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Heisy

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Everything posted by Heisy

  1. Heisy
    Looks like 6z EPS/control brought the trough E. Gonna need some big improvements today. Nothing else to really track though so we’ll see .
  2. Heisy
    00z euro is painstakingly close to a phase .
  3. Heisy
    Going in the wrong direction. Like I said though I’ll give it to 12z tomorrow for euro/cmc/gfs to show something. If we strike out by 2:30 tomorrow I’d have serious doubts anything comes from this wave. Still in pike, I’d give it around 10-15%. I wish this next event didn’t fall near Cmas I’d def chase to Buffalo. I’m so hungry for something man, and I’m in Philly which makes it even worst. .
  4. Heisy
    Good post as usual, I really think this one is going to rely on whether or not a piece of the TPV can drop down and phase with southern branch. That would help mitigate the PAC trying to race everything East. Think we really need Euro or CMC show a hit by 12z tomorrow .
  5. Heisy
    GFS took steps in the right direction, but not close yet. Couldn’t care less what this model shows anyway .
  6. Heisy
    Giving me an issue posting photos for some reason, hopefully shows up… .
  7. Heisy
    .
  8. Heisy
    Nice hit on the weenie control, does just exactly what we’d want at H5 .
  9. Heisy
    Control looks fun at 156, once I saw that figured some EPS interest .
  10. Heisy
    Yea that’s definitely a thorn in this setup. Would like to see one of the globals show a hit by 12z tomorrow and some potential on EPS. OT but god I wish I could chase this LES in Buffalo. Of course it falls right near and around Xmas .
  11. Heisy
    You must be in heaven right now. Jealousy off the charts. I haven’t seen one flake here in Philly .
  12. Heisy
    Yes, if that southern vort slowed up a bit it could provide a nice front for a low to form as long as the diving S/W trends stronger/improved angle .
  13. Heisy
    It did try this run, but won’t come through. Feel like that left over energy down S messing things up. .
  14. Heisy
    It falls on Xmas or I would as well .
  15. Heisy
    GEFS sniffing it .
  16. Heisy
    Walt drag, my favorite Met, always says you always want the CMC on your side if a storm threat is real. I don’t have it out that far, but H5 did look decent. In general (based off GFS) We need slightly better spacing/separation in SE Canada, stronger S/W will help too. The PAC flow is racing E so it’s going to try to stop anything from developing, but not a horrible look. My fantasy team just got knocked out of finals because of Rodgers TD so I’ll take something to track right now to make my life meaningful haha .
  17. Heisy
    Hmm interesting changes. Noticed the 18z EPS/control strengthened this same clipper but didn’t say anything. Needs a little spacing improvement but could be something to track… .
  18. Heisy
    I will also add that the 00z NAM also in GFS camp fwiw .
  19. Heisy
    Uh, 00z icon joining GFS camp with TPV handling. I did not expect this at all .
  20. Heisy
    This was interesting because the GFS didn’t cave with the TPV positioning. In fact the 50/50 was probably in a better spot! The main wave just came in S too hot and heavy this run. This is why the GEFS is still really good because if anything the overall setup was better vs 12z lol I know some people will jump ship after that run, but it came inland for completely different reasons vs other models and would have easily been another monster hit if the main shortwave was weaker .
  21. Heisy
    GFS vs the world, we got this! .
  22. Heisy
    Hard to have any confidence with GFS handling of TPV when it’s on its own island right now. Stranger things have happened though. .
  23. Heisy
    This is an awesome post. Will be fun to see which one caves. My opinion based on watching model wars play out over 20+ years… If GFS does cave don’t expect a step down trend. It will go from what it just showed today at 12z to a full on cutter in one run because of how important this feature is. Get me 2 more runs, 18 & 00z with similar TPV handling and I’ll jump on board with GFS .
  24. Heisy
    Icon does it as well. We’ve seen model wars before, but this is a big one. Any gut feeling here? Feel like last nights Euro was more of a middle ground with the TPV handling. This is impressive for only 72-84 hours out. .
  25. Heisy
    Ukie dumps all the energy out west and doesn’t separate the TPV. Changes start early around 72-90 hours. One side is brutally wrong .
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