mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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Zr here
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18z Gem looks decent and brings snow into parts of PA. This link starts at 60hrs so scroll forward thru to the end at 84hrs. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PT&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PT&hh2=084&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060
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18z Gem is decent too. It starts at 60 hours. Scroll forward to 84hrs. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PT&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PT&hh2=084&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060
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North?
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Child's security stuffed bear.
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Not quite all we have.
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Rgem looks good for us up north, so THERE!
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AI looks a little south but not much if it is lousy graphics.
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12 hours later
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Eps looks to favor the north dor the 20/21, though this is not an exact method I'll admit.
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No. They don't figure it in and base state too hard to overcome.
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Storm on the Eps for the 20/21st heading east.
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Considering how many models shifted north for today's event from 12z runs yesterday, anything really is possible. Likelihood is a different question.
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Gefs do like the 20/21st time period.
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Overcoming the February Niña climo in medium range forecasts is a bigger biatch than the models/ensembles seem to think, or so it seems.
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Imagine or expectation? Lol
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Some of us have nothing to lose. Lol
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You said Tuesday, so I didn't look past 6z Wednesday.
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I don't see anything near 3 inches for Tuesday in PA unless you're including today.
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Evolution is different so it's a day or so later. We know it will not be right and will join the other modeling, which ain't so hot. Needless to say, my positive attitude remains positive...positive we'll get screwed out of anything decent that is. Lol
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So that takes us to 2/24 meaning our AN precip month yields most of us less than 10" of snow if the Gfs is right on all scores.
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Euro is plain bad for next week.
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Gem is more snow with a coastal.
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Anything anywhere for round 2 before it craps the bed?
