good snowfall mean of 2-2.5+", as opposed to 1" or less the past few runs. Might be counting sleet as snow, idk?
  6. mitchnick
    There's something faster?
  7. mitchnick
    If I can't have all snow, gimme an inch or 2 of snow and then sleet and zr to glaciate it.
  8. mitchnick
  9. mitchnick
    Remember, Canadians were the warm models last time and were more right than wrong.
  10. mitchnick
    Gem total zr
  11. mitchnick
    Starts with this panel. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025012412&fh=222&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ma&p=prateptype-imp&m=gdps
  12. mitchnick
    Gem is lt snow to ice for many. Obviously, exact location depends on a lot of things.
  13. mitchnick
    Gem now starts as snow
  14. mitchnick
    Gem not quite as bad looking at 186hrs.
  15. mitchnick
    Gfs is ugly.
  16. mitchnick
    Keep delaying the Gfs or Euro and there could be some HP to the north show up. Lol
  17. mitchnick
    Sun's out with random flakes falling from a cloud that's past by. It's like heaven for weenies. Lol
  18. mitchnick
    Not abnormal for boundary in an overrunning event to move north, but that's a detail to worry about if it's still there in 10 days. Lol Our fate rests on the strength of the SER, for better or for worse. Hopefully it works in our favor at least some of the time.
  19. mitchnick
    6z AI still has the low passing pretty far to our west which might open the door for zr/ip. However, verbatim surface temps are above freezing until about Harrisburg, PA. At the end of the run it's showing an overrunning snow potential similar to 0z operational Euro. I think we'll have to endure a couple warmer storms before the SER is beaten down enough for us to be on the right side of the boundary, assuming it ever gets to our south.
  20. mitchnick
    Yep. I'll take a pass on that one. Gotta take the Canadian seriously however. What has become clear is that with this "correcting" with every model cycle, though snow may not be favored now, everything remains on the table.
  21. mitchnick
    I remember that embossed postage envelope. It switch to 6 cents a few years later.
  22. mitchnick
    All I can say is who knows with any certainty what's going to happen next week. 6z Euro operational and Eps at 144hrs vs 0z at 150hrs. It doesn’t mean it's going to snow, but it does mean I ain't giving up yet. P.s. Don’t get seasick.
  23. mitchnick
    Snowing in Hanover. Coating already.
  24. mitchnick
    Lt sn in Hanover
  25. mitchnick
    Verbatim, it hiys NE pretty good. Could see that comkng. Plenty of time. I'm out for the night.
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