TheDreamTraveler

I'm surprised barely anyone is talking about our first noreaster. I know it's not going to snow here but we might have potential for some rain and wind. Really depends how close it can get. Regardless the formation of this storm is going to be extremely fun to watch because it might transition to a hybrid There's still a lot of disagreement from the models where the heavy rains and wind are but the nam completely destroys Jersey and gets some heavy rains towards us

The noreaster on the 27th is looking pretty interesting. Basically bombs out and becomes huge with 70+mph gusts and 5-8 inches of rain over NE. Over here we might get some effects. I'm kinda curious if this could end up getting named Wanda at some point lol It actually takes a slightly similar path and loop as the perfect storm in 1991

I'm glad we finally got a chilly fall day even though it's lightly raining off and on. Though 56 isn't that far off from where it should be at this time lol I'm just annoyed most of the month felt like early september instead. I was dreading the first 2 weeks of october being like the other few times from the past few years but it was worse than I imagined and won't stop lol

I'm wondering if this'll be the warmest October on record? The first half was already the warmest on record and the 2nd half doesn't look like it'll cool down much with temps either hovering around average or above. Low temps are obviously higher than normal like they've been for years now so that'll play a key factor into it as well.

Today felt amazing. Maybe now the trees around here will start turning color. My parents giant tree in their backyard has not turned color at all and we're almost in the peak for foliage

There's a ton of millienials that love following the weather. I only know that because I am one and know others that do lol. A lot of them just don't use forums like these anymore to discuss about it

yeah im super excited for next week

Can anyone remember a time where we had 9 or so days of it being cloudy with practically no rain and around the same temps? Only times I can recall is if we had a tropical system that gets stuck and it raining for days on end. But I don't remember never seeing the sun this long without any rain. It definitely seems like a rare pattern

Some places could tie the record high for friday. Some of the records for that day haven't been beaten since 1897 so that's kinda impressive if it happens

I've lost count how many days its been cloudy like this lol what's the sun?

That's true. We did get a record amount of rain throughout September. I remember some drought years trees turning color in august lol

Oh and something I've noticed is how late it's taking for the trees to change color. I can barely remember a year where most of the trees were still green in my area all the way to Oct 7th. I'm really young so I don't have that many years to go off on but I definitely don't remember it taking this long. Peak foliage is around mid october for a lot of PA I think

Yep and that's another thing contributing to the very warm lows right now. All this cloud cover and high dew points has just make it kinda awful at night.

Just another abnormally warm and humid october. Kinda sick of it. And no this is not normal even though it's been like this for the past decade or so. Hopefully this is just a multi-decadal type of pattern but I'm starting to believe that less and less. Hopefully things aren't stuck like this permanently. The thing I hate most is when it gets hot like this it just shoots straight into very cold temps instead of gradually climbing down. But yeah the low temps are the most puzzling thing to me. They have just skyrocketed over the past few decades compared to previous times. I know development like cement and buildings retain heat so they warm areas up at night but that doesn't fully explain other locations. Lows have been in the 60s for a few days now and the next 10 days are going to have a low around 60 which is at least 13 or more degrees above the average. And when you look at averages it could easily be in the upper 30s if it was cooler than average right now. Honestly sucks lol

There are very many things attributed to the atlantic being very active right now since 1995. The atlantic goes through a period of 20-30 years of active and inactive tropical activity. There are a ton of global weather patterns that play a big role including as well but that'd take a long time to get into but Africa's weather patterns are a big reason for active and inactive seasons. And like you said warmer SST's also contribute to it either from climate warming or warm cycles that the oceans may be in. For example we're in a +AMO right now since the mid 1990s which was right around this active period started. But yeah there's a lot of things at play lol because if you remember before 1995 things were very quiet for a few decades lol Oh and about the thing you said about 1933 possibly being more active with satellites that's definitely true. Another thing to realize is the Atlantic was in a low activity phase around the time we started heavily using satellites in the 1960s and the active period didn't start until the mid-late 1990s.

0z Gfs is showing Sam hooking left into Nova Scotia now

Yeah considering it's the end of september I'm certain we're going to get through the entire list again. 2 years in a row is absolutely crazy

As long as this thing can hold itself together it heading into the Herbert Box definitely increases chances of a landfall somewhere by a decent margin but I guess we'll see

He's just upset Florida hasn't gotten anything. Like I said before people are spoiled lol. Just a storm like Ida alone is a type of event that may only happen once every few years in other eras yet we've had Harvey, Ida, Laura and Michael in the past 4 years alone. And that's not even counting all the countless other hurricanes that have hit

It's like I'm reading JB's twitter account right here

People are spoiled I think. Didn't we just go through a period of over a decade with no category 3 or stronger strikes on the CONUS? Same with there being no cat 5's for almost a decade as well lol

Temps next week are actually looking nice. Thank god lol those low temps look awesome

On top of the rain around 5 pm we've had heavy rain set up 3 or 4 times since then up until 4 am so far. It'll be fine for a few hours and then more just appears

I guess to give a good idea of how warm its been my parents closed their pool at this time last year and today my mom was swimming in it. And the way it looks it'll be that way for at least another 2 weeks

82 here as well with a dew point of 66 but there's also a nice breeze so it doesn't feel as bad as it could