TheDreamTraveler

What doesn't help is we had a period of 10 years during 2006-2016 where we had zero Category 3 or higher storms make landfall anywhere in the US. That was the longest stretch in recorded history. I feel that also helped lull people into a false sense of security.

This guy is lucky to be alive

Wind field of Ian is absolutely massive

Yeah the frictional effects can cause the eye and movement of the storm to dance it and act wonky sometimes. We've seen this plenty of times with hurricanes around the Caribbean islands

12z Euro looks like it still wants to run it along the coast after exiting Florida but this time straight into the Carolina's and up into PA.

Latest run of the Euro is pretty interesting for Invest 98L for us. Shows it pulling off something similar to Irene with it hugging the coast as a 953mb hurricane as it heads north into Long Island weakening to 980mb lol 0z GFS is still showing remnants of the storm getting up into our area. Looking good that we might get some rain out of this potentially

Really not sure why anyone thought this had a chance of getting anywhere close to Texas lmao. Ensembles even have this going east of Florida now but I think they're over correcting way too east

I like how The Weather Channel is basically denying you access to the site now if you use an adblocker. It's like they don't realize there's dozens of other better sites to go check your weather on lol. It's kinda funny because Wunderground doesn't do that despite being owned by them as well. Like I'm all for supporting sites with their ads as long as the ads aren't intrusive or harmful but it's just funny how they think that's going to make people switch them off

That would almost be a repeat of Ida if that were to pan out. GFS and Euro really likes to bring this thing up near us run after run. Both want to turn this into a monster storm so there should be a huge rain shield attached to it regardless. Also depends if it doesn't die inland. 0z GFS and Euro show this thing getting into our neck of the woods and interacting with the trough near us so that might be interesting

Really disappointed in the line that went through earlier. Looks like places north got hit harder

Japan just only recently started to let their borders open again and there's still some restrictions currently. Things like bands are allowed since it's not considered tourism. But if you're a tourist which Josh would be considered by them that's probably why he still wasn't allowed in. Shouldn't be much longer though before they let everyone back in and then he should be able to do it there again

The nice thing about these warm days is the nights are actually really cool and decent. Then after that we should go into the 50's and 40's for low temps

I was in Central PA when Irene hit as a cat 1 and I still lost power despite it just being tropical storm force winds lol. People really underestimate lower end storms

Hey even I have my limits. I'm 100% turning mine on today lmao

Good point here honestly

I don't buy the quick deepening right after getting over water either. Though it does help that Fiona remains disorganized and weak so that should limit the effects of land and the mountains on its core structure. Tropical systems have an easier time strengthening after interacting with the islands if they're very weak compared to when they hit if they're very strong. But I still don't think the speed at which this strengthens is likely

18z GFS is like hold on a minute...Has Fiona almost just about land falling in North Carolina and heading up the coast now lol. Still a long ways out but I wouldn't count any effects from a tropical system out yet. But that's if Fiona can even survive the trek through the Caribbean

Looks like it

GFS has Fiona crawling North Northwest towards the east coast. I really wonder if this thing is going to survive the trek through the islands to escape and then develop towards the coast Though to be fair about that a lot of times weak tropical storms can manage through the islands intact way better than a fully formed hurricane can. A lot of times when a strong hurricane gets shredded they find it hard to reform after escaping but weak tropical storms a lot of times fair better since their cores aren't well developed yet

There's a huge night and day difference with the 18z GFS compared to 12z

Of course he would mention Carol and Edna lol

2018-2019 was absolutely insane. I still can't believe how much it rained. My parents lost so many trees due to how soft the soil was and that EF0 tornado we had in 2018 nearby

For sure. The adjustments west is something we've seen with so many storms in the past in this area. Would not be surprised if we see the same thing with this if it doesn't get its act together soon enough

Today's been really nice. Not having to have the AC on at all. Not really looking forward to the hotter temps next week. The following week after that looks a lot cooler but might be more rainy

Oof. That turned around quickly :/