Heisy

So eps doesn’t bury the energy as much as OP, that’s a plus….. .

Not sure I see it that way you guys do. I see the same BS with models dumping tons of energy in southwest that never seems to want to come east. Promotes way too much ridging ahead of it. Like I mentioned this morning. We went from 12z showing this pac energy around day 7-10 headed east much faster on yesterdays euro, to this….we’re also seeing agreement on it from the Canadian and gfs. May have to wait till 15th-20th for a storm threat if this happens…which is fine and still fits the progression date, but we’re getting closer and closer to April at that point .

No I agree, I’ve been around the block. I’m just getting a little impatient these days .

While things don’t look bad, I was a little disappointed in seeing the OP/eps delay ejecting that western energy vs yesterdays 12z porn run. Here is 00z vs 12z OP comparison. I know it’s an OP run 10 days out, just saying. .

EPS is drool worthy .

Yes, check out the temps. We have cold available because of the -epo and block. This is the best setup you can ask for in March imo. That’s HECS territory, but it’s day 9-10+ so… .

This is what you want to see in March. A retrograded block can cause some crazy stuff to happen in March. You pin that block there and any incoming energy would dig and dig under it. This probably would have lead to a really big event. Though this looks a lot better than GFS .

It’s actually not a bad setup for overrunning but this year’s 50/50 and confluence always backup as we get closer to events. .

It’s actually not a bad setup for overrunning but this year’s 50/50 and confluence always backup as we get closer to events. .

All about the rates. This can go either way right now. Would absolutely love if the EPS comes in like cmc ensembles. .

See how the trough is positively tilted with leaving the main energy in Texas? That needs to happen. If the trough progresses without a lead edge shortwave dampening the flow there won’t be sufficient cold air and you’ll just have a basic cutter cold front. I like how the euro trended towards doing this. Still, won’t feel confident at all based on our history this winter until we get major models on board under day 5. .

Let him live his best life .

Not that anyone would really complain, it’s impressive that much snow falls without a full secondary development like Euro. Gearing up for a chase, common Boston do your magic .

It’s still not a euro type solution thiuhh, still gets the job done, but it doesn’t phase the other NS energy. Main shortwave just gets it done on its own strength. .

I need this one Will, for you guys and for Me. I would 100% chase this. Haven’t even seen a dusting here in Philly I’m in a bad way lol. .

Euro doesn’t have a good enough NS push ahead of the main shortwave. Doesnt establish as good of a block vs gfs either by that time. Setup is there, it’s close at H5, but with this winters general theme have 0 expectations. .

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18z gfs with the HECS setup tease, everybody drink! .

Yea would have to imagine you’d get at least one storm threat by mid March if that verifies. .

Man, 12z GFs goes nuts with blocking this run .

Yea seeing first legit signal for NAO. Might have to endure -PNA for a bit… hopefully not rest of season…. .

Starting to see some signal for NAO at end of ensembles, but nothing conclusive yet. Just hoping for one event before end of year (Philly resident) .

Game of small details…. First the major: No adjustments, Front 4 couldn’t get pressure and Gannon had no answer I like Gainwell more than Mile Sanders. Think he’s shiftier and don’t mind if Sanders is back or not. Need a power back in off season. Someone to pound the defense besides Hurts. We don’t want Hurts to get hurt and turn into a Cam Newton. Dallas Goedert had an outstanding game, but there were a couple of screen plays the team as a whole didn’t execute that could have been big gainers. Need to execute them. I’m hearing the sentiment of “it’s okay, we’ll be back”. I’m almost 40 and have learned there’s absolutely no guarantee of anything. This is probably the best eagles team of all time and we didn’t take advantage of it. In the NFL especially there are no guarantees. For example, we got a full healthy season out of AJ Brown. We may never see that again. This loss will haunt me forever until we win again. Small Details: 1) Wonder how much field conditions impacted eagles dline and ability to get pressure. 2) Hurts fumble was a killer, he got the points right back though. What stinks is that if we don’t have a false start the play before that play never happens. Chiefs couldn’t stop us, that was a 10-14 point swing. Seumalo’s false start will haunt for a long time 3) if Bradberry is wearing white gloves do refs notice the hold? (heard that pointed out this AM). Bogus call that was ticky tack. Refs really should have gotten together and picked it up. Screwed us out of all timer. 1000) I want to die .

Should be up by more. Won’t feel good about any lead vs Mahomes even if he has one leg .

GFS has the HECS day 11, but CMC also has a decent looking pattern at end of run as well… .